Since 2002, we've been using generational analysis to make
specific, hard predictions about worldwide events, politics, culture,
technology, economics and international finance, and with much better
accuracy than private analyst firms. If you're paying big money for
high-priced newsletters from private analyst firms, and all you're
getting is vague "that might be a problem" forecasts, then check this
website regularly to get really useful, accurate forecasts -- FOR
FREE.
New Pentagon report outlines China's military buildup
:
China is preparing for war over Taiwan.
(
28-Aug-2011
)
Financial Crisis Inquiry hearings provide 'smoking gun' evidence of widespread criminal fraud
:
What bankers claimed to have done is mathematically impossible.
(
14-Apr-2010
)
Report from TARP Inspector: We're driving off a cliff in a faster car
:
We're headed for an even larger financial crisis.
(
1-Feb-2010
)
"Shadow inventory" of unsold homes continues to grow
:
Housing prices still have very far to fall.
(21-Dec-2009)
Generational Dynamics forecasting methodology
:
The methodology and tools used in generational theory to produce
forecasts and predictions
(3-May-2009)
"Maybe we'll get it right this time" by Tom Mazanec
:
In this science fiction story, a time traveler tries to prevent the
world war predicted by Generational Dynamics.
(9-Mar-2009)
The economic outlook for 2009
:
How we got to where we are today, who's to blame, and where we're
going in 2009.
(5-Jan-2009)
The gathering storm in the Caucasus
:
The world is looking more and more like the prelude to World War I.
(17-Aug-2008)
How Boomers and Generation-Xers brought about the dumbing down of
Information Technology (IT)
:
Software development has adopted a Java cookbook approach that leads
to project failures. Also: How Digimarc Corp. self-destructed with
management's cookbook programming mentality.
(1-Jul-2008)
Basics of Generational Dynamics
:
Generational eras, archetypes, and other elements of generational
theory
(22-Jun-2008)
Chinese embarrassment and anger grows over Tibet and Olympics
:
Some notes on the growing mutual xenophobia and paranoia between
China and the West.
(12-Apr-2008)
List of major Generational Dynamics predictions
:
These are the major predictions posted on this web site since 2003,
using the generational forecasting methodology.
(27-Mar-2008)
Cities and towns need to start helping themselves.
:
Wracked by foreclosures and by the collapsing muncipal bond market,
cities and towns should start planning immediately.
(2-Mar-2008)
A primer on financial engineering and structured finance
:
How financial engineers made a fortune creating worthless
mortgage-based securities.
(23-Jan-2008)
The Bubble that Broke the World
:
How a book written in 1931-32 tells us what's going to happen in
2008-2009.
(9-Oct-2007)
How to compute the "real value" of the stock market.
:
And some additional speculations about stock market crashes.
(20-Aug-2007)
Iraqi Sunnis are turning against al-Qaeda in Iraq
:
This is exactly the kind of thing that generational theory predicts.
(1-Apr-2007)
System Dynamics and the Failure of Macroeconomics Theory
:
Mainstream macroeconomic theory, invented by Maynard Keynes in the
1930s, has failed to predict or explain anything that's happened
since the bubble started, including the bubble itself. We need a new
"Dynamic Macroeconomics" theory.
(25-Oct-2006)
President George Bush talks about a "Third Awakening," but
he has his history wrong
:
It was America's 1960s Awakening that united Protestants, Catholics
and Jews, and cemented our support for Israel.
(19-Sep-2006)
Washington becomes hysterical again over an Iraqi 'civil war'
:
A civil war in Iraq is impossible, as I've said many times, because
only one generation has passed since the Iran/Iraq war of the 1980s.
Here's some additional historical information.
(7-Aug-2006)
Israel's war against Hizbollah and Lebanon forces Muslims to
choose sides
:
The war is part of a larger Shi'ite-Sunni struggle, and a stopgap
ceasefire will create a worsening environment leading to a much more
chaotic situation within a few months
(25-Jul-2006)
A beautiful mind? The world is paralyzed into a "Nash
equilibrium"
:
Today, 61 years after the end of World War II, the countries of the
world are struggling to maintain a status quo that can't last
too much longer.
(17-Jul-2006)
Why aren't college students protesting against the Iraq war?
:
Young students are criticized for being indifferent to politics,
while "Grannies Against the War" is truly bizarre.
(1-Jun-2006)
Speculations about a stock market panic and crash
:
Will there be a stock market panic next week, next month, or next
year, and will it lead to a crash? We speculate on some possibilities.
(31-May-2006)
Ariel Sharon's political "earthquake"
in Israel signals change in direction for entire Mideast
:
His aggressive program that began with the barrier and the Gaza
pullout is now likely to founder.
(29-Nov-2005)
Ben S. Bernanke: The man without agony
:
Bernanke and Greenspan are as different as night and day, despite
what the pundits say.
(29-Oct-2005)
Japanese and Chinese relations are deteriorating sharply
:
Between China's search for oil and Koizumi's shrine visit,
the level of anger and suspicion is rising fast.
(23-Oct-2005)
Robert Pape's "Dying to Win" sheds light on
suicide bombers.
:
Robert Pape's database of every suicide bombing and attack
around the world from 1980-2003 -- 315 attacks in all -- provides
valuable insight into the causes of suicide terrorism, and confirms
the Generational Dynamics' conclusions about crisis wars.
(18-Jul-2005)
The 11% Solution: An article in Barron's says
the stock market is very overvalued
:
New research by analyst Adam Barth finds that average earnings over
any 20-year period are surprisingly constant.
(11-Jul-2005)
The Great Depression and Dow Jones Industrial Average
:
Scrolling through the DJIA through the Great Depression and later
gives a feeling as to what was happening, and how it compares to
what's happening today.
Updated 17-May-2013
(17-May-2013)
French rejection of EU Constitution signals decline
of entire European Union project
:
Exit polls from Sunday's French EU Constitution vote show a clear
generational split that analysts aren't noticing.
(1-Jun-2005)
Increasing Muslim violence in Uzbekistan raises fears
of destabilizing Asia
:
After pro-Russian leaders have been replaced by Western-leaning ones
in Georgia, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, the Kremlin is watching the violence
in Uzbekistan nervously, and Washington is watching the Kremlin.
(14-May-2005)
Press Release:
Mathematician solves problem puzzling historians for centuries
:
Does history repeat itself? Historians have tried and failed to
find provable patterns in history, but a mathematician has now
solved the problem that's stumped the historians for centuries.
(22-Apr-2005)
Fed and Alan Greenspan signal aggressive plans to
increase interest rates
:
This means trouble for people in debt and for the stock market, but it
also hints that the Fed plans to keep the dollar strong through
crisis periods
(24-Mar-2005)
North Korea continues mobilization for nuclear war
:
Blaming "hostile" U.S. policies, North Korea pulls out of nuclear
non-proliferation talks, claiming that it already has nuclear weapons.
This is a classic sequence of events that precedes a pre-emptive war.
(10-Feb-2005)
Alan Greenspan warns that global economic dangers
are without historical precedent
:
In a speech on Friday, Greenspan buried a major change of position in
a speech admitting that his assumptions about the economy for the
last decade were wrong.
(6-Feb-2005)
China appears to be approaching a major civil war
:
Unrest is spreading, and economic disparities make China a textbook
case for a massive civil war in the making
(16-Jan-2005)
A generational interpretation of Charles Dickens' "A Christmas
Carol"
:
Written in 1843, this classic novel depicts a clear generational
struggle
(5-Dec-2004)
Ukraine headed for a confrontation with Putin
:
Ukraine is headed for trouble as it moves to reverse the 20-Nov
Presidential election.
(28-Nov-2004)
The six most dangerous regions in the world today.:
There are six regions that could lead the world into a new world war.
NOTE: This article also contains a lengthy summary of the
Generational Dynamics theory and Forecasting Methodology.
(20-Nov-2004)
Election results show a major cultural and political restructuring
in the making.:
In the long run, George Bush's victory is less important than the
reasons why people voted for him.
(3-Nov-2004)
Unrealistic expectations worldwide about the American election are
setting the stage for hostile reactions next year:
Will "something big" happen to America in 2005?
(24-Oct-2004)
Ten-nation survey says that non-Americans worldwide
overwhelmingly favor Kerry over Bush:
However, Russia and Israel support Bush; so do Iran's mullahs
(23-Oct-2004)
Can we withdraw from Iraq in 2005?:
Suddenly the Washington buzz is that whoever wins - Bush or Kerry -
will begin to withdraw American troops from Iraq. We look at two
historical examples to predict scenarios.
(16-Oct-2004)
Yield curves are flattening as Federal Reserve
raises short term interest rates
significantly:
Long-term interest rates are falling while short-term interest rates
are rising, a sign of possible trouble ahead.
(21-Sep-2004)
On September 11, terrorism around the world is increasing
significantly:
Infuriated and anxious people around the world are demanding military
actions to halt or even avenge terrorism
(11-Sep-2004)
Does history favor George Bush or John Kerry?:
Long-term historical trends favor Bush, but Kerry may win anyway
because Bush is in danger of being 'Hooverized'
(24-Aug-2004)
Southeast Asian nations are forced to pick sides in the
conflict between China and Taiwan:
Singapore will support China and Australia will support Taiwan in a
conflict between China and Taiwan.
(23-Aug-2004)
Today's slow-motion genocide in Darfur recalls the lightning quick
genocide in Rwanda in 1994:
Why do these things always seem to happen in Africa? Understanding
Africa's geography explains why.
(22-Aug-2004)
Oil prices spiking on supply fears:
There is increasing concern that Saudi Arabia's oil production is
peaking, and that prices will rise significantly farther.
(3-Aug-2004)
Arab views worldwide are becoming increasingly hostile
to America:
Arab view of America is down to about 10% favorable, 90% unfavorable.
(26-Jul-2004)
Kerry establishes an electoral lead going into the
Democratic convention.:
He's tuned his message to what I suggested last year. Do you suppose
he read my web site?
(25-Jul-2004)
Generational crisis for Arafat as thousands take to
streets in revolt in Gaza:
Arafat's offices burned down, as he seeks a way to prevent civil war
among Palestinian factions
(19-Jul-2004)
"I, Robot" is science fiction, but intelligent
computers will soon be science fact.:
When will it dawn on the politicians and the general public that
this changes everything?
(9-Jul-2004)
Alan Greenspan's Mixed Emotions:
More and more top analysts are getting concerned about extremely high
debt levels and stock valuations.
(6-Jul-2004)
Operation Summer Pulse 04:
Taiwan is moving inexorably towards independence, and America is
supporting it, while China is freaking out over it. Will this lead
to an inevitable war over Taiwan?
(6-Jul-2004)
Green Revolution vs Malthus Effect:
Despite the "Green Revolution," world population continues to grow
faster than food production. This is one of the fundamental reasons
why wars occur.
(28-Jun-2004)
Beheadings part of increasing conflict level
throughout Mideast:
The level of conflict is increasing throughout the Mideast, from Gaza
to Pakistan, from Saudi Arabia to Uzbekistan.
(23-Jun-2004)
Stock market increasingly volatile:
Sharp plunges in international stock markets portend periods of
increasingly high volatility.
(17-May-04)
Iraq Today vs 1960s America (Revised):
They have much in common: Bombings, assassinations, student
demonstrations, violent riots, calls for insurrection and civil
war and harsh rhetoric. That's much more than a coincidence.
(8-May-2004)
Taiwan's Wild Election Battle:
Taiwan's election battle is even wilder and more raucous than the
Bush-Gore election battle in 2000. Its uncertain outcome is causing
massive protests.
(11-Apr-04)
What Iraqi Civil War?:
Early in 2003, I predicted that there would be no popular uprising
against the Americans, and that there would be no civil war. After
the overthrow of Saddam, I said that an Iraqi civil war was
impossible. Despite the
constant near-hysteria of the politicians, journalists and
high-priced analysts, I've been right so far. Here's why.
(09-Apr-04)
Palestinian Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, spiritual leader of
the Hamas militia group, killed in Israeli air strike:
Generational Dynamics says that this brings Mideast much closer to
all-out war
(21-Mar-04)
Madrid terrorist bombings are having unexpected
significance:
The 3/11 bombings may have the same effect on Europeans that the 9/11
attacks had on Americans.
(15-Mar-04)
Haiti: Heading for possible rebellion and anarchy:
A historical analysis of a potential crisis.
(4-Mar-04)
Anti-Shi'ite Terror Attacks in Iraq, Pakistan:
So far, Sunni and Shi'ite leaders in Iraq aren't taking the bait.
(2-Mar-04)
The New Sexual Revolution:
The pendulum is swinging back.
(27-Feb-04)
Alan Greenspan's Mea Culpa:
Alan Greenspan has put his legacy into serious danger
(08-Jan-04)
Georgia (Asia) on the brink of civil war:
Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze says that the country is on
the verge of civil war. This could be the next war in the "clash of
civilizations" between Islam and Christianity.
(15-Nov-03)
"Ping-Pong Terrorism" in Mideast leading
inevitably to major regional war:
Even non-violent acts are seen as terrorism by the other side, and the
intensity of the mutual attacks is constantly increasing.
(10-Oct-03)
Schwarzenegger's victory could spell trouble for
Bush:
It also signals the end of the societal culture / gender wars.
(8-Oct-03)
What if Al Gore were President?:
Both Republicans and Democrats are making important strategic errors
in the battle for the White House in 2004. Here's what they
SHOULD be saying.
(26-Sep-03)
Is China unraveling?:
Should you invest in the world's fastest growing economy?
Analysts say yes, but
there are ominous generational signs of financial and social
instability in China.
(10-Sep-03)
Hamas Announces End of Cease-Fire:
Can Ariel Sharon and Yasser Arafat once more
fend off a large regional war?
(21-Aug-03)
Terrorist suicide bombings in Iraq may backfire
against terrorists:
During an awakening period, terrorist acts cause masses of people to
shrink from more violence.
(19-Aug-03)
Riots in Iran:
Will there be a violent overthrow of the Iranian Mullahs?
Generational Dynamics says 'No.'
(25-Jun-03)
Dow Passes 9000 / Mideast Peace Plan Takes Off:
This is a big test for Generational Dynamics, which predicts that
the good news won't last.
(04-Jun-03)
"Mideast Roadmap" - Will it bring peace?:
Generational Dynamics predicts something quite different for the
Mideast.
(01-May-03)
France and Germany:
Why are they becoming anti-American?
(15-Feb-03)
The Anti-War Movement:
Will it gain traction?
(15-Feb-03)
North and South Korea:
Will the North Koreans start a nuclear war?
(22-Jan-03)
Turkey:
Turkey has been rebuffing America. What are they up to?
(24-Mar-03)
Japan:
Is Japan's economy finally near collapse?
(26-Mar-03)
Stock Market:
|
 |
Latest Dow Jones Industrial Average
|
Will stocks rise or fall in 2004?
(1-Jan-04)
|
Articles from this web site may be copied to other web sites,
provided that authorship is acknowledged and provided that a link is
included back to the article on this web site. - John J.
Xenakis
|
| Conflict risk level for next 6-12 months as of: 1-Jan-2013
|
|---|
|
W. Europe |
1 |
Arab Israeli |
3 |
|
Russia Caucasus |
2 |
Kashmir |
2 |
|
China |
3 |
North Korea |
2 |
|
Financial |
3 |
Swine/Bird flu |
2 |
Key:
1=Low risk
2=Med
3=High
| |
|---|
Web Log:
Informal comments on current news and trends.
18-May-13 World View -- Russian warships enter Mediterranean for first time in decades:
Idaho man charged with links to Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU)... (18-May-2013)
17-May-13 World View -- Obama and Turkey PM Erdogan hold bizarre press conference:
Nigeria's president launches major war against Boko Haram terrorists... (17-May-2013)
16-May-13 World View -- Palestinians commemorate 'Al Nakba' -- 'The Catastrophe':
Eurozone recession deepens even further than forecast... (16-May-2013)
15-May-13 World View -- American-Russian relations upset by CIA spy scandal:
Russia rebuffs West on S-300 missile shipments to Syria... (15-May-2013)
14-May-13 World View -- Greece's government prepares to demand war reparations from Germany:
Pakistan celebrates election, but faces continued chaos... (14-May-2013)
13-May-13 World View -- Pope Francis canonizes 800 Otranto 'martyrs' of Ottoman army:
Millions of Chinese internet users vow not to commit suicide... (13-May-2013)
12-May-13 World View -- Turkey blames Syrian regime for terrorist bombings in border town:
Nawaz Sharif appears to be the winner in Pakistan's elections... (12-May-2013)
11-May-13 World View -- Taliban promises bloodbath during Saturday's Pakistan elections:
IRS admits Nixon-like targeting taxpayers for political purposes... (11-May-2013)
6-May-13 World View -- Israeli air strike on Damascus escalates Syria crisis:
World View will be suspended until Thursday or Friday... (6-May-2013)
5-May-13 World View -- Wall Street stock market continues dangerous parabolic bubble:
Libor banker fraud may be eclipsed by the ISDAfix fraud... (5-May-2013)
4-May-13 World View -- Anti-EU UK Independence Party (UKIP) surges in local elections:
California law will fund seizure of legally purchased guns... (4-May-2013)
3-May-13 World View -- European Central Bank considers negative interest rates:
Turkey's Erdogan will pressure Obama to intervene militarily in Syria... (3-May-2013)
2-May-13 World View -- Buddhist on Muslim violence continues to spread in Burma (Myanmar):
U.S. declares H7N9 bird flu a 'significant' public health danger... (2-May-2013)
1-May-13 World View -- Giddy politicians declare a 'sea change' in Mideast negotiations:
Pakistan government ignores terrorist extermination threats to Hazara Shias... (1-May-2013)
30-Apr-13 World View -- North Korea holds an American and 7 S. Koreans as 'hostages':
France's Hollande announces military cuts of 34,000 jobs... (30-Apr-2013)
29-Apr-13 World View -- Taliban terror campaign seeks to sabotage Pakistan elections:
Greece passes bill ending lifetime guarantee of civil service job... (29-Apr-2013)
28-Apr-13 World View -- Qatar and Saudi Arabia funneling money and weapons to Syria jihadists:
Future of Korea's Kaesong industrial park in doubt after South pulls out workers... (28-Apr-2013)
27-Apr-13 World View -- Obama's meeting with Jordan's Abdullah may signal new troop deployment:
Shia militias and Sunni jihadists pour into Syria... (27-Apr-2013)
26-Apr-13 World View -- U.S. says Syria has used chemical weapons twice:
U.N. Security Council approves 12,600 person force for Mali... (26-Apr-2013)
25-Apr-13 World View -- Ethnic violence kills 21 in China's Xinjiang province:
Syria's opposition scorns Obama over chemical weapons commitment... (25-Apr-2013)
24-Apr-13 World View -- Japan's Shinzo Abe threatens 'force' against China's ships:
Israel accuses Syria of using chemical weapons, then retracts... (24-Apr-2013)
23-Apr-13 World View -- Boston bombers raise new problem for Russia's Vladimir Putin:
Canada thwarts al-Qaeda inspired plan to attack passenger train... (23-Apr-2013)
22-Apr-13 World View -- Hunger strike at Guantanamo grows among prisoners:
Heavier fighting flares on the Syria / Lebanon border... (22-Apr-2013)
21-Apr-13 World View -- American bloggers confuse 'Chechnya' with 'Czech Republic':
Krugman in 2002: The Fed should create a housing bubble... (21-Apr-2013)
20-Apr-13 World View -- Generational analysis of Boston Marathon bombings:
The radicalization of Dzhokhar and Tamerlan Tsarnaev... (20-Apr-2013)
19-Apr-13 World View -- Japan and Mongolia cooperate to counter China's influence:
Racial hatred suspected in shooting of Bangladeshis in Greece... (19-Apr-2013)
18-Apr-13 World View -- U.S. sends more troops to Jordan after threat from Syria:
IMF: Loose U.S. monetary policy risks global financial stability... (18-Apr-2013)
17-Apr-13 World View -- Germany's economic experts consider a wealth tax to fund bailouts:
Greece to lay off old people, hire 'young, capable' replacements... (17-Apr-2013)
16-Apr-13 World View -- Forced selling hits gold, commodities and stocks:
Terrorist attack at finish line of Boston Marathon... (16-Apr-2013)
15-Apr-13 World View -- Turkey warns Israel against 'dirty bargaining' over flotilla compensation:
Cyprus offers citizenship to wealthy Russian oligarchs... (15-Apr-2013)
14-Apr-13 World View -- British scientists say that chemical weapons were used in Syria:
Tensions rise in Greece over German war reparations... (14-Apr-2013)
13-Apr-13 World View -- John Kerry says that North Korea's rhetoric is 'unacceptable':
Cyprus residents in shock over new bailout terms... (13-Apr-2013)
12-Apr-13 World View -- Cost of Cyprus bailout explodes upward to 23 billion euros:
Pentagon: North Korea could deliver a nuclear weapon... (12-Apr-2013)
11-Apr-13 World View -- Is Germany the poorest country in Europe?:
Syria's al-Nusra Front pledges allegiance to al-Qaeda... (11-Apr-2013)
10-Apr-13 World View -- Japan deploys anti-missile systems after North Korean threats:
Donor nations pledge $3.6 billion in aid to Darfur... (10-Apr-2013)
9-Apr-13 World View -- Greece may demand 162 billion euros in WW II reparations from Germany:
North Korea pulls its 53,000 workers out of industrial complex... (9-Apr-2013)
8-Apr-13 World View -- Muslim vs Coptic Christian clashes in Egypt grow in intensity:
Portugal is about to be the next eurozone crisis... (8-Apr-2013)
7-Apr-13 World View -- Egyptian protesters demand end to ties with Iran and 'Shia Islam':
Cuba's Fidel Castro warns North Korea not to start a war... (7-Apr-2013)
6-Apr-13 World View -- Pandemic concerns rising over China's H7N9 bird flu deaths:
North Korea warns embassies to evacuate before April 10... (6-Apr-2013)
5-Apr-13 World View -- Meiktila, Burma, violence has echoes of Kristallnacht:
Intercepted communications suggest North Korea near missile launch... (5-Apr-2013)
4-Apr-13 World View -- U.S. moves defense missiles to Guam for North Korean threats:
Hugo Chavez returns to Venezuela reincarnated as a singing bird... (4-Apr-2013)
3-Apr-13 World View -- China's military on high alert near North Korean border:
Eurozone unemployment rises to record high 12%... (3-Apr-2013)
2-Apr-13 World View -- U.S. Navy moves destroyer off coast of Korean Peninsula:
David Stockman says our economy is in 'End-stage metastasis'... (2-Apr-2013)
1-Apr-13 World View -- Half of China's rivers have disappeared:
Jordan and Palestine agree to jointly defend Jerusalem from Israel... (1-Apr-2013)
31-Mar-13 World View -- Report: U.S. military action in Syria may be imminent:
Bank of Cyprus customers will lose 60% of their savings... (31-Mar-2013)
30-Mar-13 World View -- Luxembourg opposes using Cyprus as a 'template' for euro bailouts:
Russia warns that North Korean situation could spiral out of control... (30-Mar-2013)
29-Mar-13 World View -- N. Korea prepares rockets for firing, after U.S. B-2 show of force:
Russia orders large-scale military exercises in the Black Sea... (29-Mar-2013)
28-Mar-13 World View -- Cyprus's banks reopen on Thursday with harsh 'capital controls':
China conducts naval military drills deep into South China Sea... (28-Mar-2013)
27-Mar-13 World View -- North Korea's military goes on highest war alert:
Today's Schadenfreude: The 'Ugly Chinese' in Africa... (27-Mar-2013)
26-Mar-13 World View -- Buddhists attack Muslims across Asia and Russia considers revenge for Cyprus:
Muslims in Sri Lanka and Burma (Myanmar) targeted... (26-Mar-2013)
25-Mar-13 World View -- France sends troops to Central African Republic in chaos:
Israel fires surface-to-surface missile into Syria... (25-Mar-2013)
24-Mar-13 World View -- Cyprus and Russia face bitter financial chaos next week:
Lebanon's government collapses as Syria's turmoil crosses border... (24-Mar-2013)
23-Mar-13 World View -- Obama negotiates Israeli apology to Turkey for flotilla incident:
Generational Dynamics website attacked by hackers... (23-Mar-2013)
22-Mar-13 World View -- Cognitive Dissonance and the 'Mideast Roadmap to Peace':
Cyprus nears collapse after EU issues an ultimatum... (22-Mar-2013)
21-Mar-13 World View -- Cyprus begs Russia for a bailout:
Obama and Netanyahu appear to agree on military action in Iran... (21-Mar-2013)
20-Mar-13 World View -- Syria crosses a 'red line' with chemical weapons:
Cyprus rejects European bailout without a single supporting vote... (20-Mar-2013)
19-Mar-13 World View -- Cyprus banks remain closed as bailout crisis continues:
Syria's conflict may be spreading into Lebanon... (19-Mar-2013)
18-Mar-13 World View -- Germany and Russia get blamed for the Cyprus crisis:
Israel's government turns hardline pro-settlement on eve of Obama's visit... (18-Mar-2013)
17-Mar-13 World View -- Cyprus bailout threatens international bank runs:
Will politicians convince everyone that there's no worry?... (17-Mar-2013)
16-Mar-13 World View -- U.S. will deploy missile interceptors on West Coast:
EU split on whether to supply arms to Syria's rebels... (16-Mar-2013)
15-Mar-13 World View -- Pope Francis may side with Argentina in Falklands dispute with Britain:
As Egypt deteriorates, what will the army do?... (15-Mar-2013)
14-Mar-13 World View -- Xi Jinping envisions 'China's Dream' - world economic and military domination:
Terrorists disguised as cricketers kill 5 Indian soldiers in Kashmir... (14-Mar-2013)
13-Mar-13 World View -- American businesses debate cyber counter-attack on China:
Venezuela to investigate America's 'cancer poisoning' of Chávez... (13-Mar-2013)
12-Mar-13 World View -- Stock market share prices may be going parabolic:
Chávez's death may cost Russia tens of billions of dollars... (12-Mar-2013)
11-Mar-13 World View -- Lahore Pakistan turns into a war zone between Muslims and Christians:
U.S. rift with Afghanistan throws withdrawal strategy into doubt... (11-Mar-2013)
10-Mar-13 World View -- U.S. embarrassed by results of Kenya's presidential election:
New violence in an increasingly unstable Egypt and Lebanon... (10-Mar-2013)
9-Mar-13 World View -- China urges calm as North and South Korea trade military threats:
Venezuela has anti-American love fest at Chávez's funeral... (9-Mar-2013)
8-Mar-13 World View -- N. Korea threatens death to America for U.N. Security Council vote:
Venezuela's Hugo Chávez's body will be kept on permanent display... (8-Mar-2013)
7-Mar-13 World View -- China's Wen Jiabao warns of unrest and widespread environmental destruction:
Syrian refugees top 1 million, flooding into neighboring countries... (7-Mar-2013)
6-Mar-13 World View -- Venezuela's mestizo president Hugo Chavez dies of cancer:
Venezuela accuses America of conspiracy to kill Hugo Chávez... (6-Mar-2013)
5-Mar-13 World View -- China defends its booming military spending as promoting global peace:
30 million locusts descend on Egypt in 'Biblical' plague... (5-Mar-2013)
4-Mar-13 World View -- Nearly 60 dead in four days of deadly ethnic clashes in Bangladesh:
The 'Harlem Shake' is shaking up the Mideast... (4-Mar-2013)
3-Mar-13 World View -- Kenya: Presidential candidate threatens violence if he loses:
Gun control talk increases public interest in 3D Printing... (3-Mar-2013)
2-Mar-13 World View -- Syria conflict turning into a proxy war:
Euro zone unemployment rises to record level... (2-Mar-2013)
1-Mar-13 World View -- China moves missiles near coast to target Japan:
German official says that 'two clowns have won' in Italy... (1-Mar-2013)
28-Feb-13 World View -- In major reversal, U.S. will provide military aid to Syria opposition:
GenerationalDynamics.com unavailable for a couple of days... (28-Feb-2013)
27-Feb-13 World View -- Italy's election portends trouble throughout Europe:
John Kerry says that Americans have the right to be stupid... (27-Feb-2013)
26-Feb-13 World View -- China increases military buildup in South China Sea:
Network Solutions crashes GenerationalDynamics.com... (26-Feb-2013)
25-Feb-13 World View -- Death of Palestinian prisoner threatens third intifada against Israel:
Afghanistan's Karzai expels U.S. special forces from province... (25-Feb-2013)
24-Feb-13 World View -- Syria's opposition pulls out of talks after Scud missiles hit Aleppo:
An Egyptian army comeback threatens a clash with Muslim Brotherhood... (24-Feb-2013)
23-Feb-13 World View -- U.N. claims immunity in Haiti cholera compensation case:
Bawdy Silvio Berlusconi may return as Italy's Prime Minister... (23-Feb-2013)
22-Feb-13 World View -- Indian Mujahideen suspected in bombing in Hyderabad:
Stock market has 'mini-panic' over Fed QE signal... (22-Feb-2013)
21-Feb-13 World View -- North Korea threatens 'final destruction' of South Korea:
British women convert to Islam in droves... (21-Feb-2013)
20-Feb-13 World View -- New report reveals massive cyber war attack by China's army:
China rejects Philippines arbitration application ... (20-Feb-2013)
19-Feb-13 World View -- Sunni vs Shia sectarian violence may be approaching a 'red line':
Hugo Chávez tweets a return to Venezuela... (19-Feb-2013)
18-Feb-13 World View -- Protests boil across Pakistan after mass slaughter of Quetta Shias:
North Korea tells China that it's preparing new nuclear tests... (18-Feb-2013)
17-Feb-13 World View -- Another horrific bomb attack targets Shias in Quetta, Pakistan:
Federal Communications Commission warns of a zombie attack... (17-Feb-2013)
16-Feb-13 World View -- Egypt continues to become more unstable and violent:
Wal-Mart's 'total disaster' in sales blamed on rise in payroll tax... (16-Feb-2013)
15-Feb-13 World View -- Economists shocked at severe shrinkage of eurozone economy:
S. Korea unveils cruise missile that can strike anywhere in N. Korea... (15-Feb-2013)
14-Feb-13 World View -- Egypt flooding Gaza tunnels to curb smuggling:
Venezuela's Hugo Chávez undergoing 'complex, tough' treatment... (14-Feb-2013)
13-Feb-13 World View -- North Korea announces successful nuclear test:
David Einhorn seeks to undermine Apple Computer... (13-Feb-2013)
12-Feb-13 World View -- Strengthened euro currency raises fears of 'currency wars':
Hugo Chávez devalues Venezuela's bolivar currency by 32%... (12-Feb-2013)
11-Feb-13 World View -- Ethnic tensions grow in Kenya as March 4 elections approach:
Iran and Hezbollah build militia networks in Syria... (11-Feb-2013)
10-Feb-13 World View -- Arab Spring destabilization increases with Tunisia crisis:
Food fraud surges in America and Europe... (10-Feb-2013)
9-Feb-13 World View -- Comments and questions on the Libor-rigging scandal:
Panetta: A cyber attack may be the next Pearl Harbor... (9-Feb-2013)
8-Feb-13 World View -- Libor-rigging scandal and lying on Wall Street:
The moral bankruptcy of Washington and Wall Street worsens... (8-Feb-2013)
7-Feb-13 World View -- Riots in Tunisia after assassination:
China: N. Korea 'must pay a heavy price' for third nuclear test... (7-Feb-2013)
6-Feb-13 World View -- In escalation, China locks its 'fire control radar' on Japanese targets:
Bulgaria blames Hezbollah for bus attack killing Israelis... (6-Feb-2013)
5-Feb-13 World View -- Neo-Nazis in Greece and Germany establish mutual links:
Conspiracy theory alleges link between Jews and Muslim Brotherhood... (5-Feb-2013)
4-Feb-13 World View -- Thousands of migrants in Athens Greece apply to return home:
Polish is second most spoken language in England... (4-Feb-2013)
3-Feb-13 World View -- Japan arrests China fishing boat accused of fishing Japan's fish:
Mali's 'Savior' says that France's fight is far from over... (3-Feb-2013)
2-Feb-13 World View -- Egypt protesters clash with police in 'Friday of Deliverance':
Far left suicide bomber attacks U.S. embassy in Ankara Turkey... (2-Feb-2013)
1-Feb-13 World View -- Israel threatened with International Criminal Court over settlements:
France declares 'Mission Accomplished!' in Mali... (1-Feb-2013)
31-Jan-13 World View -- Israel's warplanes strike target in Syria:
Resident anger increases in Egypt's Port Said... (31-Jan-2013)
30-Jan-13 World View -- Mali, Libya, Egypt, Syria governments in sharp deterioration:
Lakhdar Brahimi says that Syria is 'breaking up before everyone's eyes'... (30-Jan-2013)
29-Jan-13 World View -- Egyptian protesters defy president Morsi's 'state of emergency' curfew:
Iran announces a new finger-amputating machine for thieves... (29-Jan-2013)
28-Jan-13 World View -- China will impose trade sanctions on North Korea:
Italy's Silvio Berlusconi defends the 'good' Mussolini... (28-Jan-2013)
27-Jan-13 World View -- Egypt in crisis after two days of violent clashes:
Venezuela's Hugo Chávez runs the government from Cuba... (27-Jan-2013)
26-Jan-13 World View -- China threatens to cut off aid to North Korea:
Russia blames the West for fomenting jihadist 'blowback'... (26-Jan-2013)
25-Jan-13 World View -- China urges restraint after North Korea nuclear threat:
Britain, Germany, Netherlands say: 'Leave Benghazi immediately'... (25-Jan-2013)
24-Jan-13 World View -- Furious Chinese spokesman blasts Philippines for seeking arbitration:
Emails show evidence of Morgan Stanley fraud in financial crisis... (24-Jan-2013)
23-Jan-13 World View -- China warns Australia not to side with America in case of war:
U.S. begins transporting French soldiers to Mali... (23-Jan-2013)
22-Jan-13 World View -- Coordinated suicide attack in Kabul, Afghanistan, part of increasing violence:
Massive espionage malware targeting governments undetected for 5 years... (22-Jan-2013)
21-Jan-13 World View -- Discussion of China's directive to 'Get Ready for War':
How would the U.S. react to a Chinese invasion of a neighbor?... (21-Jan-2013)
20-Jan-13 World View -- Algeria ends four-day terrorist siege with a no-mercy assault:
Federal Reserve officials were caught by surprise by financial crisis... (20-Jan-2013)
19-Jan-13 World View -- China's directive to the People's Liberation Army: Get Ready for War:
China's historic mistake... (19-Jan-2013)
18-Jan-13 World View -- Did France kick a hornet's nest with military intervention in Mali?:
Greece concerned about outbreak of violence... (18-Jan-2013)
17-Jan-13 World View -- Mali conflict explodes into ground war and hostage crisis:
Britain prepares for a new Falklands war... (17-Jan-2013)
16-Jan-13 World View -- Syria: Missile strike kills 80 students taking exams:
New Kashmir clash kills Pakistani soldier... (16-Jan-2013)
15-Jan-13 World View -- Al-Qaeda rebels in Mali counterattack as France bombs:
Germany threatens to block a bailout of Cyprus, reviving euro crisis... (15-Jan-2013)
14-Jan-13 World View -- France on terror alert after challenging al-Qaeda on two fronts:
Israel reaffirms settlement plan after Palestinian protest action... (14-Jan-2013)
13-Jan-13 World View -- Shia families in Quetta Pakistan refuse to bury bombing victims:
Pollution spikes to 'dangerous' levels in eastern China... (13-Jan-2013)
12-Jan-13 World View -- Acting unilaterally, France sends army and air force into Mali:
U.S. will withdraw from Afghanistan earlier than expected... (12-Jan-2013)
11-Jan-13 World View -- U.N. Security Council has emergency meeting over sudden deterioration in Mali:
Pakistan: Hundreds of casualties in multiple suicide bombings... (11-Jan-2013)
10-Jan-13 World View -- Syria's Assad frees 2,130 prisoners in exchange for 48 Iranians:
Hamas teaching Hebrew to young Palestinians... (10-Jan-2013)
9-Jan-13 World View -- New fighting between India and Pakistan in Kashmir:
Three scenarios for an accidental South China Sea war... (9-Jan-2013)
8-Jan-13 World View -- China quadruples rice imports for no apparent reason:
Obamacare causes health insurance rates to surge... (8-Jan-2013)
7-Jan-13 World View -- Brookings Institute freaks out over 'extremism' and fiscal cliff:
India and Pakistan armies clash in Kashmir... (7-Jan-2013)
6-Jan-13 World View -- South Korea refuses to extradite Yasukuni arsonist to Japan:
Greek communities adopt local currency to enable bartering... (6-Jan-2013)
5-Jan-13 World View -- Palestinian Authority changes name to 'State of Palestine':
Al-Jazeera buys Al Gore's Current TV to gain American audience... (5-Jan-2013)
4-Jan-13 World View -- Burma (Myanmar) Army warplanes strike Kachin rebels in north:
Venezuela's government vows unity as Chavez's health deteriorates... (4-Jan-2013)
3-Jan-13 World View -- Pakistan has measles surge as health workers are murdered:
More left wing violence, this time over gun control... (3-Jan-2013)
2-Jan-13 World View -- Al-Qaeda prepares for war in northern Mali:
Egypt's currency collapses to seven-year low... (2-Jan-2013)
1-Jan-13 World View -- 2013 Forecast: Financial Crisis and China Threat:
Updating the Global Conflict Risk Assessment graphic... (1-Jan-2013)
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June 4, 2011, presentation:
This Generational Dynamics presentation was given in 2011 at Fort Devens in Massachusetts.
Click here for presentation slides
April 20, 2004, presentation:
This Generational Dynamics presentation was given in 2004 at MIT in Cambridge, Mass.
Click here for presentation slides
Book Reviews:
Reviews of books on current events and history
About:
About Generational Dynamics, About John J. Xenakis
Comment:
Discussion and Comments
Crisis wars graphic:
Graphic showing crisis war timelines for Western Europe and for Orthodox Christianity vs Muslim Civilizations
Archive:
Archived items removed from the site home page.
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International Investment Advisories |
This is an experiment - Using the Generational Dynamics methodology
to provide up-to-date information on investment opportunities around
the world.
India
India: Hooray for Bollywood!:
Investment opportunities in India range from high-tech
pharmaceuticals to Spiderman.
(5-Jul-03)
India
India: Socially beneficial profits from "Untouchable" investments:
For those interested in socially beneficial investments in India, the
lot of India's Dalits provides an ideal investment target -- high-risk
but with the possibility of high returns because of the market size.
(7-Jul-03)
Iran
Trading with Iran: Not exactly a magic carpet ride:
Surprise! It turns out that being a member of the "Axis of Evil"
doesn't help investors.
(8-Jul-03)
Conflict Index:
A special feature of the experimental International Investment Advisories, containing information not available elsewhere, is the Conflict Index, a medium-range (1-2 years) and long-range (2-10 years) forecast of the likely level of local conflict, from riots and demonstrations to all out insurrection and civil war.
Cover design by Libby Chase, http://www.libbysgallery.com.
NY Skyline & Statue of Liberty clip art images
provided by http://budgetstockphoto.com.
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