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 Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's

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Generational Dynamics is a historical methodology that analyzes historical events through the flow of generations, and uses the analysis to forecast future events by comparing today's generational attitudes to those of the past.
This site provides analysis and forecasts of international news, politics, culture and finance. We apply the Generational Dynamics methodology ruthlessly, without any biases: We take no sides in any political battles (such as Republicans vs Democrats) or in any international conflicts (such as Israelis vs Palestinians), and we don't use any religious interpretations. If we have any bias at all, it's that we're pro-American.




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In-Depth Analysis
Since 2002, we've been using generational analysis to make specific, hard predictions about worldwide events, politics, culture, technology, economics and international finance, and with much better accuracy than private analyst firms. If you're paying big money for high-priced newsletters from private analyst firms, and all you're getting is vague "that might be a problem" forecasts, then check this website regularly to get really useful, accurate forecasts -- FOR FREE.

New Pentagon report outlines China's military buildup : China is preparing for war over Taiwan. ( 28-Aug-2011 )
Financial Crisis Inquiry hearings provide 'smoking gun' evidence of widespread criminal fraud : What bankers claimed to have done is mathematically impossible. ( 14-Apr-2010 )
Report from TARP Inspector: We're driving off a cliff in a faster car : We're headed for an even larger financial crisis. ( 1-Feb-2010 )
"Shadow inventory" of unsold homes continues to grow : Housing prices still have very far to fall. (21-Dec-2009)
Generational Dynamics forecasting methodology : The methodology and tools used in generational theory to produce forecasts and predictions (3-May-2009)
"Maybe we'll get it right this time" by Tom Mazanec : In this science fiction story, a time traveler tries to prevent the world war predicted by Generational Dynamics. (9-Mar-2009)
The economic outlook for 2009 : How we got to where we are today, who's to blame, and where we're going in 2009. (5-Jan-2009)
The gathering storm in the Caucasus : The world is looking more and more like the prelude to World War I. (17-Aug-2008)
How Boomers and Generation-Xers brought about the dumbing down of Information Technology (IT) : Software development has adopted a Java cookbook approach that leads to project failures. Also: How Digimarc Corp. self-destructed with management's cookbook programming mentality. (1-Jul-2008)
Basics of Generational Dynamics : Generational eras, archetypes, and other elements of generational theory (22-Jun-2008)
Chinese embarrassment and anger grows over Tibet and Olympics : Some notes on the growing mutual xenophobia and paranoia between China and the West. (12-Apr-2008)
List of major Generational Dynamics predictions : These are the major predictions posted on this web site since 2003, using the generational forecasting methodology. (27-Mar-2008)
Cities and towns need to start helping themselves. : Wracked by foreclosures and by the collapsing muncipal bond market, cities and towns should start planning immediately. (2-Mar-2008)
A primer on financial engineering and structured finance : How financial engineers made a fortune creating worthless mortgage-based securities. (23-Jan-2008)
The Bubble that Broke the World : How a book written in 1931-32 tells us what's going to happen in 2008-2009. (9-Oct-2007)
How to compute the "real value" of the stock market. : And some additional speculations about stock market crashes. (20-Aug-2007)
Iraqi Sunnis are turning against al-Qaeda in Iraq : This is exactly the kind of thing that generational theory predicts. (1-Apr-2007)
System Dynamics and the Failure of Macroeconomics Theory : Mainstream macroeconomic theory, invented by Maynard Keynes in the 1930s, has failed to predict or explain anything that's happened since the bubble started, including the bubble itself. We need a new "Dynamic Macroeconomics" theory. (25-Oct-2006)
President George Bush talks about a "Third Awakening," but he has his history wrong : It was America's 1960s Awakening that united Protestants, Catholics and Jews, and cemented our support for Israel. (19-Sep-2006)
Washington becomes hysterical again over an Iraqi 'civil war' : A civil war in Iraq is impossible, as I've said many times, because only one generation has passed since the Iran/Iraq war of the 1980s. Here's some additional historical information. (7-Aug-2006)
Israel's war against Hizbollah and Lebanon forces Muslims to choose sides : The war is part of a larger Shi'ite-Sunni struggle, and a stopgap ceasefire will create a worsening environment leading to a much more chaotic situation within a few months (25-Jul-2006)
A beautiful mind? The world is paralyzed into a "Nash equilibrium" : Today, 61 years after the end of World War II, the countries of the world are struggling to maintain a status quo that can't last too much longer. (17-Jul-2006)
Why aren't college students protesting against the Iraq war? : Young students are criticized for being indifferent to politics, while "Grannies Against the War" is truly bizarre. (1-Jun-2006)
Speculations about a stock market panic and crash : Will there be a stock market panic next week, next month, or next year, and will it lead to a crash? We speculate on some possibilities. (31-May-2006)
Ariel Sharon's political "earthquake" in Israel signals change in direction for entire Mideast : His aggressive program that began with the barrier and the Gaza pullout is now likely to founder. (29-Nov-2005)
Ben S. Bernanke: The man without agony : Bernanke and Greenspan are as different as night and day, despite what the pundits say. (29-Oct-2005)
Japanese and Chinese relations are deteriorating sharply : Between China's search for oil and Koizumi's shrine visit, the level of anger and suspicion is rising fast. (23-Oct-2005)
Robert Pape's "Dying to Win" sheds light on suicide bombers. : Robert Pape's database of every suicide bombing and attack around the world from 1980-2003 -- 315 attacks in all -- provides valuable insight into the causes of suicide terrorism, and confirms the Generational Dynamics' conclusions about crisis wars. (18-Jul-2005)
The 11% Solution: An article in Barron's says the stock market is very overvalued : New research by analyst Adam Barth finds that average earnings over any 20-year period are surprisingly constant. (11-Jul-2005)
The Great Depression and Dow Jones Industrial Average : Scrolling through the DJIA through the Great Depression and later gives a feeling as to what was happening, and how it compares to what's happening today. Updated 30-Oct-2014 (30-Oct-2014)
French rejection of EU Constitution signals decline of entire European Union project : Exit polls from Sunday's French EU Constitution vote show a clear generational split that analysts aren't noticing. (1-Jun-2005)
Increasing Muslim violence in Uzbekistan raises fears of destabilizing Asia : After pro-Russian leaders have been replaced by Western-leaning ones in Georgia, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, the Kremlin is watching the violence in Uzbekistan nervously, and Washington is watching the Kremlin. (14-May-2005)
Press Release: Mathematician solves problem puzzling historians for centuries : Does history repeat itself? Historians have tried and failed to find provable patterns in history, but a mathematician has now solved the problem that's stumped the historians for centuries. (22-Apr-2005)
Fed and Alan Greenspan signal aggressive plans to increase interest rates : This means trouble for people in debt and for the stock market, but it also hints that the Fed plans to keep the dollar strong through crisis periods (24-Mar-2005)
North Korea continues mobilization for nuclear war : Blaming "hostile" U.S. policies, North Korea pulls out of nuclear non-proliferation talks, claiming that it already has nuclear weapons. This is a classic sequence of events that precedes a pre-emptive war. (10-Feb-2005)
Alan Greenspan warns that global economic dangers are without historical precedent : In a speech on Friday, Greenspan buried a major change of position in a speech admitting that his assumptions about the economy for the last decade were wrong. (6-Feb-2005)
China appears to be approaching a major civil war : Unrest is spreading, and economic disparities make China a textbook case for a massive civil war in the making (16-Jan-2005)
A generational interpretation of Charles Dickens' "A Christmas Carol" : Written in 1843, this classic novel depicts a clear generational struggle (5-Dec-2004)
Ukraine headed for a confrontation with Putin : Ukraine is headed for trouble as it moves to reverse the 20-Nov Presidential election. (28-Nov-2004)
The six most dangerous regions in the world today.: There are six regions that could lead the world into a new world war. NOTE: This article also contains a lengthy summary of the Generational Dynamics theory and Forecasting Methodology. (20-Nov-2004)
Election results show a major cultural and political restructuring in the making.: In the long run, George Bush's victory is less important than the reasons why people voted for him. (3-Nov-2004)
Unrealistic expectations worldwide about the American election are setting the stage for hostile reactions next year: Will "something big" happen to America in 2005? (24-Oct-2004)
Ten-nation survey says that non-Americans worldwide overwhelmingly favor Kerry over Bush: However, Russia and Israel support Bush; so do Iran's mullahs (23-Oct-2004)
Can we withdraw from Iraq in 2005?: Suddenly the Washington buzz is that whoever wins - Bush or Kerry - will begin to withdraw American troops from Iraq. We look at two historical examples to predict scenarios. (16-Oct-2004)
Yield curves are flattening as Federal Reserve raises short term interest rates significantly: Long-term interest rates are falling while short-term interest rates are rising, a sign of possible trouble ahead. (21-Sep-2004)
On September 11, terrorism around the world is increasing significantly: Infuriated and anxious people around the world are demanding military actions to halt or even avenge terrorism (11-Sep-2004)
Does history favor George Bush or John Kerry?: Long-term historical trends favor Bush, but Kerry may win anyway because Bush is in danger of being 'Hooverized' (24-Aug-2004)
Southeast Asian nations are forced to pick sides in the conflict between China and Taiwan: Singapore will support China and Australia will support Taiwan in a conflict between China and Taiwan. (23-Aug-2004)
Today's slow-motion genocide in Darfur recalls the lightning quick genocide in Rwanda in 1994: Why do these things always seem to happen in Africa? Understanding Africa's geography explains why. (22-Aug-2004)
Oil prices spiking on supply fears: There is increasing concern that Saudi Arabia's oil production is peaking, and that prices will rise significantly farther. (3-Aug-2004)
Arab views worldwide are becoming increasingly hostile to America: Arab view of America is down to about 10% favorable, 90% unfavorable. (26-Jul-2004)
Kerry establishes an electoral lead going into the Democratic convention.: He's tuned his message to what I suggested last year. Do you suppose he read my web site? (25-Jul-2004)
Generational crisis for Arafat as thousands take to streets in revolt in Gaza: Arafat's offices burned down, as he seeks a way to prevent civil war among Palestinian factions (19-Jul-2004)
"I, Robot" is science fiction, but intelligent computers will soon be science fact.: When will it dawn on the politicians and the general public that this changes everything? (9-Jul-2004)
Alan Greenspan's Mixed Emotions: More and more top analysts are getting concerned about extremely high debt levels and stock valuations. (6-Jul-2004)
Operation Summer Pulse 04: Taiwan is moving inexorably towards independence, and America is supporting it, while China is freaking out over it. Will this lead to an inevitable war over Taiwan? (6-Jul-2004)
Green Revolution vs Malthus Effect: Despite the "Green Revolution," world population continues to grow faster than food production. This is one of the fundamental reasons why wars occur. (28-Jun-2004)
Beheadings part of increasing conflict level throughout Mideast: The level of conflict is increasing throughout the Mideast, from Gaza to Pakistan, from Saudi Arabia to Uzbekistan. (23-Jun-2004)
Stock market increasingly volatile: Sharp plunges in international stock markets portend periods of increasingly high volatility. (17-May-04)
Iraq Today vs 1960s America (Revised): They have much in common: Bombings, assassinations, student demonstrations, violent riots, calls for insurrection and civil war and harsh rhetoric. That's much more than a coincidence. (8-May-2004)
Taiwan's Wild Election Battle: Taiwan's election battle is even wilder and more raucous than the Bush-Gore election battle in 2000. Its uncertain outcome is causing massive protests. (11-Apr-04)
What Iraqi Civil War?: Early in 2003, I predicted that there would be no popular uprising against the Americans, and that there would be no civil war. After the overthrow of Saddam, I said that an Iraqi civil war was impossible. Despite the constant near-hysteria of the politicians, journalists and high-priced analysts, I've been right so far. Here's why. (09-Apr-04)
Palestinian Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, spiritual leader of the Hamas militia group, killed in Israeli air strike: Generational Dynamics says that this brings Mideast much closer to all-out war (21-Mar-04)
Madrid terrorist bombings are having unexpected significance: The 3/11 bombings may have the same effect on Europeans that the 9/11 attacks had on Americans. (15-Mar-04)
Haiti: Heading for possible rebellion and anarchy: A historical analysis of a potential crisis. (4-Mar-04)
Anti-Shi'ite Terror Attacks in Iraq, Pakistan: So far, Sunni and Shi'ite leaders in Iraq aren't taking the bait. (2-Mar-04)
The New Sexual Revolution: The pendulum is swinging back. (27-Feb-04)
Alan Greenspan's Mea Culpa: Alan Greenspan has put his legacy into serious danger (08-Jan-04)
Georgia (Asia) on the brink of civil war: Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze says that the country is on the verge of civil war. This could be the next war in the "clash of civilizations" between Islam and Christianity. (15-Nov-03)
"Ping-Pong Terrorism" in Mideast leading inevitably to major regional war: Even non-violent acts are seen as terrorism by the other side, and the intensity of the mutual attacks is constantly increasing. (10-Oct-03)
Schwarzenegger's victory could spell trouble for Bush: It also signals the end of the societal culture / gender wars. (8-Oct-03)
What if Al Gore were President?: Both Republicans and Democrats are making important strategic errors in the battle for the White House in 2004. Here's what they SHOULD be saying. (26-Sep-03)
Is China unraveling?: Should you invest in the world's fastest growing economy? Analysts say yes, but there are ominous generational signs of financial and social instability in China. (10-Sep-03)
Hamas Announces End of Cease-Fire: Can Ariel Sharon and Yasser Arafat once more fend off a large regional war? (21-Aug-03)
Terrorist suicide bombings in Iraq may backfire against terrorists: During an awakening period, terrorist acts cause masses of people to shrink from more violence. (19-Aug-03)
Riots in Iran: Will there be a violent overthrow of the Iranian Mullahs? Generational Dynamics says 'No.' (25-Jun-03)
Dow Passes 9000 / Mideast Peace Plan Takes Off: This is a big test for Generational Dynamics, which predicts that the good news won't last. (04-Jun-03)
"Mideast Roadmap" - Will it bring peace?: Generational Dynamics predicts something quite different for the Mideast. (01-May-03)
France and Germany: Why are they becoming anti-American? (15-Feb-03)
The Anti-War Movement: Will it gain traction? (15-Feb-03)
North and South Korea: Will the North Koreans start a nuclear war? (22-Jan-03)
Turkey: Turkey has been rebuffing America. What are they up to? (24-Mar-03)
Japan: Is Japan's economy finally near collapse? (26-Mar-03)

Stock Market:

Latest Dow Jones Industrial Average
Latest Dow Jones Industrial Average

Will stocks rise or fall in 2004? (1-Jan-04)
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State of the World
Conflict risk level for next 6-12 months as of: 19-Oct-2014
W. Europe 3 Mideast 4
Russia Caucasus 3 Kashmir 2
China 3 North Korea 2
Financial 3 Swine/Bird flu/Ebola 4
Key: 1=green 1=Low risk 2=yellow 2=Med 3=red 3=High 4=black 4=Active
Web Log
Web Log: Informal comments on current news and trends.

31-Oct-14 World View -- Palestinians accuse Israel of 'declaration of war' as tensions mount in Jerusalem: U.S. foreign policy in further chaos as Israel's Netanyahu is slammed... (31-Oct-2014)
30-Oct-14 World View -- World Health Organization says Ebola outbreak is 'in decline': Unanswered questions about the spread of Ebola... (30-Oct-2014)
29-Oct-14 World View -- Egypt begins evacuating Sinai residents on Gaza border: Turkey explains why they won't send troops into Kobani... (29-Oct-2014)
28-Oct-14 World View -- Poland to move thousands of troops east in reaction to Russian threat: Israel announces plans for 1000 new settlements in East Jerusalem... (28-Oct-2014)
27-Oct-14 World View -- Sunni vs Shia sectarian clashes grow in northern Lebanon: One banker jumps to his death, another hangs himself this week... (27-Oct-2014)
26-Oct-14 World View -- Egypt in state of emergency after terrorist attack in Sinai: Sinai attack signals the end of Gaza peace agreement terms... (26-Oct-2014)
25-Oct-14 World View -- Two-year-old baby in Mali dies after spreading Ebola: World Health Organization declares a global polio outbreak... (25-Oct-2014)
24-Oct-14 World View -- Plane crash killing France's Total SA president jeopardizes Russia's oil contracts: Indonesia's president calls for a 'global maritime axis'... (24-Oct-2014)
23-Oct-14 World View -- Canada in shock over Ottawa shootings: Turkey's military options in Syria are restricted by limited capability... (23-Oct-2014)
22-Oct-14 World View -- Hong Kong leader suggests that the poor shouldn't be allowed to vote: Violent rioting breaks out in Sierra Leone town over Ebola case... (22-Oct-2014)
21-Oct-14 World View -- Tensions grow with China over Indonesia's Natuna Islands: Reversing policies, Turkey and U.S. escalate involvement in Kobani... (21-Oct-2014)
20-Oct-14 World View -- Vladimir Putin: Global economy will collapse with oil at $80 per barrel: China blames Hong Kong protests on 'external forces'... (20-Oct-2014)
19-Oct-14 World View -- Forecasting the Ebola endgame and Global Risk: Ebola and the Clash of Civilizations world war... (19-Oct-2014)
18-Oct-14 World View -- Nigerians skeptical of deal with Boko Haram to release abducted schoolgirls: Investors cheer as Wall Street gains 263 points on Friday... (18-Oct-2014)
17-Oct-14 World View -- In humiliation, Turkey loses Security Council seat over Syria policy: Venezuela scores anti-U.S. coup by winning Security Council seat... (17-Oct-2014)
16-Oct-14 World View -- Stocks plunge in Greece as its financial crisis is renewed: Wild stock market swings could signal coming Wall St plunge... (16-Oct-2014)
15-Oct-14 World View -- NY Times reveals Saddam Hussein had large quantities of WMDs: Turkey-France meeting signals new confusion in Turkey's Syria policy... (15-Oct-2014)
14-Oct-14 World View -- Australia's PM Tony Abbott promises to 'shirt-front' Vladimir Putin when they meet: WHO: Ebola threatens the 'very survival' of countries... (14-Oct-2014)
13-Oct-14 World View -- Al-Qaeda and ISIS struggle for global jihadi terrorist leadership: Large Mideast stock market bubbles appear to be crashing... (13-Oct-2014)
12-Oct-14 World View -- Disappearance of North Korea's Kim Jong-un looks more and more serious: Concerns grow that terrorists might use Ebola as biological weapon... (12-Oct-2014)
11-Oct-14 World View -- Renewed violence in Central African Republic despite peacekeepers: The daily needs of a single Ebola patient... (11-Oct-2014)
10-Oct-14 World View -- Turkey and America play a game of 'chicken' over ISIS and Kobani: Iran blames Pakistan for terrorist attacks... (10-Oct-2014)
9-Oct-14 World View -- Kurdish riots continue as Turkey deals with the Kobani conundrum: Why do so many Chinese expect war?... (9-Oct-2014)
8-Oct-14 World View -- Kurds protest violently in cities across Turkey over ISIS attack on Kobani: Biden makes a third apology, this time to Saudi Arabia... (8-Oct-2014)
7-Oct-14 World View -- U.S. military expands war in Iraq with Apache Helicopters: Ebola expected to reach France and Britain within three weeks... (7-Oct-2014)
6-Oct-14 World View -- ISIS influence spreads in Asia, as Pakistan Taliban pledges support: Biden continues apologizing, this time to UAE... (6-Oct-2014)
5-Oct-14 World View -- Hong Kong protesters fear more violence by China's 'Triad' gangs: Joe Biden apologizes to Turkey's president Erdogan for ISIS remarks... (5-Oct-2014)
4-Oct-14 World View -- Iran's Supreme Leader condemns 'American Islam': Sweden to be first EU country to recognize State of Palestine... (4-Oct-2014)
3-Oct-14 World View -- Five new Ebola patients become infected every hour in Sierra Leone: Turkey's parliament approves military operations in Syria and Iraq... (3-Oct-2014)
2-Oct-14 World View -- Turkey will vote Thursday on military action in Syria: Hong Kong protesters raise their demands... (2-Oct-2014)
1-Oct-14 World View -- Russia's ruble currency drops to record low against the dollar: Taiwan officials split on reaction to Hong Kong protests... (1-Oct-2014)
30-Sep-14 World View -- Kobani crisis causes Turkey to reverse policy on Syria: Hong Kong police back off as demonstrations continue... (30-Sep-2014)
29-Sep-14 World View -- India's rock star PM Narendra Modi draws mobs at Madison Square Garden: Pro-democracy protests bring Hong Kong to a standstill... (29-Sep-2014)
28-Sep-14 World View -- Central African Republican government asks UN to lift arms embargo: Saudis prepare for MERS and Ebola at Hajj... (28-Sep-2014)
27-Sep-14 World View -- WHO must respond to 'unprecedented scale of humanitarian emergencies': Britain votes joins countries at war against ISIS... (27-Sep-2014)
26-Sep-14 World View -- Russia holds massive Vostok 2014 military exercises amid anti-US hysteria: Russia's desperate relationship with China... (26-Sep-2014)
25-Sep-14 World View -- Nigeria's army sees a turning point as Boko Haram fighters surrender: Nato reports a 'significant' Russian troop pullback from Ukraine... (25-Sep-2014)
24-Sep-14 World View -- Iran brags that Sanaa Yemen is the fourth Arab capital they control: CDC warns of possibly 1.4 million Ebola infections in West Africa... (24-Sep-2014)
23-Sep-14 World View -- Turkey braces for expected flood of hundreds of thousands more refugees: Yazidis, Mosul Christians hold Obama responsible for ISIS... (23-Sep-2014)
22-Sep-14 World View -- Israeli-Hamas peace talks to resume in Cairo on Tuesday: New climate change circus in progress... (22-Sep-2014)
21-Sep-14 World View -- Turkey admits 66,000 refugee Kurds from Syria as Mideast realignment continues: India launches 'Project Mausam' to counter China's 'Maritime Silk Road'... (21-Sep-2014)
20-Sep-14 World View -- Yemen violence may be proxy between Iran and Muslim Brotherhood: China's Alibaba IPO causes lightheaded investors to pop champagne corks... (20-Sep-2014)
19-Sep-14 World View -- BBC reporters attacked by Russian thugs after finding evidence of new Ukraine invasion: Thailand's PM suggests that only ugly people are safe in bikinis... (19-Sep-2014)
18-Sep-14 World View -- Will Ebola become a worldwide pandemic?: John Kerry's testimony before the Senate: 1971 and Today... (18-Sep-2014)
17-Sep-14 World View -- Russia, India to sell supersonic cruise missile to Vietnam: U.S. to send 3,000 troops to Liberia to fight Ebola... (17-Sep-2014)
16-Sep-14 World View -- Saudis push to avoid MERS outbreak as Hajj approaches: The center of international piracy moves from Somalia to Singapore... (16-Sep-2014)
15-Sep-14 World View -- US surveillance aircraft may have access to Malaysian air bases: ISIS recruiting women from America and Britain... (15-Sep-2014)
14-Sep-14 World View -- ISIS execution of Britain's David Haines may change US/UK military dynamics: Russian Orthodox fanatic considers Vladimir Putin to be united with God... (14-Sep-2014)
13-Sep-14 World View -- Palestinians divided over taking Israel to International Criminal Court: Little visible support for American coalition to fight ISIS... (13-Sep-2014)
12-Sep-14 World View -- President George W. Obama pledges to 'degrade, destroy' ISIS: CIA increases estimate: ISIS has 20,000 to 31,500 fighters... (12-Sep-2014)
11-Sep-14 World View -- Scotland's independence referendum is encouraging Catalonia's separatists: China's Uighur migrants attempt to reach Turkey... (11-Sep-2014)
10-Sep-14 World View -- Yemen faces both Shia Houthi protesters and Sunni AQAP jihadists: Protests in Sanaa are tied to gasoline subsidies... (10-Sep-2014)
9-Sep-14 World View -- Ukraine conflict and rise of ISIS put Russia's Caucasus at risk: France's scapegoat 'Rogue trader' Jerome Kerviel is freed from prison... (9-Sep-2014)
8-Sep-14 World View -- Mahmoud Abbas threatens to end the 'Palestinian unity' government: Russia threatens Nato with a new nuclear military doctrine... (8-Sep-2014)
7-Sep-14 World View -- Israel preparing for 'very violent' war with Hezbollah: Ebola pandemic may mean the end of the 'Africa Rising' dream... (7-Sep-2014)
6-Sep-14 World View -- Debka: ISIS is targeting the Euphrates and Tigris river basins in Iraq: India to release 250,000 prisoners awaiting trial... (6-Sep-2014)
5-Sep-14 World View -- ISIS and al-Qaeda in a generational struggle for India: China to increase harassment of U.S. surveillance planes... (5-Sep-2014)
4-Sep-14 World View -- ISIS and Saudi Arabia in the Mideast realignment: ISIS and the resurgence of Saudi Wahhabism... (4-Sep-2014)
3-Sep-14 World View -- Mideast realignment continues following the Gaza war: Doctors Without Borders: We're losing the battle against Ebola... (3-Sep-2014)
2-Sep-14 World View -- India, Japan leaders meet to counter rise of China: Russian lawyers: 'Stealth invasion' of Ukraine is legal... (2-Sep-2014)
1-Sep-14 World View -- Israel infuriates Palestinians by claiming West Bank land for settlements: Pakistan's army issues a veiled threat to politicians... (1-Sep-2014)
31-Aug-14 World View -- Coup possible in Pakistan after night of violence: Russian troops threaten Ukraine's entire coastline... (31-Aug-2014)
30-Aug-14 World View -- Al-Shabaab wants jihadists from UK, Germany and Minnesota: UK raises terror threat level, citing British citizen terrorists... (30-Aug-2014)
29-Aug-14 World View -- Russia widens its invasion of Ukraine: Canada's Nato delegation provides geography lesson to Russia... (29-Aug-2014)
28-Aug-14 World View -- Europe tries to deal with increasing flood of migrants from Africa: United Nations accuses Syria of continuing use of chemical weapons... (28-Aug-2014)
27-Aug-14 World View -- Israel and Hamas agree to 'long-term' truce in Gaza war: Egypt denies militarily intervening in Libya... (27-Aug-2014)
26-Aug-14 World View -- Egypt and United Arab Emirates (UAE) enter the war in Libya: Frightened Syrian leadership asks for American help with ISIS... (26-Aug-2014)
25-Aug-14 World View -- AQAP announces support for ISIS: Violence flares on India/Pakistan border in Kashmir... (25-Aug-2014)
24-Aug-14 World View -- Narendra Modi and rise of Hindutva (Hindu nationalism) in India: Philippines to defy China by offering South China Sea sightseeing cruise tours... (24-Aug-2014)
23-Aug-14 World View -- Who's to blame for the rise of ISIS?: In major escalation, Russia moves trucks, troops, artillery into Ukraine... (23-Aug-2014)
22-Aug-14 World View -- Hamas says it didn't intend to start the Gaza War: Tunisia and Egypt cancel passenger flights to Libya... (22-Aug-2014)
21-Aug-14 World View -- Australian MP Clive Palmer shocks country with anti-China rant: Invasion of Libya feared following mysterious bombing of Tripoli... (21-Aug-2014)
20-Aug-14 World View -- Pakistan's army called to quell massive anti-government protest: 34 people killed in Central African Republic... (20-Aug-2014)
19-Aug-14 World View -- Israel, Hamas extend Gaza truce another 24 hours to negotiate deal: Kenya will block West African passengers from entering country... (19-Aug-2014)
18-Aug-14 World View -- Activists call for U.S. and Britain to partner with al-Assad against ISIS: Attack on Ebola clinic in Liberia raises fears of out of control spread... (18-Aug-2014)
17-Aug-14 World View -- Erdogan turns Turkey even more against Israel and Egypt: Turkey allies with Hamas, Qatar and ISIS... (17-Aug-2014)
16-Aug-14 World View -- West Africa at significant economic risk as Ebola panic intensifies: Ukraine says it partially destroyed Russian military convoy crossing border... (16-Aug-2014)
15-Aug-14 World View -- Russia threatens to invade Ukraine from East and West: China's bank lending falls 64% in July... (15-Aug-2014)
14-Aug-14 World View -- Western countries struggle with whether to send troops to Iraq: Iraq is repeating the events of the 1930s... (14-Aug-2014)
13-Aug-14 World View -- Mammoth Russian truck convoy heads for confrontation at Ukraine border: U.S. sends 130 more troops to Iraq as advisors... (13-Aug-2014)
12-Aug-14 World View -- Russia to send 'non-military' aid truck convoy into eastern Ukraine: U.S. sending weapons directly to Kurds in Iraq... (12-Aug-2014)
11-Aug-14 World View -- Iraq's PM al-Maliki orders troops and tanks into Baghdad: Belarus to be the big winner in Russia's food import ban... (11-Aug-2014)
10-Aug-14 World View -- New Delhi TV accidentally gets video of Hamas rocket launch in Gaza: 'Salami slicing tactics' by Russia and China risk wider war... (10-Aug-2014)
9-Aug-14 World View -- Hamas is at war with Egypt more than Israel: Obama is dragged kicking and screaming back towards the Truman Doctrine... (9-Aug-2014)
8-Aug-14 World View -- U.S. military returns to Iraq, almost three years after withdrawing: Concerns grow over possible Russian invasion of Ukraine... (8-Aug-2014)
7-Aug-14 World View -- Russia appears poised to invade Ukraine, threatening war: Panic over Ebola grows as Nigeria declares state of emergency... (7-Aug-2014)
6-Aug-14 World View -- Cyclic anti-Semitism surges in Europe: The Jews and the Spanish Inquisition... (6-Aug-2014)
5-Aug-14 World View -- Syria war spills into Lebanon, as ISIS attacks town of Arsal: China reasserts its sovereignty over the South China Sea... (5-Aug-2014)
4-Aug-14 World View -- Iran trapped in a quagmire supporting both Syria and Iraq: Israel faces harsh international criticism over shelling of UN shelter... (4-Aug-2014)
3-Aug-14 World View -- Congress reacts to photos of Assad's torture victims in Syria: Israel confirms the death of the abducted soldier... (3-Aug-2014)
2-Aug-14 World View -- Gaza ceasefire collapses with 'game changer' abduction: Tunisia closes border to foreigners fleeing Libya... (2-Aug-2014)
1-Aug-14 World View -- The Gaza ceasefire: Things to watch for: The Rafah crossing becomes a major issue in the Gaza war... (1-Aug-2014)
31-Jul-14 World View -- The Gaza war becomes existential for both sides: Russia replaces America's influence in Central Asia... (31-Jul-2014)
30-Jul-14 World View -- Uighurs launch massive knife-wielding terrorist attack in China: China's secret weapon in the South China Sea: 50,000 fishing boats... (30-Jul-2014)
29-Jul-14 World View -- Huge fuel depot fire threatens Tripoli Libya with explosion: Kerry shuts Egypt and Palestinian Authority out of Gaza 'peace plan'... (29-Jul-2014)
28-Jul-14 World View -- Embassies in Tripoli evacuated, as Libya sinks into tribal war: United Arab Emirates to launch a space program to reach Mars... (28-Jul-2014)
27-Jul-14 World View -- Iran's Supreme Leader wants to annihilate Israel, but not Jews: Israel extends the Gaza ceasefire by 24 hours, but Hamas does not... (27-Jul-2014)
26-Jul-14 World View -- Israel rejects 7-day ceasefire, agrees to 12-hour ceasefire: Ebola victim escapes from hospital, putting Freetown at risk... (26-Jul-2014)
25-Jul-14 World View -- Can Hamas survive the Gaza war?: UN official says that Mideast will be 'shocked' into peace... (25-Jul-2014)
24-Jul-14 World View -- Palestinians harden demands for agreement to a Gaza cease-fire: Gunmen kill 21 Egyptian border guards on border with Libya... (24-Jul-2014)
23-Jul-14 World View -- Al-Jazeera attacked by gunfire in Gaza: Report: Israeli warplanes strike weapons arsenal in Sudan... (23-Jul-2014)
22-Jul-14 World View -- Gaza war splits Arab states into competing alliances: Ukraine's pro-Russian separatists grudgingly give up 'black boxes'... (22-Jul-2014)
21-Jul-14 World View -- Israel's war with the Gaza tunnels moves into population centers: ISIS evicts Christians and Kurds from Mosul Iraq as new bomb blasts hit Baghdad... (21-Jul-2014)
20-Jul-14 World View -- Netherlands leads international outrage against Russia for airliner shootdown: Why do Arabs have so many children?... (20-Jul-2014)
19-Jul-14 World View -- Russia blows off US accusation of complicity in shooting down airliner: Israel warns of 'significantly widening' the ground operation in Gaza... (19-Jul-2014)
18-Jul-14 World View -- Will Russia get away with it again?: Multiple simultaneous crises signal deteriorating geopolitics... (18-Jul-2014)
17-Jul-14 World View -- Sectarian violence continues to grow in Central African Republic: Gaza conflicts open old wounds in the Arab world... (17-Jul-2014)
16-Jul-14 World View -- Hamas furious at Egypt's cease-fire proposal, as violence escalates: Turkey's prime minister Erdogan makes vitriolic attack on Israel... (16-Jul-2014)
15-Jul-14 World View -- Ukraine accuses Russia of shooting down military transport plane: Rise of ISIS spawns new jihadist groups in Indonesia... (15-Jul-2014)
14-Jul-14 World View -- Terrorist attacks in Egypt's Sinai raise fears of ISIS links: Why the U.S. can't offer effective help to Nigeria... (14-Jul-2014)
13-Jul-14 World View -- Will Israel win the next war between Arabs and Jews?: Israeli special forces appear to be fighting in Gaza... (13-Jul-2014)
12-Jul-14 World View -- Gaza tunnels make Israeli ground offensive dangerous but necessary: Health workers flee from West Africa as Ebola epidemic spreads... (12-Jul-2014)
11-Jul-14 World View -- Australia joins Japan, Vietnam, Philippines in opposing China: A humiliated Russia considers next steps in east Ukraine... (11-Jul-2014)
10-Jul-14 World View -- Israel and Hamas accuse each other of war crimes: Measles spreading rapidly in China... (10-Jul-2014)
9-Jul-14 World View -- Mideast war or peace? It all depends on what Hamas wants.: Hamas says that all Israelis are now targets... (9-Jul-2014)
8-Jul-14 World View -- Young Jewish males confess to lynching, as Israel and Gaza prepare for war: Russia's Vladimir Putin appears to be the loser in Ukraine... (8-Jul-2014)
7-Jul-14 World View -- Israeli police hold six suspects in the murder of Palestinian teen: Pakistan's military attack on Taliban produces little besides chaos... (7-Jul-2014)
6-Jul-14 World View -- Palestinian violence spreads after new atrocities are revealed: Ukraine's Poroshenko claims a major victory against pro-Russian separatists... (6-Jul-2014)
5-Jul-14 World View -- Activists demand restoration of the Kingdom of Hawaii: East Ukraine fighting gets bloodier as new peace talks are scheduled... (5-Jul-2014)
4-Jul-14 World View -- Israel masses troops on Gaza border and violence escalates in Jerusalem: China reaffirms plans to annex India's Arunachal Pradesh province... (4-Jul-2014)
3-Jul-14 World View -- Airport security to increase as Yemen bomb makers join with Syrian jihadists: China bans Ramadan fasting for Uighurs in Xinjiang province... (3-Jul-2014)
2-Jul-14 World View -- Ukraine's forces assault pro-Russian separatists as cease-fire ends: In face of China's increased aggression, Japan reinterprets its constitution... (2-Jul-2014)
1-Jul-14 World View -- ISIS makes laughable 'Caliphate' claim: Pentagon announces additional 300 troop deployment to Iraq... (1-Jul-2014)
30-Jun-14 World View -- Nigeria's Boko Haram attacks a Church, but flees from bees and snakes: Bank of International Settlements warns of 'euphoric markets' and high debt... (30-Jun-2014)
29-Jun-14 World View -- Sarajevo Serbs unveil monument to Gavrilo Princip, who triggered World War I: West African Ebola outbreak is now the worst in history... (29-Jun-2014)
28-Jun-14 World View -- USS Bataan with 1000 marines to join six other warships in the Persian Gulf: We have Jean-Claude Juncker to kick around again.... (28-Jun-2014)
27-Jun-14 World View -- Saudi Arabia's armed forces on high alert as ISIS approaches: Thousands of Ukrainians flee east Ukraine for Russia... (27-Jun-2014)
26-Jun-14 World View -- Ukraine to sign trade deal with European Union on Friday: Stocks rise after disastrous GDP report... (26-Jun-2014)
25-Jun-14 World View -- The Iraqi catastrophe worsens as European youth join ISIS: Boko Haram in Nigeria abducts 60 more girls and 30 boys... (25-Jun-2014)
24-Jun-14 World View -- Egypt's Kangaroo Court finds Al-Jazeera journalists guilty with no evidence: Ebola virus is 'out of control' in western Africa... (24-Jun-2014)
23-Jun-14 World View -- Jordan on alert as ISIS captures more Iraq border towns : Pakistanis fear nationwide blowback from military offensive against Taliban... (23-Jun-2014)
22-Jun-14 World View -- India's PM Narendra Modi government in crisis over Iraq hostages: In strategic victory, ISIS captures Syria-Iraq border crossing... (22-Jun-2014)
21-Jun-14 World View -- With Syria destabilizing, number of refugees back to WW II levels: Financial advisors taking kickbacks in addition to commissions... (21-Jun-2014)
20-Jun-14 World View -- President Obama orders more U.S. military involvement in Iraq: Nato reports new Russian troop build-up on Ukraine's border... (20-Jun-2014)
19-Jun-14 World View -- Chinese and Vietnamese officials meet without smiling and agree on nothing: U.S. is flying F-18 surveillance missions over Iraq... (19-Jun-2014)
18-Jun-14 World View -- Generational Dynamics historical analysis of the violence in Iraq: Was the 2003 ground invasion of Iraq a mistake?... (18-Jun-2014)
17-Jun-14 World View -- U.S. sending 275 troops back into Iraq to protect embassy: Kenya suffers worst terrorist attack since Westgate Mall attack... (17-Jun-2014)
16-Jun-14 World View -- The size of the Iraq catastrophe continues to unfold: Pakistan launches major military action against Taliban... (16-Jun-2014)
15-Jun-14 World View -- Iran asks U.S. to intervene in Iraq, and offers to help: Ukraine conflict escalates sharply after plane shot down, killing 49... (15-Jun-2014)
14-Jun-14 World View -- U.S. and Iran move to help Iraq's al-Maliki stop ISIS: U.S. State Dept. confirms Russian tanks in Ukraine... (14-Jun-2014)
13-Jun-14 World View -- President Obama considers military action in Iraq: Foreign exchange price fixing will exceed libor scandal in criminality... (13-Jun-2014)
12-Jun-14 World View -- ISIS and Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi sweep across Iraq, capture Tikrit: The collapse of Iraq's army... (12-Jun-2014)
11-Jun-14 World View -- Iraq in major crisis after catastrophic fall of Mosul to ISIS: Thailand's military junta uses sexy 'army girls' to change minds... (11-Jun-2014)
10-Jun-14 World View -- Iran closes border with Pakistan after terror attack in Balochistan: Massive Taliban attack at airport in Karachi, Pakistan... (10-Jun-2014)
9-Jun-14 World View -- Egypt's al-Sisi makes laundry list of promises at inauguration: Pope Francis plants an olive tree for Mideast Peace... (9-Jun-2014)
8-Jun-14 World View -- Russia forced to change tactics after Ukraine's election: Jihadist violence across Iraq continues to grow... (8-Jun-2014)
7-Jun-14 World View -- Pentagon issues annual report on China's military: Former ambassador to Syria harshly criticizes Obama's policies... (7-Jun-2014)
6-Jun-14 World View -- Indonesia increases defense spending to combat China: Eurozone moves to negative interest rates to fight deflation... (6-Jun-2014)
5-Jun-14 World View -- History is repeating itself in China and Vietnam: Nigeria helpless as Boko Haram trashes entire villages... (5-Jun-2014)
4-Jun-14 World View -- Vietnam develops increasingly dangerous strategy to counter China: Saudi Arabia reports significantly more deaths from MERS virus... (4-Jun-2014)
3-Jun-14 World View -- Polio continues to flare in Nigeria and Pakistan: Hamas leader resigns as Palestine unity government is announced... (3-Jun-2014)
3-Jun-14 World View -- Polio continues to flare in Nigeria and Pakistan: Hamas leader resigns as Palestine unity government is announced... (3-Jun-2014)
2-Jun-14 World View -- Prisoner swap deal infuriates many Afghans, 'big victory' for Taliban: Abbas: Palestinian unity government will 'renounce violence' against Israel... (2-Jun-2014)
1-Jun-14 World View -- Hagel sets a 'red line' for China in South China Sea: Migrants from Syria and Africa flood into Italy... (1-Jun-2014)

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General
June 4, 2011, presentation: This Generational Dynamics presentation was given in 2011 at Fort Devens in Massachusetts. Click here for presentation slides
April 20, 2004, presentation: This Generational Dynamics presentation was given in 2004 at MIT in Cambridge, Mass. Click here for presentation slides
Book Reviews: Reviews of books on current events and history
About: About Generational Dynamics, About John J. Xenakis
Comment: Discussion and Comments
Crisis wars graphic: Graphic showing crisis war timelines for Western Europe and for Orthodox Christianity vs Muslim Civilizations
Archive: Archived items removed from the site home page.
International Investment Advisories
This is an experiment - Using the Generational Dynamics methodology to provide up-to-date information on investment opportunities around the world.
India
India: Hooray for Bollywood!: Investment opportunities in India range from high-tech pharmaceuticals to Spiderman. (5-Jul-03)
India
India: Socially beneficial profits from "Untouchable" investments: For those interested in socially beneficial investments in India, the lot of India's Dalits provides an ideal investment target -- high-risk but with the possibility of high returns because of the market size. (7-Jul-03)
Iran
Trading with Iran: Not exactly a magic carpet ride: Surprise! It turns out that being a member of the "Axis of Evil" doesn't help investors. (8-Jul-03)
Conflict Index: A special feature of the experimental International Investment Advisories, containing information not available elsewhere, is the Conflict Index, a medium-range (1-2 years) and long-range (2-10 years) forecast of the likely level of local conflict, from riots and demonstrations to all out insurrection and civil war.
Credits
Cover design by Libby Chase, http://www.libbysgallery.com.
NY Skyline & Statue of Liberty clip art images provided by http://budgetstockphoto.com.



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