Since 2002, we've been using generational analysis to make
specific, hard predictions about worldwide events, politics, culture,
technology, economics and international finance, and with much better
accuracy than private analyst firms. If you're paying big money for
high-priced newsletters from private analyst firms, and all you're
getting is vague "that might be a problem" forecasts, then check this
website regularly to get really useful, accurate forecasts -- FOR
Artificial Intelligence and the Singularity by 2030
How AI is rapidly changing our lives
Obamacare's Healthcare.gov -- The greatest software development disaster in history
Corruption, fraud and criminality in Healthcare.gov and Obamacare
Dysfunction, subversion, sabotage and fraud in software development projects
Information for academic researchers and software development
New Pentagon report outlines China's military buildup
China is preparing for war over Taiwan.
Financial Crisis Inquiry hearings provide 'smoking gun' evidence of widespread criminal fraud
What bankers claimed to have done is mathematically impossible.
Report from TARP Inspector: We're driving off a cliff in a faster car
We're headed for an even larger financial crisis.
"Shadow inventory" of unsold homes continues to grow
Housing prices still have very far to fall.
Generational Dynamics forecasting methodology
The methodology and tools used in generational theory to produce
forecasts and predictions
"Maybe we'll get it right this time" by Tom Mazanec
In this science fiction story, a time traveler tries to prevent the
world war predicted by Generational Dynamics.
The economic outlook for 2009
How we got to where we are today, who's to blame, and where we're
going in 2009.
The gathering storm in the Caucasus
The world is looking more and more like the prelude to World War I.
How Boomers and Generation-Xers brought about the dumbing down of
Information Technology (IT)
Software development has adopted a Java cookbook approach that leads
to project failures. Also: How Digimarc Corp. self-destructed with
management's cookbook programming mentality.
Basics of Generational Dynamics
Generational eras, archetypes, and other elements of generational
Chinese embarrassment and anger grows over Tibet and Olympics
Some notes on the growing mutual xenophobia and paranoia between
China and the West.
List of major Generational Dynamics predictions
These are the major predictions posted on this web site since 2003,
using the generational forecasting methodology.
Cities and towns need to start helping themselves.
Wracked by foreclosures and by the collapsing muncipal bond market,
cities and towns should start planning immediately.
A primer on financial engineering and structured finance
How financial engineers made a fortune creating worthless
The Bubble that Broke the World
How a book written in 1931-32 tells us what's going to happen in
How to compute the "real value" of the stock market.
And some additional speculations about stock market crashes.
Iraqi Sunnis are turning against al-Qaeda in Iraq
This is exactly the kind of thing that generational theory predicts.
System Dynamics and the Failure of Macroeconomics Theory
Mainstream macroeconomic theory, invented by Maynard Keynes in the
1930s, has failed to predict or explain anything that's happened
since the bubble started, including the bubble itself. We need a new
"Dynamic Macroeconomics" theory.
President George Bush talks about a "Third Awakening," but
he has his history wrong
It was America's 1960s Awakening that united Protestants, Catholics
and Jews, and cemented our support for Israel.
Washington becomes hysterical again over an Iraqi 'civil war'
A civil war in Iraq is impossible, as I've said many times, because
only one generation has passed since the Iran/Iraq war of the 1980s.
Here's some additional historical information.
Israel's war against Hizbollah and Lebanon forces Muslims to
The war is part of a larger Shi'ite-Sunni struggle, and a stopgap
ceasefire will create a worsening environment leading to a much more
chaotic situation within a few months
A beautiful mind? The world is paralyzed into a "Nash
Today, 61 years after the end of World War II, the countries of the
world are struggling to maintain a status quo that can't last
too much longer.
Why aren't college students protesting against the Iraq war?
Young students are criticized for being indifferent to politics,
while "Grannies Against the War" is truly bizarre.
Speculations about a stock market panic and crash
Will there be a stock market panic next week, next month, or next
year, and will it lead to a crash? We speculate on some possibilities.
Ariel Sharon's political "earthquake"
in Israel signals change in direction for entire Mideast
His aggressive program that began with the barrier and the Gaza
pullout is now likely to founder.
Ben S. Bernanke: The man without agony
Bernanke and Greenspan are as different as night and day, despite
what the pundits say.
Japanese and Chinese relations are deteriorating sharply
Between China's search for oil and Koizumi's shrine visit,
the level of anger and suspicion is rising fast.
Robert Pape's "Dying to Win" sheds light on
Robert Pape's database of every suicide bombing and attack
around the world from 1980-2003 -- 315 attacks in all -- provides
valuable insight into the causes of suicide terrorism, and confirms
the Generational Dynamics' conclusions about crisis wars.
The 11% Solution: An article in Barron's says
the stock market is very overvalued
New research by analyst Adam Barth finds that average earnings over
any 20-year period are surprisingly constant.
The Great Depression and Dow Jones Industrial Average
Scrolling through the DJIA through the Great Depression and later
gives a feeling as to what was happening, and how it compares to
what's happening today.
French rejection of EU Constitution signals decline
of entire European Union project
Exit polls from Sunday's French EU Constitution vote show a clear
generational split that analysts aren't noticing.
Increasing Muslim violence in Uzbekistan raises fears
of destabilizing Asia
After pro-Russian leaders have been replaced by Western-leaning ones
in Georgia, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, the Kremlin is watching the violence
in Uzbekistan nervously, and Washington is watching the Kremlin.
Mathematician solves problem puzzling historians for centuries
Does history repeat itself? Historians have tried and failed to
find provable patterns in history, but a mathematician has now
solved the problem that's stumped the historians for centuries.
Fed and Alan Greenspan signal aggressive plans to
increase interest rates
This means trouble for people in debt and for the stock market, but it
also hints that the Fed plans to keep the dollar strong through
North Korea continues mobilization for nuclear war
Blaming "hostile" U.S. policies, North Korea pulls out of nuclear
non-proliferation talks, claiming that it already has nuclear weapons.
This is a classic sequence of events that precedes a pre-emptive war.
Alan Greenspan warns that global economic dangers
are without historical precedent
In a speech on Friday, Greenspan buried a major change of position in
a speech admitting that his assumptions about the economy for the
last decade were wrong.
China appears to be approaching a major civil war
Unrest is spreading, and economic disparities make China a textbook
case for a massive civil war in the making
A generational interpretation of Charles Dickens' "A Christmas
Written in 1843, this classic novel depicts a clear generational
Ukraine headed for a confrontation with Putin
Ukraine is headed for trouble as it moves to reverse the 20-Nov
The six most dangerous regions in the world today.:
There are six regions that could lead the world into a new world war.
NOTE: This article also contains a lengthy summary of the
Generational Dynamics theory and Forecasting Methodology.
Election results show a major cultural and political restructuring
in the making.:
In the long run, George Bush's victory is less important than the
reasons why people voted for him.
Unrealistic expectations worldwide about the American election are
setting the stage for hostile reactions next year:
Will "something big" happen to America in 2005?
Ten-nation survey says that non-Americans worldwide
overwhelmingly favor Kerry over Bush:
However, Russia and Israel support Bush; so do Iran's mullahs
Can we withdraw from Iraq in 2005?:
Suddenly the Washington buzz is that whoever wins - Bush or Kerry -
will begin to withdraw American troops from Iraq. We look at two
historical examples to predict scenarios.
Yield curves are flattening as Federal Reserve
raises short term interest rates
Long-term interest rates are falling while short-term interest rates
are rising, a sign of possible trouble ahead.
On September 11, terrorism around the world is increasing
Infuriated and anxious people around the world are demanding military
actions to halt or even avenge terrorism
Does history favor George Bush or John Kerry?:
Long-term historical trends favor Bush, but Kerry may win anyway
because Bush is in danger of being 'Hooverized'
Southeast Asian nations are forced to pick sides in the
conflict between China and Taiwan:
Singapore will support China and Australia will support Taiwan in a
conflict between China and Taiwan.
Today's slow-motion genocide in Darfur recalls the lightning quick
genocide in Rwanda in 1994:
Why do these things always seem to happen in Africa? Understanding
Africa's geography explains why.
Oil prices spiking on supply fears:
There is increasing concern that Saudi Arabia's oil production is
peaking, and that prices will rise significantly farther.
Arab views worldwide are becoming increasingly hostile
Arab view of America is down to about 10% favorable, 90% unfavorable.
Kerry establishes an electoral lead going into the
He's tuned his message to what I suggested last year. Do you suppose
he read my web site?
Generational crisis for Arafat as thousands take to
streets in revolt in Gaza:
Arafat's offices burned down, as he seeks a way to prevent civil war
among Palestinian factions
"I, Robot" is science fiction, but intelligent
computers will soon be science fact.:
When will it dawn on the politicians and the general public that
this changes everything?
Alan Greenspan's Mixed Emotions:
More and more top analysts are getting concerned about extremely high
debt levels and stock valuations.
Operation Summer Pulse 04:
Taiwan is moving inexorably towards independence, and America is
supporting it, while China is freaking out over it. Will this lead
to an inevitable war over Taiwan?
Green Revolution vs Malthus Effect:
Despite the "Green Revolution," world population continues to grow
faster than food production. This is one of the fundamental reasons
why wars occur.
Beheadings part of increasing conflict level
The level of conflict is increasing throughout the Mideast, from Gaza
to Pakistan, from Saudi Arabia to Uzbekistan.
Stock market increasingly volatile:
Sharp plunges in international stock markets portend periods of
increasingly high volatility.
Iraq Today vs 1960s America (Revised):
They have much in common: Bombings, assassinations, student
demonstrations, violent riots, calls for insurrection and civil
war and harsh rhetoric. That's much more than a coincidence.
Taiwan's Wild Election Battle:
Taiwan's election battle is even wilder and more raucous than the
Bush-Gore election battle in 2000. Its uncertain outcome is causing
What Iraqi Civil War?:
Early in 2003, I predicted that there would be no popular uprising
against the Americans, and that there would be no civil war. After
the overthrow of Saddam, I said that an Iraqi civil war was
impossible. Despite the
constant near-hysteria of the politicians, journalists and
high-priced analysts, I've been right so far. Here's why.
Palestinian Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, spiritual leader of
the Hamas militia group, killed in Israeli air strike:
Generational Dynamics says that this brings Mideast much closer to
Madrid terrorist bombings are having unexpected
The 3/11 bombings may have the same effect on Europeans that the 9/11
attacks had on Americans.
Haiti: Heading for possible rebellion and anarchy:
A historical analysis of a potential crisis.
Anti-Shi'ite Terror Attacks in Iraq, Pakistan:
So far, Sunni and Shi'ite leaders in Iraq aren't taking the bait.
The New Sexual Revolution:
The pendulum is swinging back.
Alan Greenspan's Mea Culpa:
Alan Greenspan has put his legacy into serious danger
Georgia (Asia) on the brink of civil war:
Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze says that the country is on
the verge of civil war. This could be the next war in the "clash of
civilizations" between Islam and Christianity.
"Ping-Pong Terrorism" in Mideast leading
inevitably to major regional war:
Even non-violent acts are seen as terrorism by the other side, and the
intensity of the mutual attacks is constantly increasing.
Schwarzenegger's victory could spell trouble for
It also signals the end of the societal culture / gender wars.
What if Al Gore were President?:
Both Republicans and Democrats are making important strategic errors
in the battle for the White House in 2004. Here's what they
SHOULD be saying.
Is China unraveling?:
Should you invest in the world's fastest growing economy?
Analysts say yes, but
there are ominous generational signs of financial and social
instability in China.
Hamas Announces End of Cease-Fire:
Can Ariel Sharon and Yasser Arafat once more
fend off a large regional war?
Terrorist suicide bombings in Iraq may backfire
During an awakening period, terrorist acts cause masses of people to
shrink from more violence.
Riots in Iran:
Will there be a violent overthrow of the Iranian Mullahs?
Generational Dynamics says 'No.'
Dow Passes 9000 / Mideast Peace Plan Takes Off:
This is a big test for Generational Dynamics, which predicts that
the good news won't last.
"Mideast Roadmap" - Will it bring peace?:
Generational Dynamics predicts something quite different for the
France and Germany:
Why are they becoming anti-American?
The Anti-War Movement:
Will it gain traction?
North and South Korea:
Will the North Koreans start a nuclear war?
Turkey has been rebuffing America. What are they up to?
Is Japan's economy finally near collapse?
Will stocks rise or fall in 2004?
Latest Dow Jones Industrial Average
Articles from this web site may be copied to other web sites,
provided that authorship is acknowledged and provided that a link is
included back to the article on this web site. - John J.
Informal comments on current news and trends.
|Conflict risk level for next 6-12 months as of: 19-Oct-2014
12-Feb-16 World View -- US and Russia agree to a farcical 'cessation of hostilities' in Syria:
The vitriolic hatred of Bashar al-Assad... (12-Feb-2016)
11-Feb-16 World View -- Turkey's Erdogan splits further with US, blaming it for a 'sea of blood':
Pentagon deploying hundreds of troops to Helmand in Afghanistan... (11-Feb-2016)
10-Feb-16 World View -- Russia and Turkey head for clash on Syria border:
Turkey border 'buffer zone' could result in clash with Syrian army... (10-Feb-2016)
9-Feb-16 World View -- Monday's stock market rout blamed on China's foreign currency selloffs:
Hong Kong experiences worst violence in years... (9-Feb-2016)
8-Feb-16 World View -- Plans continue for Western military deployment into Libya:
UAE says it's ready to supply ground troops to fight ISIS in Syria... (8-Feb-2016)
7-Feb-16 World View -- Iran, Syria and Russia ridicule Saudi Arabia's army:
Europe sends mixed messages to Turkey about new flood of Syrian refugees... (7-Feb-2016)
6-Feb-16 World View -- As Iran's election approaches, generational conflict becomes vicious:
Turkey blocks tens of thousands of Aleppo Syria residents from entering Turkey... (6-Feb-2016)
5-Feb-16 World View -- Saudi ready to send ground troops into Syria, as regime encircles Aleppo:
Turkey denies Russian reports of Syria invasion... (5-Feb-2016)
4-Feb-16 World View -- Syria peace talks collapse as Russia carpet bombs opposition in Aleppo:
John Kerry warns of ISIS expansion in Syria... (4-Feb-2016)
3-Feb-16 World View -- US Navy's Freedom of Navigation Ops in South China Sea to grow in scope and complexity:
Jordan's King demands more refugee aid from international community... (3-Feb-2016)
2-Feb-16 World View -- France issues ultimatum to Israel as West Bank tensions grow:
Israel rejects France's ultimatum to recognize state of Palestine... (2-Feb-2016)
1-Feb-16 World View -- Damascus terror attack deals a new blow to Syria 'peace talks':
Dozens killed in ISIS attack on a Shia shrine in Damascus Syria... (1-Feb-2016)
31-Jan-16 World View -- Turkey threatens 'consequences' after Russia violates its airspace again:
The English language becomes an issue between Turkey and Russia... (31-Jan-2016)
30-Jan-16 World View -- Japan tries negative interest rates as US economy slows:
Mainstream economists are oblivious to the velocity of money... (30-Jan-2016)
29-Jan-16 World View -- US, Britain, France, Italy continue plans for Libya invasion against ISIS:
Russia builds military presence in Dagestan after ISIS attack... (29-Jan-2016)
28-Jan-16 World View -- China's game of Go beaten by Google's AI software, bringing the Singularity closer:
Google's AI technology will soon start taking people's jobs... (28-Jan-2016)
27-Jan-16 World View -- India deploying 'submarine killer' planes to counter China's submarines:
China demolishes Southern Mongolian herders' homes in mid-winter... (27-Jan-2016)
26-Jan-16 World View -- Mass protests force Moldova to choose between Europe and Russia:
Moldova crisis presents opportunities and dangers for Russia... (26-Jan-2016)
25-Jan-16 World View -- Farcical Syria peace process 'proximity talks' to begin this week in Geneva:
Previous attempts at Syria 'peace talks' ended in farce... (25-Jan-2016)
24-Jan-16 World View -- Migration crisis signals historic shifts in Europe and Mideast:
The 2016 market meltdown raises fears of financial crisis... (24-Jan-2016)
23-Jan-16 World View -- China signs nuclear deals with Saudi Arabia and Iran:
China signals support for Saudis in Yemen, and for Palestinian state... (23-Jan-2016)
22-Jan-16 World View -- Clown protesters mock Finland's xenophobic 'Soldiers of Odin':
The European Central Bank saves the stock markets for another day... (22-Jan-2016)
21-Jan-16 World View -- Azerbaijan forced to choose between Russia and Turkey:
Azerbaijan becomes the hub of the Caspian Trade Corridor, part of the new Silk Road... (21-Jan-2016)
20-Jan-16 World View -- Germany's Angela Merkel under pressure to restrict migrants:
Puerto Rico's debt problem even worse than expected... (20-Jan-2016)
19-Jan-16 World View -- Tajikistan's bitter split with Iran tempts it to side with Saudi Arabia:
Split triggered by Iran's invitation to an alleged anti-Tajik terrorist... (19-Jan-2016)
18-Jan-16 World View -- Pakistan tries to mediate between Saudi Arabia and Iran:
Reader questions about Mideast country alignments... (18-Jan-2016)
17-Jan-16 World View -- Taiwan's pro-independence party wins historic presidential election:
Pop star's Taiwan flag incident illustrates how tense relations are... (17-Jan-2016)
16-Jan-16 World View -- Mideast trends: Sunni-Shia countries align along predicted lines:
Saudi Arabia faces increased social unrest with sudden austerity budget... (16-Jan-2016)
15-Jan-16 World View -- UN's Ban Ki-moon calls Syria's Bashar al-Assad a war criminal:
Second aid convoy arrives in the starving Syrian city of Mayada... (15-Jan-2016)
14-Jan-16 World View -- Report: Sri Lankan government repeatedly torturing and raping Tamils:
Iran releases American sailors as end of sanctions approaches... (14-Jan-2016)
13-Jan-16 World View -- Royal Bank of Scotland predicts sharp 2016 recession, says 'Sell everything!':
Suicide bombing in Istanbul Turkey kills 10 tourists... (13-Jan-2016)
12-Jan-16 World View -- India threatens retaliation on Pakistan terrorists for air base attack:
Pathankot air base incident revives memories of the '26/11' Mumbai attack in 2008... (12-Jan-2016)
11-Jan-16 World View -- Britain debates leaving European Union amid National Health Service (NHS) crisis:
Hungary's PM tells Cameron: 'Hungarians in UK arenít parasites'... (11-Jan-2016)
10-Jan-16 World View -- Arab countries deeply divided over Iran vs Saudi Arabia confrontation:
Saudi Arabia and Iran accuse each other of terrorism... (10-Jan-2016)
9-Jan-16 World View -- China-North Korea tensions high after nuclear test:
South Korea resumes broadcasting propaganda via loudspeakers... (9-Jan-2016)
8-Jan-16 World View -- Iran struggles to recover from its firebombing of Saudi embassy:
Desperate Chinese officials remove stock market circuit breakers... (8-Jan-2016)
7-Jan-16 World View -- German 'Code of Conduct' for women shows pendulum swing on gender issues:
Merry Christmas!... (7-Jan-2016)
6-Jan-16 World View -- US, Britain, France preparing new Libya military offensive early in 2016:
ISIS assault in Libya giving militants control of oil fields... (6-Jan-2016)
5-Jan-16 World View -- President Obama may have to choose between Saudi Arabia and Iran:
European and Wall St stocks fall sharply, following China... (5-Jan-2016)
4-Jan-16 World View -- Saudi Arabia cuts diplomatic ties with Iran as violent Shia protests spread around region:
Sunni vs Shia sectarian tensions grow rapidly... (4-Jan-2016)
3-Jan-16 World View -- Mideast sectarian tensions surge as Iranians burn down Saudi embassy in Tehran:
Execution of Shia cleric Nirm al-Nimr triggers mass protests in Mideast... (3-Jan-2016)
2-Jan-16 World View -- In bizarre gaffe, Erdogan compares Turkey's government to Hitler's Germany:
India imposes men-only driving restrictions in Delhi to curb pollution... (2-Jan-2016)
1-Jan-16 World View -- 2016 and the 'dramatic multiplication of conflicts in the world':
Angela Merkel urges Germans to see refugees as an 'opportunity'... (1-Jan-2016)
31-Dec-15 World View -- Puerto Rico avoids default with partial bond repayment:
Central Africa Republic votes for new president and legislature... (31-Dec-2015)
30-Dec-15 World View -- Central Americans reach agreement on letting Cuban migrants reach the US:
ISIS may be linked to massive suicide bombing in northwest Pakistan... (30-Dec-2015)
29-Dec-15 World View -- Artificial Intelligence breakthroughs in 2015, the Singularity by 2030:
Artificial Intelligence and Climate Change... (29-Dec-2015)
28-Dec-15 World View -- Japan says that armed Chinese ship infiltrates its territorial waters:
Japan aggressively expands its military defense of the Senkaku Islands ... (28-Dec-2015)
27-Dec-15 World View -- Reader comments on 'The Big Short' and the financial crisis:
'The Big Short' today versus 'The Three-Penny Opera' in pre-Hitler Germany... (27-Dec-2015)
26-Dec-15 World View -- 'The Big Short' - an infuriating movie about the financial crisis:
Criminality in Washington... (26-Dec-2015)
25-Dec-15 World View -- Israel and Hezbollah may be close to war again:
Merry Christmas, Happy Kwanza, Belated Happy Hanukkah, Ramadan, Winter Solstice!... (25-Dec-2015)
24-Dec-15 World View -- Paralyzed Lebanon decides to export its garbage to Europe:
Syrian refugees in Lebanon increasingly face starvation... (24-Dec-2015)
23-Dec-15 World View -- UK bitterly sends troops back Afghanistan's Helmand province:
Number of migrants entering Europe this year passes the one million mark... (23-Dec-2015)
22-Dec-15 World View -- Russia's Syria airstrikes kill many innocent civilians, but otherwise appear futile:
Azerbaijan's currency devalues 32%, following Russia and Kazakhstan... (22-Dec-2015)
21-Dec-15 World View -- Taliban victories in Helmand put Obama's Afghan withdrawal policy in doubt:
Obama's 30,000 troop Afghan 'surge' strategy now in seventh year... (21-Dec-2015)
20-Dec-15 World View -- Puerto Rico negotiates restructuring after Congress fails to allow Chapter 9 bankruptcy:
Delusional claims made during the Democratic debate... (20-Dec-2015)
19-Dec-15 World View -- Taiwan may reverse South China Sea policy and oppose China:
Burundi calls planned African Union peacekeeping force 'an attack'... (19-Dec-2015)
18-Dec-15 World View -- Another Putin lie: America wanted Turkey to shoot down Russia's plane:
Turkey announces plans to build a military base in Qatar... (18-Dec-2015)
17-Dec-15 World View -- Despite China's disapproval, US will sell $1.83 billion in weapons to Taiwan:
Russia and Ukraine escalate mutual trade sanctions over occupied Crimea... (17-Dec-2015)
16-Dec-15 World View -- China and Ukraine develop closer ties, as Russia looks on:
Japan and South Korea leaders attempt to rewrite history textbooks... (16-Dec-2015)
15-Dec-15 World View -- BBC reporter confronts China's military in South China Sea:
Egyptian scholar: The original al-Aqsa mosque may not have been in Jerusalem... (15-Dec-2015)
14-Dec-15 World View -- Russian Duma goes after Protestant churches as 'sects and cults':
Central African Republic elections may worsen Muslim-Christian violence... (14-Dec-2015)
13-Dec-15 World View -- India, China, U.S. react to China's S. China Sea military expansion:
Worst violence in months in Burundi's capital city Bujumbura... (13-Dec-2015)
12-Dec-15 World View -- Russia and Turkey try to 'blackmail' Armenia into their conflict:
The mirror images: Donald Trump and Barack Obama... (12-Dec-2015)
11-Dec-15 World View -- Decaying stadiums from 2004 Athens Olympics have new lives housing migrants:
Greece transports migrants from Macedonian border back to Athens... (11-Dec-2015)
10-Dec-15 World View -- Burundi's Nkurunziza continues down Mugabe - Assad path of genocide:
EU-Burundi peace talks collapse amid worries of new Hutu-Tutsi genocide... (10-Dec-2015)
9-Dec-15 World View -- Number of foreign fighters joining ISIS in Syria doubles to 31,000:
About 700 women from Tunisia are thought to have joined ISIS... (9-Dec-2015)
8-Dec-15 World View -- Oil prices crash and OPEC collapses over Iran-Saudi rivalry:
Kazakhstan may be forced to choose between Russia and Turkey... (8-Dec-2015)
7-Dec-15 World View -- Azerbaijan faces rising radical Shia Islamist insurgency:
Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh surges again... (7-Dec-2015)
6-Dec-15 World View -- Israel bombs targets in Syria with Russia's tacit cooperation:
NY Times Page One calls for laws to confiscate some gun owners' guns... (6-Dec-2015)
5-Dec-15 World View -- Violence feared in Venezuela after probable Socialist loss on Sunday:
Venezuela likely to end 16 years of Socialist government... (5-Dec-2015)
4-Dec-15 World View -- Russia and Turkey increasingly on a war footing:
Russia cancels Turkey gas pipeline, prepares for Bosporus closure... (4-Dec-2015)
3-Dec-15 World View -- HRW: Bahrain's Sunni government continues abusing and torturing Shia majority:
NATO formally invites Montenegro to join the alliance... (3-Dec-2015)
2-Dec-15 World View -- In major new escalation, US special forces will conduct combat in Iraq and Syria:
Germany may deploy 1200 soldiers to Syria to fight ISIS... (2-Dec-2015)
1-Dec-15 World View -- Putin's Syria intervention hobbled by weak Russian economy:
France demands that Russia target only ISIS in Syria... (1-Dec-2015)
30-Nov-15 World View -- Nepal's fuel deal with China collapses, as India border blockade worsens:
Communist Maoists block all India vehicles from entering Nepal... (30-Nov-2015)
29-Nov-15 World View -- Russia's military buildup a game-changer in Syria:
Turkey's Erdogan 'saddened' by downing of Russia's warplane... (29-Nov-2015)
28-Nov-15 World View -- Pope Francis to visit Central African Republic in middle of civil war:
Pope Francis blames starvation and poverty on a new form of colonialism... (28-Nov-2015)
27-Nov-15 World View -- Turkey-Russia crisis continues to escalate:
European Union to end visa restrictions on Turkey's citizens... (27-Nov-2015)
26-Nov-15 World View -- Russia and Turkey move closer to the brink of war:
Turkish analysis of downing of Russian warplane... (26-Nov-2015)
25-Nov-15 World View -- Turkey shoots down Russian warplane, evoking memories of many Crimean wars:
Turkmen in Syria versus Russians in occupied Crimea... (25-Nov-2015)
24-Nov-15 World View -- Ukraine suspends all commercial trade with occupied Crimea:
Migrants blocked at Macedonian border sew their mouths shut... (24-Nov-2015)
23-Nov-15 World View -- ASEAN leaders harshly criticize China over South China Sea actions:
Occupied Crimea declares state of emergency after electricity is cut... (23-Nov-2015)
22-Nov-15 World View -- European Union considers gun control after Paris attack:
Brussels Belgium on lockdown in search for Paris bomber... (22-Nov-2015)
21-Nov-15 World View -- Mali hotel terror attack highlights al-Qaeda's strength in Africa:
Terror groups compete for credit for Mali hotel attack... (21-Nov-2015)
20-Nov-15 World View -- Obamacare in death spiral as UnitedHealth announces pullout:
New York Times: Obamacare's high deductibles make insurance all but useless... (20-Nov-2015)
19-Nov-15 World View -- Rwanda's president Kagame becomes another leader refusing to leave office:
Turkey soccer fans boo during moment of silence for Paris attack... (19-Nov-2015)
18-Nov-15 World View -- Brussels, Belgium, has become the center for European terror:
Hong Kong 'boos' China with paper signs at soccer match... (18-Nov-2015)
17-Nov-15 World View -- Anti-Muslim xenophobia surges in Europe and America:
Paris attack significantly worsens Europe refugee crisis... (17-Nov-2015)
16-Nov-15 World View -- France launches 'massive attack' on ISIS - 20 bombs:
Beirut wonders why their terror bombing is less important than Paris's... (16-Nov-2015)
15-Nov-15 World View -- Paris attacks: Forces coalesce for greater Christian military intervention against ISIS:
World reacts to Paris attack... (15-Nov-2015)
14-Nov-15 World View -- Paris and Beirut in shock and anger after massive terrorist attacks:
Europe's Schengen zone is put at risk by Paris attack... (14-Nov-2015)
13-Nov-15 World View -- ISIS claims credit for suicide attack on Hezbollah in Beirut Lebanon:
Commodities and stocks continue to plunge... (13-Nov-2015)
12-Nov-15 World View -- EU and African leaders clash amid accusations of 'Fortress Europe':
Arms race grows between Serbia and Croatia... (12-Nov-2015)
11-Nov-15 World View -- Global trade plunges as China's economy becomes deflationary:
Price/earnings index surges as earnings and profits contract... (11-Nov-2015)
10-Nov-15 World View -- Catalonia parliament votes to secede from Spain:
Israel's Netanyahu promises Obama to implement two-state solution... (10-Nov-2015)
9-Nov-15 World View -- Political crisis in Iran grows over nuclear agreement:
The coming regime change in Iran... (9-Nov-2015)
8-Nov-15 World View -- Nepal turns to China as border tensions with India increase:
Six months later, Nepal earthquake survivors face winter without shelter... (8-Nov-2015)
7-Nov-15 World View -- Turkey prepares for winter war with both PKK and ISIS:
Burundi follows the genocidal path of Mugabe's Zimbabwe... (7-Nov-2015)
6-Nov-15 World View -- Obamacare prices skyrocketing in 2016, as I predicted in 2009:
Kentucky's new governor Matt Bevin promises to end Obamacare abuses... (6-Nov-2015)
5-Nov-15 World View -- Bombing of plane in Egypt threatens Russia's Syria strategy:
US, Britain suggest ISIS bomb brought down Russian plane in Egypt... (5-Nov-2015)
4-Nov-15 World View -- Presidents of China and Taiwan to meet in Singapore on Saturday:
China asserts a 'bottom line' to US in South China Sea... (4-Nov-2015)
3-Nov-15 World View -- Pakistan's Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LeJ) continues plan to exterminate Shias:
History of sectarian violence in Pakistan since Partition... (3-Nov-2015)
2-Nov-15 World View -- Erdogan's party in Turkey wins landslide victory:
How Turkey changed in five months... (2-Nov-2015)
1-Nov-15 World View -- Russia warns that Syria war could become a 'proxy war':
Generational Dynamics and war between Palestinians and Israelis... (1-Nov-2015)
Web Log Pages
Current Web Log
Web Log Summary - 2016
Web Log Summary - 2015
Web Log Summary - 2014
Web Log Summary - 2013
Web Log Summary - 2012
Web Log Summary - 2011
Web Log Summary - 2010
Web Log Summary - 2009
Web Log Summary - 2008
Web Log Summary - 2007
Web Log Summary - 2006
Web Log Summary - 2005
Web Log Summary - 2004
Web Log - December, 2016
Web Log - November, 2016
Web Log - October, 2016
Web Log - September, 2016
Web Log - August, 2016
Web Log - July, 2016
Web Log - June, 2016
Web Log - May, 2016
Web Log - April, 2016
Web Log - March, 2016
Web Log - February, 2016
Web Log - January, 2016
Web Log - December, 2015
Web Log - November, 2015
Web Log - October, 2015
Web Log - September, 2015
Web Log - August, 2015
Web Log - July, 2015
Web Log - June, 2015
Web Log - May, 2015
Web Log - April, 2015
Web Log - March, 2015
Web Log - February, 2015
Web Log - January, 2015
Web Log - December, 2014
Web Log - November, 2014
Web Log - October, 2014
Web Log - September, 2014
Web Log - August, 2014
Web Log - July, 2014
Web Log - June, 2014
Web Log - May, 2014
Web Log - April, 2014
Web Log - March, 2014
Web Log - February, 2014
Web Log - January, 2014
Web Log - December, 2013
Web Log - November, 2013
Web Log - October, 2013
Web Log - September, 2013
Web Log - August, 2013
Web Log - July, 2013
Web Log - June, 2013
Web Log - May, 2013
Web Log - April, 2013
Web Log - March, 2013
Web Log - February, 2013
Web Log - January, 2013
Web Log - December, 2012
Web Log - November, 2012
Web Log - October, 2012
Web Log - September, 2012
Web Log - August, 2012
Web Log - July, 2012
Web Log - June, 2012
Web Log - May, 2012
Web Log - April, 2012
Web Log - March, 2012
Web Log - February, 2012
Web Log - January, 2012
Web Log - December, 2011
Web Log - November, 2011
Web Log - October, 2011
Web Log - September, 2011
Web Log - August, 2011
Web Log - July, 2011
Web Log - June, 2011
Web Log - May, 2011
Web Log - April, 2011
Web Log - March, 2011
Web Log - February, 2011
Web Log - January, 2011
Web Log - December, 2010
Web Log - November, 2010
Web Log - October, 2010
Web Log - September, 2010
Web Log - August, 2010
Web Log - July, 2010
Web Log - June, 2010
Web Log - May, 2010
Web Log - April, 2010
Web Log - March, 2010
Web Log - February, 2010
Web Log - January, 2010
Web Log - December, 2009
Web Log - November, 2009
Web Log - October, 2009
Web Log - September, 2009
Web Log - August, 2009
Web Log - July, 2009
Web Log - June, 2009
Web Log - May, 2009
Web Log - April, 2009
Web Log - March, 2009
Web Log - February, 2009
Web Log - January, 2009
Web Log - December, 2008
Web Log - November, 2008
Web Log - October, 2008
Web Log - September, 2008
Web Log - August, 2008
Web Log - July, 2008
Web Log - June, 2008
Web Log - May, 2008
Web Log - April, 2008
Web Log - March, 2008
Web Log - February, 2008
Web Log - January, 2008
Web Log - December, 2007
Web Log - November, 2007
Web Log - October, 2007
Web Log - September, 2007
Web Log - August, 2007
Web Log - July, 2007
Web Log - June, 2007
Web Log - May, 2007
Web Log - April, 2007
Web Log - March, 2007
Web Log - February, 2007
Web Log - January, 2007
Web Log - December, 2006
Web Log - November, 2006
Web Log - October, 2006
Web Log - September, 2006
Web Log - August, 2006
Web Log - July, 2006
Web Log - June, 2006
Web Log - May, 2006
Web Log - April, 2006
Web Log - March, 2006
Web Log - February, 2006
Web Log - January, 2006
Web Log - December, 2005
Web Log - November, 2005
Web Log - October, 2005
Web Log - September, 2005
Web Log - August, 2005
Web Log - July, 2005
Web Log - June, 2005
Web Log - May, 2005
Web Log - April, 2005
Web Log - March, 2005
Web Log - February, 2005
Web Log - January, 2005
Web Log - December, 2004
Web Log - November, 2004
Web Log - October, 2004
Web Log - September, 2004
Web Log - August, 2004
Web Log - July, 2004
Web Log - June, 2004
June 4, 2011, presentation:
This Generational Dynamics presentation was given in 2011 at Fort Devens in Massachusetts.
Click here for presentation slides
April 20, 2004, presentation:
This Generational Dynamics presentation was given in 2004 at MIT in Cambridge, Mass.
Click here for presentation slides
Reviews of books on current events and history
About Generational Dynamics, About John J. Xenakis
Discussion and Comments
Crisis wars graphic:
Graphic showing crisis war timelines for Western Europe and for Orthodox Christianity vs Muslim Civilizations
Archived items removed from the site home page.
This is an experiment - Using the Generational Dynamics methodology
to provide up-to-date information on investment opportunities around
International Investment Advisories |
India: Hooray for Bollywood!:
Investment opportunities in India range from high-tech
pharmaceuticals to Spiderman.
India: Socially beneficial profits from "Untouchable" investments:
For those interested in socially beneficial investments in India, the
lot of India's Dalits provides an ideal investment target -- high-risk
but with the possibility of high returns because of the market size.
Trading with Iran: Not exactly a magic carpet ride:
Surprise! It turns out that being a member of the "Axis of Evil"
doesn't help investors.
A special feature of the experimental International Investment Advisories, containing information not available elsewhere, is the Conflict Index, a medium-range (1-2 years) and long-range (2-10 years) forecast of the likely level of local conflict, from riots and demonstrations to all out insurrection and civil war.
Cover design by Libby Chase, http://www.libbysgallery.com.
NY Skyline & Statue of Liberty clip art images
provided by http://budgetstockphoto.com.