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 Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's

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Generational Dynamics is a historical methodology that analyzes historical events through the flow of generations, and uses the analysis to forecast future events by comparing today's generational attitudes to those of the past.
This site provides analysis and forecasts of international news, politics, culture and finance. We apply the Generational Dynamics methodology ruthlessly, without any biases: We take no sides in any political battles (such as Republicans vs Democrats) or in any international conflicts (such as Israelis vs Palestinians), and we don't use any religious interpretations. If we have any bias at all, it's that we're pro-American.




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Special feature articles on current events issues available on request. Media inquiries welcome.
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In-Depth Analysis
Since 2002, we've been using generational analysis to make specific, hard predictions about worldwide events, politics, culture, technology, economics and international finance, and with much better accuracy than private analyst firms. If you're paying big money for high-priced newsletters from private analyst firms, and all you're getting is vague "that might be a problem" forecasts, then check this website regularly to get really useful, accurate forecasts -- FOR FREE.

Artificial Intelligence and the Singularity by 2030 : How AI is rapidly changing our lives ( 28-Dec-2015 )
Obamacare's Healthcare.gov -- The greatest software development disaster in history : Corruption, fraud and criminality in Healthcare.gov and Obamacare (23-Aug-2015)
Dysfunction, subversion, sabotage and fraud in software development projects : Information for academic researchers and software development managers. (23-Aug-2015)
New Pentagon report outlines China's military buildup : China is preparing for war over Taiwan. ( 28-Aug-2011 )
Financial Crisis Inquiry hearings provide 'smoking gun' evidence of widespread criminal fraud : What bankers claimed to have done is mathematically impossible. ( 14-Apr-2010 )
Report from TARP Inspector: We're driving off a cliff in a faster car : We're headed for an even larger financial crisis. ( 1-Feb-2010 )
"Shadow inventory" of unsold homes continues to grow : Housing prices still have very far to fall. (21-Dec-2009)
Generational Dynamics forecasting methodology : The methodology and tools used in generational theory to produce forecasts and predictions (3-May-2009)
"Maybe we'll get it right this time" by Tom Mazanec : In this science fiction story, a time traveler tries to prevent the world war predicted by Generational Dynamics. (9-Mar-2009)
The economic outlook for 2009 : How we got to where we are today, who's to blame, and where we're going in 2009. (5-Jan-2009)
The gathering storm in the Caucasus : The world is looking more and more like the prelude to World War I. (17-Aug-2008)
How Boomers and Generation-Xers brought about the dumbing down of Information Technology (IT) : Software development has adopted a Java cookbook approach that leads to project failures. Also: How Digimarc Corp. self-destructed with management's cookbook programming mentality. (1-Jul-2008)
Basics of Generational Dynamics : Generational eras, archetypes, and other elements of generational theory (22-Jun-2008)
Chinese embarrassment and anger grows over Tibet and Olympics : Some notes on the growing mutual xenophobia and paranoia between China and the West. (12-Apr-2008)
List of major Generational Dynamics predictions : These are the major predictions posted on this web site since 2003, using the generational forecasting methodology. (27-Mar-2008)
Cities and towns need to start helping themselves. : Wracked by foreclosures and by the collapsing muncipal bond market, cities and towns should start planning immediately. (2-Mar-2008)
A primer on financial engineering and structured finance : How financial engineers made a fortune creating worthless mortgage-based securities. (23-Jan-2008)
The Bubble that Broke the World : How a book written in 1931-32 tells us what's going to happen in 2008-2009. (9-Oct-2007)
How to compute the "real value" of the stock market. : And some additional speculations about stock market crashes. (20-Aug-2007)
Iraqi Sunnis are turning against al-Qaeda in Iraq : This is exactly the kind of thing that generational theory predicts. (1-Apr-2007)
System Dynamics and the Failure of Macroeconomics Theory : Mainstream macroeconomic theory, invented by Maynard Keynes in the 1930s, has failed to predict or explain anything that's happened since the bubble started, including the bubble itself. We need a new "Dynamic Macroeconomics" theory. (25-Oct-2006)
President George Bush talks about a "Third Awakening," but he has his history wrong : It was America's 1960s Awakening that united Protestants, Catholics and Jews, and cemented our support for Israel. (19-Sep-2006)
Washington becomes hysterical again over an Iraqi 'civil war' : A civil war in Iraq is impossible, as I've said many times, because only one generation has passed since the Iran/Iraq war of the 1980s. Here's some additional historical information. (7-Aug-2006)
Israel's war against Hizbollah and Lebanon forces Muslims to choose sides : The war is part of a larger Shi'ite-Sunni struggle, and a stopgap ceasefire will create a worsening environment leading to a much more chaotic situation within a few months (25-Jul-2006)
A beautiful mind? The world is paralyzed into a "Nash equilibrium" : Today, 61 years after the end of World War II, the countries of the world are struggling to maintain a status quo that can't last too much longer. (17-Jul-2006)
Why aren't college students protesting against the Iraq war? : Young students are criticized for being indifferent to politics, while "Grannies Against the War" is truly bizarre. (1-Jun-2006)
Speculations about a stock market panic and crash : Will there be a stock market panic next week, next month, or next year, and will it lead to a crash? We speculate on some possibilities. (31-May-2006)
Ariel Sharon's political "earthquake" in Israel signals change in direction for entire Mideast : His aggressive program that began with the barrier and the Gaza pullout is now likely to founder. (29-Nov-2005)
Ben S. Bernanke: The man without agony : Bernanke and Greenspan are as different as night and day, despite what the pundits say. (29-Oct-2005)
Japanese and Chinese relations are deteriorating sharply : Between China's search for oil and Koizumi's shrine visit, the level of anger and suspicion is rising fast. (23-Oct-2005)
Robert Pape's "Dying to Win" sheds light on suicide bombers. : Robert Pape's database of every suicide bombing and attack around the world from 1980-2003 -- 315 attacks in all -- provides valuable insight into the causes of suicide terrorism, and confirms the Generational Dynamics' conclusions about crisis wars. (18-Jul-2005)
The 11% Solution: An article in Barron's says the stock market is very overvalued : New research by analyst Adam Barth finds that average earnings over any 20-year period are surprisingly constant. (11-Jul-2005)
The Great Depression and Dow Jones Industrial Average : Scrolling through the DJIA through the Great Depression and later gives a feeling as to what was happening, and how it compares to what's happening today. Updated 11-Feb-2016 (11-Feb-2016)
French rejection of EU Constitution signals decline of entire European Union project : Exit polls from Sunday's French EU Constitution vote show a clear generational split that analysts aren't noticing. (1-Jun-2005)
Increasing Muslim violence in Uzbekistan raises fears of destabilizing Asia : After pro-Russian leaders have been replaced by Western-leaning ones in Georgia, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, the Kremlin is watching the violence in Uzbekistan nervously, and Washington is watching the Kremlin. (14-May-2005)
Press Release: Mathematician solves problem puzzling historians for centuries : Does history repeat itself? Historians have tried and failed to find provable patterns in history, but a mathematician has now solved the problem that's stumped the historians for centuries. (22-Apr-2005)
Fed and Alan Greenspan signal aggressive plans to increase interest rates : This means trouble for people in debt and for the stock market, but it also hints that the Fed plans to keep the dollar strong through crisis periods (24-Mar-2005)
North Korea continues mobilization for nuclear war : Blaming "hostile" U.S. policies, North Korea pulls out of nuclear non-proliferation talks, claiming that it already has nuclear weapons. This is a classic sequence of events that precedes a pre-emptive war. (10-Feb-2005)
Alan Greenspan warns that global economic dangers are without historical precedent : In a speech on Friday, Greenspan buried a major change of position in a speech admitting that his assumptions about the economy for the last decade were wrong. (6-Feb-2005)
China appears to be approaching a major civil war : Unrest is spreading, and economic disparities make China a textbook case for a massive civil war in the making (16-Jan-2005)
A generational interpretation of Charles Dickens' "A Christmas Carol" : Written in 1843, this classic novel depicts a clear generational struggle (5-Dec-2004)
Ukraine headed for a confrontation with Putin : Ukraine is headed for trouble as it moves to reverse the 20-Nov Presidential election. (28-Nov-2004)
The six most dangerous regions in the world today.: There are six regions that could lead the world into a new world war. NOTE: This article also contains a lengthy summary of the Generational Dynamics theory and Forecasting Methodology. (20-Nov-2004)
Election results show a major cultural and political restructuring in the making.: In the long run, George Bush's victory is less important than the reasons why people voted for him. (3-Nov-2004)
Unrealistic expectations worldwide about the American election are setting the stage for hostile reactions next year: Will "something big" happen to America in 2005? (24-Oct-2004)
Ten-nation survey says that non-Americans worldwide overwhelmingly favor Kerry over Bush: However, Russia and Israel support Bush; so do Iran's mullahs (23-Oct-2004)
Can we withdraw from Iraq in 2005?: Suddenly the Washington buzz is that whoever wins - Bush or Kerry - will begin to withdraw American troops from Iraq. We look at two historical examples to predict scenarios. (16-Oct-2004)
Yield curves are flattening as Federal Reserve raises short term interest rates significantly: Long-term interest rates are falling while short-term interest rates are rising, a sign of possible trouble ahead. (21-Sep-2004)
On September 11, terrorism around the world is increasing significantly: Infuriated and anxious people around the world are demanding military actions to halt or even avenge terrorism (11-Sep-2004)
Does history favor George Bush or John Kerry?: Long-term historical trends favor Bush, but Kerry may win anyway because Bush is in danger of being 'Hooverized' (24-Aug-2004)
Southeast Asian nations are forced to pick sides in the conflict between China and Taiwan: Singapore will support China and Australia will support Taiwan in a conflict between China and Taiwan. (23-Aug-2004)
Today's slow-motion genocide in Darfur recalls the lightning quick genocide in Rwanda in 1994: Why do these things always seem to happen in Africa? Understanding Africa's geography explains why. (22-Aug-2004)
Oil prices spiking on supply fears: There is increasing concern that Saudi Arabia's oil production is peaking, and that prices will rise significantly farther. (3-Aug-2004)
Arab views worldwide are becoming increasingly hostile to America: Arab view of America is down to about 10% favorable, 90% unfavorable. (26-Jul-2004)
Kerry establishes an electoral lead going into the Democratic convention.: He's tuned his message to what I suggested last year. Do you suppose he read my web site? (25-Jul-2004)
Generational crisis for Arafat as thousands take to streets in revolt in Gaza: Arafat's offices burned down, as he seeks a way to prevent civil war among Palestinian factions (19-Jul-2004)
"I, Robot" is science fiction, but intelligent computers will soon be science fact.: When will it dawn on the politicians and the general public that this changes everything? (9-Jul-2004)
Alan Greenspan's Mixed Emotions: More and more top analysts are getting concerned about extremely high debt levels and stock valuations. (6-Jul-2004)
Operation Summer Pulse 04: Taiwan is moving inexorably towards independence, and America is supporting it, while China is freaking out over it. Will this lead to an inevitable war over Taiwan? (6-Jul-2004)
Green Revolution vs Malthus Effect: Despite the "Green Revolution," world population continues to grow faster than food production. This is one of the fundamental reasons why wars occur. (28-Jun-2004)
Beheadings part of increasing conflict level throughout Mideast: The level of conflict is increasing throughout the Mideast, from Gaza to Pakistan, from Saudi Arabia to Uzbekistan. (23-Jun-2004)
Stock market increasingly volatile: Sharp plunges in international stock markets portend periods of increasingly high volatility. (17-May-04)
Iraq Today vs 1960s America (Revised): They have much in common: Bombings, assassinations, student demonstrations, violent riots, calls for insurrection and civil war and harsh rhetoric. That's much more than a coincidence. (8-May-2004)
Taiwan's Wild Election Battle: Taiwan's election battle is even wilder and more raucous than the Bush-Gore election battle in 2000. Its uncertain outcome is causing massive protests. (11-Apr-04)
What Iraqi Civil War?: Early in 2003, I predicted that there would be no popular uprising against the Americans, and that there would be no civil war. After the overthrow of Saddam, I said that an Iraqi civil war was impossible. Despite the constant near-hysteria of the politicians, journalists and high-priced analysts, I've been right so far. Here's why. (09-Apr-04)
Palestinian Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, spiritual leader of the Hamas militia group, killed in Israeli air strike: Generational Dynamics says that this brings Mideast much closer to all-out war (21-Mar-04)
Madrid terrorist bombings are having unexpected significance: The 3/11 bombings may have the same effect on Europeans that the 9/11 attacks had on Americans. (15-Mar-04)
Haiti: Heading for possible rebellion and anarchy: A historical analysis of a potential crisis. (4-Mar-04)
Anti-Shi'ite Terror Attacks in Iraq, Pakistan: So far, Sunni and Shi'ite leaders in Iraq aren't taking the bait. (2-Mar-04)
The New Sexual Revolution: The pendulum is swinging back. (27-Feb-04)
Alan Greenspan's Mea Culpa: Alan Greenspan has put his legacy into serious danger (08-Jan-04)
Georgia (Asia) on the brink of civil war: Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze says that the country is on the verge of civil war. This could be the next war in the "clash of civilizations" between Islam and Christianity. (15-Nov-03)
"Ping-Pong Terrorism" in Mideast leading inevitably to major regional war: Even non-violent acts are seen as terrorism by the other side, and the intensity of the mutual attacks is constantly increasing. (10-Oct-03)
Schwarzenegger's victory could spell trouble for Bush: It also signals the end of the societal culture / gender wars. (8-Oct-03)
What if Al Gore were President?: Both Republicans and Democrats are making important strategic errors in the battle for the White House in 2004. Here's what they SHOULD be saying. (26-Sep-03)
Is China unraveling?: Should you invest in the world's fastest growing economy? Analysts say yes, but there are ominous generational signs of financial and social instability in China. (10-Sep-03)
Hamas Announces End of Cease-Fire: Can Ariel Sharon and Yasser Arafat once more fend off a large regional war? (21-Aug-03)
Terrorist suicide bombings in Iraq may backfire against terrorists: During an awakening period, terrorist acts cause masses of people to shrink from more violence. (19-Aug-03)
Riots in Iran: Will there be a violent overthrow of the Iranian Mullahs? Generational Dynamics says 'No.' (25-Jun-03)
Dow Passes 9000 / Mideast Peace Plan Takes Off: This is a big test for Generational Dynamics, which predicts that the good news won't last. (04-Jun-03)
"Mideast Roadmap" - Will it bring peace?: Generational Dynamics predicts something quite different for the Mideast. (01-May-03)
France and Germany: Why are they becoming anti-American? (15-Feb-03)
The Anti-War Movement: Will it gain traction? (15-Feb-03)
North and South Korea: Will the North Koreans start a nuclear war? (22-Jan-03)
Turkey: Turkey has been rebuffing America. What are they up to? (24-Mar-03)
Japan: Is Japan's economy finally near collapse? (26-Mar-03)

Stock Market:

Latest Dow Jones Industrial Average
Latest Dow Jones Industrial Average

Will stocks rise or fall in 2004? (1-Jan-04)
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Articles from this web site may be copied to other web sites, provided that authorship is acknowledged and provided that a link is included back to the article on this web site. - John J. Xenakis

State of the World
Conflict risk level for next 6-12 months as of: 19-Oct-2014
W. Europe 3 Mideast 4
Russia Caucasus 3 Kashmir 2
China 3 North Korea 2
Financial 3 Swine/Bird flu/Ebola 4
Key: 1=green 1=Low risk 2=yellow 2=Med 3=red 3=High 4=black 4=Active
Web Log
Web Log: Informal comments on current news and trends.

12-Feb-16 World View -- US and Russia agree to a farcical 'cessation of hostilities' in Syria: The vitriolic hatred of Bashar al-Assad... (12-Feb-2016)
11-Feb-16 World View -- Turkey's Erdogan splits further with US, blaming it for a 'sea of blood': Pentagon deploying hundreds of troops to Helmand in Afghanistan... (11-Feb-2016)
10-Feb-16 World View -- Russia and Turkey head for clash on Syria border: Turkey border 'buffer zone' could result in clash with Syrian army... (10-Feb-2016)
9-Feb-16 World View -- Monday's stock market rout blamed on China's foreign currency selloffs: Hong Kong experiences worst violence in years... (9-Feb-2016)
8-Feb-16 World View -- Plans continue for Western military deployment into Libya: UAE says it's ready to supply ground troops to fight ISIS in Syria... (8-Feb-2016)
7-Feb-16 World View -- Iran, Syria and Russia ridicule Saudi Arabia's army: Europe sends mixed messages to Turkey about new flood of Syrian refugees... (7-Feb-2016)
6-Feb-16 World View -- As Iran's election approaches, generational conflict becomes vicious: Turkey blocks tens of thousands of Aleppo Syria residents from entering Turkey... (6-Feb-2016)
5-Feb-16 World View -- Saudi ready to send ground troops into Syria, as regime encircles Aleppo: Turkey denies Russian reports of Syria invasion... (5-Feb-2016)
4-Feb-16 World View -- Syria peace talks collapse as Russia carpet bombs opposition in Aleppo: John Kerry warns of ISIS expansion in Syria... (4-Feb-2016)
3-Feb-16 World View -- US Navy's Freedom of Navigation Ops in South China Sea to grow in scope and complexity: Jordan's King demands more refugee aid from international community... (3-Feb-2016)
2-Feb-16 World View -- France issues ultimatum to Israel as West Bank tensions grow: Israel rejects France's ultimatum to recognize state of Palestine... (2-Feb-2016)
1-Feb-16 World View -- Damascus terror attack deals a new blow to Syria 'peace talks': Dozens killed in ISIS attack on a Shia shrine in Damascus Syria... (1-Feb-2016)
31-Jan-16 World View -- Turkey threatens 'consequences' after Russia violates its airspace again: The English language becomes an issue between Turkey and Russia... (31-Jan-2016)
30-Jan-16 World View -- Japan tries negative interest rates as US economy slows: Mainstream economists are oblivious to the velocity of money... (30-Jan-2016)
29-Jan-16 World View -- US, Britain, France, Italy continue plans for Libya invasion against ISIS: Russia builds military presence in Dagestan after ISIS attack... (29-Jan-2016)
28-Jan-16 World View -- China's game of Go beaten by Google's AI software, bringing the Singularity closer: Google's AI technology will soon start taking people's jobs... (28-Jan-2016)
27-Jan-16 World View -- India deploying 'submarine killer' planes to counter China's submarines: China demolishes Southern Mongolian herders' homes in mid-winter... (27-Jan-2016)
26-Jan-16 World View -- Mass protests force Moldova to choose between Europe and Russia: Moldova crisis presents opportunities and dangers for Russia... (26-Jan-2016)
25-Jan-16 World View -- Farcical Syria peace process 'proximity talks' to begin this week in Geneva: Previous attempts at Syria 'peace talks' ended in farce... (25-Jan-2016)
24-Jan-16 World View -- Migration crisis signals historic shifts in Europe and Mideast: The 2016 market meltdown raises fears of financial crisis... (24-Jan-2016)
23-Jan-16 World View -- China signs nuclear deals with Saudi Arabia and Iran: China signals support for Saudis in Yemen, and for Palestinian state... (23-Jan-2016)
22-Jan-16 World View -- Clown protesters mock Finland's xenophobic 'Soldiers of Odin': The European Central Bank saves the stock markets for another day... (22-Jan-2016)
21-Jan-16 World View -- Azerbaijan forced to choose between Russia and Turkey: Azerbaijan becomes the hub of the Caspian Trade Corridor, part of the new Silk Road... (21-Jan-2016)
20-Jan-16 World View -- Germany's Angela Merkel under pressure to restrict migrants: Puerto Rico's debt problem even worse than expected... (20-Jan-2016)
19-Jan-16 World View -- Tajikistan's bitter split with Iran tempts it to side with Saudi Arabia: Split triggered by Iran's invitation to an alleged anti-Tajik terrorist... (19-Jan-2016)
18-Jan-16 World View -- Pakistan tries to mediate between Saudi Arabia and Iran: Reader questions about Mideast country alignments... (18-Jan-2016)
17-Jan-16 World View -- Taiwan's pro-independence party wins historic presidential election: Pop star's Taiwan flag incident illustrates how tense relations are... (17-Jan-2016)
16-Jan-16 World View -- Mideast trends: Sunni-Shia countries align along predicted lines: Saudi Arabia faces increased social unrest with sudden austerity budget... (16-Jan-2016)
15-Jan-16 World View -- UN's Ban Ki-moon calls Syria's Bashar al-Assad a war criminal: Second aid convoy arrives in the starving Syrian city of Mayada... (15-Jan-2016)
14-Jan-16 World View -- Report: Sri Lankan government repeatedly torturing and raping Tamils: Iran releases American sailors as end of sanctions approaches... (14-Jan-2016)
13-Jan-16 World View -- Royal Bank of Scotland predicts sharp 2016 recession, says 'Sell everything!': Suicide bombing in Istanbul Turkey kills 10 tourists... (13-Jan-2016)
12-Jan-16 World View -- India threatens retaliation on Pakistan terrorists for air base attack: Pathankot air base incident revives memories of the '26/11' Mumbai attack in 2008... (12-Jan-2016)
11-Jan-16 World View -- Britain debates leaving European Union amid National Health Service (NHS) crisis: Hungary's PM tells Cameron: 'Hungarians in UK arenít parasites'... (11-Jan-2016)
10-Jan-16 World View -- Arab countries deeply divided over Iran vs Saudi Arabia confrontation: Saudi Arabia and Iran accuse each other of terrorism... (10-Jan-2016)
9-Jan-16 World View -- China-North Korea tensions high after nuclear test: South Korea resumes broadcasting propaganda via loudspeakers... (9-Jan-2016)
8-Jan-16 World View -- Iran struggles to recover from its firebombing of Saudi embassy: Desperate Chinese officials remove stock market circuit breakers... (8-Jan-2016)
7-Jan-16 World View -- German 'Code of Conduct' for women shows pendulum swing on gender issues: Merry Christmas!... (7-Jan-2016)
6-Jan-16 World View -- US, Britain, France preparing new Libya military offensive early in 2016: ISIS assault in Libya giving militants control of oil fields... (6-Jan-2016)
5-Jan-16 World View -- President Obama may have to choose between Saudi Arabia and Iran: European and Wall St stocks fall sharply, following China... (5-Jan-2016)
4-Jan-16 World View -- Saudi Arabia cuts diplomatic ties with Iran as violent Shia protests spread around region: Sunni vs Shia sectarian tensions grow rapidly... (4-Jan-2016)
3-Jan-16 World View -- Mideast sectarian tensions surge as Iranians burn down Saudi embassy in Tehran: Execution of Shia cleric Nirm al-Nimr triggers mass protests in Mideast... (3-Jan-2016)
2-Jan-16 World View -- In bizarre gaffe, Erdogan compares Turkey's government to Hitler's Germany: India imposes men-only driving restrictions in Delhi to curb pollution... (2-Jan-2016)
1-Jan-16 World View -- 2016 and the 'dramatic multiplication of conflicts in the world': Angela Merkel urges Germans to see refugees as an 'opportunity'... (1-Jan-2016)
31-Dec-15 World View -- Puerto Rico avoids default with partial bond repayment: Central Africa Republic votes for new president and legislature... (31-Dec-2015)
30-Dec-15 World View -- Central Americans reach agreement on letting Cuban migrants reach the US: ISIS may be linked to massive suicide bombing in northwest Pakistan... (30-Dec-2015)
29-Dec-15 World View -- Artificial Intelligence breakthroughs in 2015, the Singularity by 2030: Artificial Intelligence and Climate Change... (29-Dec-2015)
28-Dec-15 World View -- Japan says that armed Chinese ship infiltrates its territorial waters: Japan aggressively expands its military defense of the Senkaku Islands ... (28-Dec-2015)
27-Dec-15 World View -- Reader comments on 'The Big Short' and the financial crisis: 'The Big Short' today versus 'The Three-Penny Opera' in pre-Hitler Germany... (27-Dec-2015)
26-Dec-15 World View -- 'The Big Short' - an infuriating movie about the financial crisis: Criminality in Washington... (26-Dec-2015)
25-Dec-15 World View -- Israel and Hezbollah may be close to war again: Merry Christmas, Happy Kwanza, Belated Happy Hanukkah, Ramadan, Winter Solstice!... (25-Dec-2015)
24-Dec-15 World View -- Paralyzed Lebanon decides to export its garbage to Europe: Syrian refugees in Lebanon increasingly face starvation... (24-Dec-2015)
23-Dec-15 World View -- UK bitterly sends troops back Afghanistan's Helmand province: Number of migrants entering Europe this year passes the one million mark... (23-Dec-2015)
22-Dec-15 World View -- Russia's Syria airstrikes kill many innocent civilians, but otherwise appear futile: Azerbaijan's currency devalues 32%, following Russia and Kazakhstan... (22-Dec-2015)
21-Dec-15 World View -- Taliban victories in Helmand put Obama's Afghan withdrawal policy in doubt: Obama's 30,000 troop Afghan 'surge' strategy now in seventh year... (21-Dec-2015)
20-Dec-15 World View -- Puerto Rico negotiates restructuring after Congress fails to allow Chapter 9 bankruptcy: Delusional claims made during the Democratic debate... (20-Dec-2015)
19-Dec-15 World View -- Taiwan may reverse South China Sea policy and oppose China: Burundi calls planned African Union peacekeeping force 'an attack'... (19-Dec-2015)
18-Dec-15 World View -- Another Putin lie: America wanted Turkey to shoot down Russia's plane: Turkey announces plans to build a military base in Qatar... (18-Dec-2015)
17-Dec-15 World View -- Despite China's disapproval, US will sell $1.83 billion in weapons to Taiwan: Russia and Ukraine escalate mutual trade sanctions over occupied Crimea... (17-Dec-2015)
16-Dec-15 World View -- China and Ukraine develop closer ties, as Russia looks on: Japan and South Korea leaders attempt to rewrite history textbooks... (16-Dec-2015)
15-Dec-15 World View -- BBC reporter confronts China's military in South China Sea: Egyptian scholar: The original al-Aqsa mosque may not have been in Jerusalem... (15-Dec-2015)
14-Dec-15 World View -- Russian Duma goes after Protestant churches as 'sects and cults': Central African Republic elections may worsen Muslim-Christian violence... (14-Dec-2015)
13-Dec-15 World View -- India, China, U.S. react to China's S. China Sea military expansion: Worst violence in months in Burundi's capital city Bujumbura... (13-Dec-2015)
12-Dec-15 World View -- Russia and Turkey try to 'blackmail' Armenia into their conflict: The mirror images: Donald Trump and Barack Obama... (12-Dec-2015)
11-Dec-15 World View -- Decaying stadiums from 2004 Athens Olympics have new lives housing migrants: Greece transports migrants from Macedonian border back to Athens... (11-Dec-2015)
10-Dec-15 World View -- Burundi's Nkurunziza continues down Mugabe - Assad path of genocide: EU-Burundi peace talks collapse amid worries of new Hutu-Tutsi genocide... (10-Dec-2015)
9-Dec-15 World View -- Number of foreign fighters joining ISIS in Syria doubles to 31,000: About 700 women from Tunisia are thought to have joined ISIS... (9-Dec-2015)
8-Dec-15 World View -- Oil prices crash and OPEC collapses over Iran-Saudi rivalry: Kazakhstan may be forced to choose between Russia and Turkey... (8-Dec-2015)
7-Dec-15 World View -- Azerbaijan faces rising radical Shia Islamist insurgency: Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh surges again... (7-Dec-2015)
6-Dec-15 World View -- Israel bombs targets in Syria with Russia's tacit cooperation: NY Times Page One calls for laws to confiscate some gun owners' guns... (6-Dec-2015)
5-Dec-15 World View -- Violence feared in Venezuela after probable Socialist loss on Sunday: Venezuela likely to end 16 years of Socialist government... (5-Dec-2015)
4-Dec-15 World View -- Russia and Turkey increasingly on a war footing: Russia cancels Turkey gas pipeline, prepares for Bosporus closure... (4-Dec-2015)
3-Dec-15 World View -- HRW: Bahrain's Sunni government continues abusing and torturing Shia majority: NATO formally invites Montenegro to join the alliance... (3-Dec-2015)
2-Dec-15 World View -- In major new escalation, US special forces will conduct combat in Iraq and Syria: Germany may deploy 1200 soldiers to Syria to fight ISIS... (2-Dec-2015)
1-Dec-15 World View -- Putin's Syria intervention hobbled by weak Russian economy: France demands that Russia target only ISIS in Syria... (1-Dec-2015)
30-Nov-15 World View -- Nepal's fuel deal with China collapses, as India border blockade worsens: Communist Maoists block all India vehicles from entering Nepal... (30-Nov-2015)
29-Nov-15 World View -- Russia's military buildup a game-changer in Syria: Turkey's Erdogan 'saddened' by downing of Russia's warplane... (29-Nov-2015)
28-Nov-15 World View -- Pope Francis to visit Central African Republic in middle of civil war: Pope Francis blames starvation and poverty on a new form of colonialism... (28-Nov-2015)
27-Nov-15 World View -- Turkey-Russia crisis continues to escalate: European Union to end visa restrictions on Turkey's citizens... (27-Nov-2015)
26-Nov-15 World View -- Russia and Turkey move closer to the brink of war: Turkish analysis of downing of Russian warplane... (26-Nov-2015)
25-Nov-15 World View -- Turkey shoots down Russian warplane, evoking memories of many Crimean wars: Turkmen in Syria versus Russians in occupied Crimea... (25-Nov-2015)
24-Nov-15 World View -- Ukraine suspends all commercial trade with occupied Crimea: Migrants blocked at Macedonian border sew their mouths shut... (24-Nov-2015)
23-Nov-15 World View -- ASEAN leaders harshly criticize China over South China Sea actions: Occupied Crimea declares state of emergency after electricity is cut... (23-Nov-2015)
22-Nov-15 World View -- European Union considers gun control after Paris attack: Brussels Belgium on lockdown in search for Paris bomber... (22-Nov-2015)
21-Nov-15 World View -- Mali hotel terror attack highlights al-Qaeda's strength in Africa: Terror groups compete for credit for Mali hotel attack... (21-Nov-2015)
20-Nov-15 World View -- Obamacare in death spiral as UnitedHealth announces pullout: New York Times: Obamacare's high deductibles make insurance all but useless... (20-Nov-2015)
19-Nov-15 World View -- Rwanda's president Kagame becomes another leader refusing to leave office: Turkey soccer fans boo during moment of silence for Paris attack... (19-Nov-2015)
18-Nov-15 World View -- Brussels, Belgium, has become the center for European terror: Hong Kong 'boos' China with paper signs at soccer match... (18-Nov-2015)
17-Nov-15 World View -- Anti-Muslim xenophobia surges in Europe and America: Paris attack significantly worsens Europe refugee crisis... (17-Nov-2015)
16-Nov-15 World View -- France launches 'massive attack' on ISIS - 20 bombs: Beirut wonders why their terror bombing is less important than Paris's... (16-Nov-2015)
15-Nov-15 World View -- Paris attacks: Forces coalesce for greater Christian military intervention against ISIS: World reacts to Paris attack... (15-Nov-2015)
14-Nov-15 World View -- Paris and Beirut in shock and anger after massive terrorist attacks: Europe's Schengen zone is put at risk by Paris attack... (14-Nov-2015)
13-Nov-15 World View -- ISIS claims credit for suicide attack on Hezbollah in Beirut Lebanon: Commodities and stocks continue to plunge... (13-Nov-2015)
12-Nov-15 World View -- EU and African leaders clash amid accusations of 'Fortress Europe': Arms race grows between Serbia and Croatia... (12-Nov-2015)
11-Nov-15 World View -- Global trade plunges as China's economy becomes deflationary: Price/earnings index surges as earnings and profits contract... (11-Nov-2015)
10-Nov-15 World View -- Catalonia parliament votes to secede from Spain: Israel's Netanyahu promises Obama to implement two-state solution... (10-Nov-2015)
9-Nov-15 World View -- Political crisis in Iran grows over nuclear agreement: The coming regime change in Iran... (9-Nov-2015)
8-Nov-15 World View -- Nepal turns to China as border tensions with India increase: Six months later, Nepal earthquake survivors face winter without shelter... (8-Nov-2015)
7-Nov-15 World View -- Turkey prepares for winter war with both PKK and ISIS: Burundi follows the genocidal path of Mugabe's Zimbabwe... (7-Nov-2015)
6-Nov-15 World View -- Obamacare prices skyrocketing in 2016, as I predicted in 2009: Kentucky's new governor Matt Bevin promises to end Obamacare abuses... (6-Nov-2015)
5-Nov-15 World View -- Bombing of plane in Egypt threatens Russia's Syria strategy: US, Britain suggest ISIS bomb brought down Russian plane in Egypt... (5-Nov-2015)
4-Nov-15 World View -- Presidents of China and Taiwan to meet in Singapore on Saturday: China asserts a 'bottom line' to US in South China Sea... (4-Nov-2015)
3-Nov-15 World View -- Pakistan's Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LeJ) continues plan to exterminate Shias: History of sectarian violence in Pakistan since Partition... (3-Nov-2015)
2-Nov-15 World View -- Erdogan's party in Turkey wins landslide victory: How Turkey changed in five months... (2-Nov-2015)
1-Nov-15 World View -- Russia warns that Syria war could become a 'proxy war': Generational Dynamics and war between Palestinians and Israelis... (1-Nov-2015)

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General
June 4, 2011, presentation: This Generational Dynamics presentation was given in 2011 at Fort Devens in Massachusetts. Click here for presentation slides
April 20, 2004, presentation: This Generational Dynamics presentation was given in 2004 at MIT in Cambridge, Mass. Click here for presentation slides
Book Reviews: Reviews of books on current events and history
About: About Generational Dynamics, About John J. Xenakis
Comment: Discussion and Comments
Crisis wars graphic: Graphic showing crisis war timelines for Western Europe and for Orthodox Christianity vs Muslim Civilizations
Archive: Archived items removed from the site home page.
International Investment Advisories
This is an experiment - Using the Generational Dynamics methodology to provide up-to-date information on investment opportunities around the world.
India
India: Hooray for Bollywood!: Investment opportunities in India range from high-tech pharmaceuticals to Spiderman. (5-Jul-03)
India
India: Socially beneficial profits from "Untouchable" investments: For those interested in socially beneficial investments in India, the lot of India's Dalits provides an ideal investment target -- high-risk but with the possibility of high returns because of the market size. (7-Jul-03)
Iran
Trading with Iran: Not exactly a magic carpet ride: Surprise! It turns out that being a member of the "Axis of Evil" doesn't help investors. (8-Jul-03)
Conflict Index: A special feature of the experimental International Investment Advisories, containing information not available elsewhere, is the Conflict Index, a medium-range (1-2 years) and long-range (2-10 years) forecast of the likely level of local conflict, from riots and demonstrations to all out insurrection and civil war.
Credits
Cover design by Libby Chase, http://www.libbysgallery.com.
NY Skyline & Statue of Liberty clip art images provided by http://budgetstockphoto.com.



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