Since 2002, we've been using generational analysis to make
specific, hard predictions about worldwide events, politics, culture,
technology, economics and international finance, and with much better
accuracy than private analyst firms. If you're paying big money for
high-priced newsletters from private analyst firms, and all you're
getting is vague "that might be a problem" forecasts, then check this
website regularly to get really useful, accurate forecasts -- FOR
FREE.
Generational Dynamics forecasting methodology
:
The methodology and tools used in generational theory to produce
forecasts and predictions
(3-May-2009)
"Maybe we'll get it right this time" by Tom Mazanec
:
In this science fiction story, a time traveler tries to prevent the
world war predicted by Generational Dynamics.
(9-Mar-2009)
The economic outlook for 2009
:
How we got to where we are today, who's to blame, and where we're
going in 2009.
(5-Jan-2009)
The gathering storm in the Caucasus
:
The world is looking more and more like the prelude to World War I.
(17-Aug-2008)
How Boomers and Generation-Xers brought about the dumbing down of
Information Technology (IT)
:
Software development has adopted a Java cookbook approach that leads
to project failures. Also: How Digimarc Corp. self-destructed with
management's cookbook programming mentality.
(1-Jul-2008)
Basics of Generational Dynamics
:
Generational eras, archetypes, and other elements of generational
theory
(22-Jun-2008)
Chinese embarrassment and anger grows over Tibet and Olympics
:
Some notes on the growing mutual xenophobia and paranoia between
China and the West.
(12-Apr-2008)
List of major Generational Dynamics predictions
:
These are the major predictions posted on this web site since 2003,
using the generational forecasting methodology.
(27-Mar-2008)
Cities and towns need to start helping themselves.
:
Wracked by foreclosures and by the collapsing muncipal bond market,
cities and towns should start planning immediately.
(2-Mar-2008)
A primer on financial engineering and structured finance
:
How financial engineers made a fortune creating worthless
mortgage-based securities.
(23-Jan-2008)
The Bubble that Broke the World
:
How a book written in 1931-32 tells us what's going to happen in
2008-2009.
(9-Oct-2007)
How to compute the "real value" of the stock market.
:
And some additional speculations about stock market crashes.
(20-Aug-2007)
Iraqi Sunnis are turning against al-Qaeda in Iraq
:
This is exactly the kind of thing that generational theory predicts.
(1-Apr-2007)
System Dynamics and the Failure of Macroeconomics Theory
:
Mainstream macroeconomic theory, invented by Maynard Keynes in the
1930s, has failed to predict or explain anything that's happened
since the bubble started, including the bubble itself. We need a new
"Dynamic Macroeconomics" theory.
(25-Oct-2006)
President George Bush talks about a "Third Awakening," but
he has his history wrong
:
It was America's 1960s Awakening that united Protestants, Catholics
and Jews, and cemented our support for Israel.
(19-Sep-2006)
Washington becomes hysterical again over an Iraqi 'civil war'
:
A civil war in Iraq is impossible, as I've said many times, because
only one generation has passed since the Iran/Iraq war of the 1980s.
Here's some additional historical information.
(7-Aug-2006)
Israel's war against Hizbollah and Lebanon forces Muslims to
choose sides
:
The war is part of a larger Shi'ite-Sunni struggle, and a stopgap
ceasefire will create a worsening environment leading to a much more
chaotic situation within a few months
(25-Jul-2006)
A beautiful mind? The world is paralyzed into a "Nash
equlibrium"
:
Today, 61 years after the end of World War II, the countries of the
world are struggling to maintain a status quo that can't last
too much longer.
(17-Jul-2006)
Why aren't college students protesting against the Iraq war?
:
Young students are criticized for being indifferent to politics,
while "Grannies Against the War" is truly bizarre.
(1-Jun-2006)
Speculations about a stock market panic and crash
:
Will there be a stock market panic next week, next month, or next
year, and will it lead to a crash? We speculate on some possibilities.
(31-May-2006)
Ariel Sharon's political "earthquake"
in Israel signal change in direction for entire Mideast
:
His aggressive program that began with the barrier and the Gaza
pullout is now likely to founder.
(29-Nov-2005)
Ben S. Bernanke: The man without agony
:
Bernanke and Greenspan are as different as night and day, despite
what the pundits say.
(29-Oct-2005)
Japanese and Chinese relations are deteriorating sharply
:
Between China's search for oil and Koizumi's shrine visit,
the level of anger and suspicion is rising fast.
(23-Oct-2005)
Robert Pape's "Dying to Win" sheds light on
suicide bombers.
:
Robert Pape's database of every suicide bombing and attack
around the world from 1980-2003 -- 315 attacks in all -- provides
valuable insight into the causes of suicide terrorism, and confirms
the Generational Dynamics' conclusions about crisis wars.
(18-Jul-2005)
The 11% Solution: An article in Barron's says
the stock market is very overvalued
:
New research by analyst Adam Barth finds that average earnings over
any 20-year period are surprisingly constant.
(11-Jul-2005)
The Great Depression and Dow Jones Industrial Average
:
Scrolling through the DJIA through the Great Depression and later
gives a feeling as to what was happening, and how it compares to
what's happening today.
Updated 2-Jul-2009
(2-Jul-2009)
French rejection of EU Constitution signals decline
of entire European Union project
:
Exit polls from Sunday's French EU Constitution vote show a clear
generational split that analysts aren't noticing.
(1-Jun-2005)
Increasing Muslim violence in Uzbekistan raises fears
of destabilizing Asia
:
After pro-Russian leaders have been replaced by Western-leaning ones
in Georgia, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, the Kremlin is watching the violence
in Uzbekistan nervously, and Washington is watching the Kremlin.
(14-May-2005)
Press Release:
Mathematician solves problem puzzling historians for centuries
:
Does history repeat itself? Historians have tried and failed to
find provable patterns in history, but a mathematician has now
solved the problem that's stumped the historians for centuries.
(22-Apr-2005)
Fed and Alan Greenspan signal aggressive plans to
increase interest rates
:
This means trouble for people in debt and for the stock market, but it
also hints that the Fed plans to keep the dollar strong through
crisis periods
(24-Mar-2005)
North Korea continues mobilization for nuclear war
:
Blaming "hostile" U.S. policies, North Korea pulls out of nuclear
non-proliferation talks, claiming that it already has nuclear weapons.
This is a classic sequence of events that precedes a pre-emptive war.
(10-Feb-2005)
Alan Greenspan warns that global economic dangers
are without historical precedent
:
In a speech on Friday, Greenspan buried a major change of position in
a speech admitting that his assumptions about the economy for the
last decade were wrong.
(6-Feb-2005)
China appears to be approaching a major civil war
:
Unrest is spreading, and economic disparities make China a textbook
case for a massive civil war in the making
(16-Jan-2005)
A generational interpretation of Charles Dickens' "A Christmas
Carol"
:
Written in 1843, this classic novel depicts a clear generational
struggle
(5-Dec-2004)
Ukraine headed for a confrontation with Putin
:
Ukraine is headed for trouble as it moves to reverse the 20-Nov
Presidential election.
(28-Nov-2004)
The six most dangerous regions in the world today.:
There are six regions that could lead the world into a new world war.
NOTE: This article also contains a lengthy summary of the
Generational Dynamics theory and Forecasting Methodology.
(20-Nov-2004)
Election results show a major cultural and political restructuring
in the making.:
In the long run, George Bush's victory is less important than the
reasons why people voted for him.
(3-Nov-2004)
Unrealistic expectations worldwide about the American election are
setting the stage for hostile reactions next year:
Will "something big" happen to America in 2005?
(24-Oct-2004)
Ten-nation survey says that non-Americans worldwide
overwhelmingly favor Kerry over Bush:
However, Russia and Israel support Bush; so do Iran's mullahs
(23-Oct-2004)
Can we withdraw from Iraq in 2005?:
Suddenly the Washington buzz is that whoever wins - Bush or Kerry -
will begin to withdraw American troops from Iraq. We look at two
historical examples to predict scenarios.
(16-Oct-2004)
Yield curves are flattening as Federal Reserve
raises short term interest rates
significantly:
Long-term interest rates are falling while short-term interest rates
are rising, a sign of possible trouble ahead.
(21-Sep-2004)
On September 11, terrorism around the world is increasing
significantly:
Infuriated and anxious people around the world are demanding military
actions to halt or even avenge terrorism
(11-Sep-2004)
Does history favor George Bush or John Kerry?:
Long-term historical trends favor Bush, but Kerry may win anyway
because Bush is in danger of being 'Hooverized'
(24-Aug-2004)
Southeast Asian nations are forced to pick sides in the
conflict between China and Taiwan:
Singapore will support China and Australia will support Taiwan in a
conflict between China and Taiwan.
(23-Aug-2004)
Today's slow-motion genocide in Darfur recalls the lightning quick
genocide in Rwanda in 1994:
Why do these things always seem to happen in Africa? Understanding
Africa's geography explains why.
(22-Aug-2004)
Oil prices spiking on supply fears:
There is increasing concern that Saudi Arabia's oil production is
peaking, and that prices will rise significantly farther.
(3-Aug-2004)
Arab views worldwide are becoming increasingly hostile
to America:
Arab view of America is down to about 10% favorable, 90% unfavorable.
(26-Jul-2004)
Kerry establishes an electoral lead going into the
Democratic convention.:
He's tuned his message to what I suggested last year. Do you suppose
he read my web site?
(25-Jul-2004)
Generational crisis for Arafat as thousands take to
streets in revolt in Gaza:
Arafat's offices burned down, as he seeks a way to prevent civil war
among Palestinian factions
(19-Jul-2004)
"I, Robot" is science fiction, but intelligent
computers will soon be science fact.:
When will it dawn on the politicians and the general public that
this changes everything?
(9-Jul-2004)
Alan Greenspan's Mixed Emotions:
More and more top analysts are getting concerned about extremely high
debt levels and stock valuations.
(6-Jul-2004)
Operation Summer Pulse 04:
Taiwan is moving inexorably towards independence, and America is
supporting it, while China is freaking out over it. Will this lead
to an inevitable war over Taiwan?
(6-Jul-2004)
Green Revolution vs Malthus Effect:
Despite the "Green Revolution," world population continues to grow
faster than food production. This is one of the fundamental reasons
why wars occur.
(28-Jun-2004)
Beheadings part of increasing conflict level
throughout Mideast:
The level of conflict is increasing throughout the Mideast, from Gaza
to Pakistan, from Saudi Arabia to Uzbekistan.
(23-Jun-2004)
Stock market increasingly volatile:
Sharp plunges in international stock markets portend periods of
increasingly high volatility.
(17-May-04)
Iraq Today vs 1960s America (Revised):
They have much in common: Bombings, assassinations, student
demonstrations, violent riots, calls for insurrection and civil
war and harsh rhetoric. That's much more than a coincidence.
(8-May-2004)
Taiwan's Wild Election Battle:
Taiwan's election battle is even wilder and more raucous than the
Bush-Gore election battle in 2000. Its uncertain outcome is causing
massive protests.
(11-Apr-04)
What Iraqi Civil War?:
Early in 2003, I predicted that there would be no popular uprising
against the Americans, and that there would be no civil war. After
the overthrow of Saddam, I said that an Iraqi civil war was
impossible. Despite the
constant near-hysteria of the politicians, journalists and
high-priced analysts, I've been right so far. Here's why.
(09-Apr-04)
Palestinian Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, spiritual leader of
the Hamas militia group, killed in Israeli air strike:
Generational Dynamics says that this brings Mideast much closer to
all-out war
(21-Mar-04)
Madrid terrorist bombings are having unexpected
significance:
The 3/11 bombings may have the same effect on Europeans that the 9/11
attacks had on Americans.
(15-Mar-04)
Haiti: Heading for possible rebellion and anarchy:
A historical analysis of a potential crisis.
(4-Mar-04)
Anti-Shi'ite Terror Attacks in Iraq, Pakistan:
So far, Sunni and Shi'ite leaders in Iraq aren't taking the bait.
(2-Mar-04)
The New Sexual Revolution:
The pendulum is swinging back.
(27-Feb-04)
Alan Greenspan's Mea Culpa:
Alan Greenspan has put his legacy into serious danger
(08-Jan-04)
Georgia (Asia) on the brink of civil war:
Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze says that the country is on
the verge of civil war. This could be the next war in the "clash of
civilizations" between Islam and Christianity.
(15-Nov-03)
"Ping-Pong Terrorism" in Mideast leading
inevitably to major regional war:
Even non-violent acts are seen as terrorism by the other side, and the
intensity of the mutual attacks is constantly increasing.
(10-Oct-03)
Schwarzenegger's victory could spell trouble for
Bush:
It also signals the end of the societal culture / gender wars.
(8-Oct-03)
What if Al Gore were President?:
Both Republicans and Democrats are making important strategic errors
in the battle for the White House in 2004. Here's what they
SHOULD be saying.
(26-Sep-03)
Is China unraveling?:
Should you invest in the world's fastest growing economy?
Analysts say yes, but
there are ominous generational signs of financial and social
instability in China.
(10-Sep-03)
Hamas Announces End of Cease-Fire:
Can Ariel Sharon and Yasser Arafat once more
fend off a large regional war?
(21-Aug-03)
Terrorist suicide bombings in Iraq may backfire
against terrorists:
During an awakening period, terrorist acts cause masses of people to
shrink from more violence.
(19-Aug-03)
Riots in Iran:
Will there be a violent overthrow of the Iranian Mullahs?
Generational Dynamics says 'No.'
(25-Jun-03)
Dow Passes 9000 / Mideast Peace Plan Takes Off:
This is a big test for Generational Dynamics, which predicts that
the good news won't last.
(04-Jun-03)
"Mideast Roadmap" - Will it bring peace?:
Generational Dynamics predicts something quite different for the
Mideast.
(01-May-03)
France and Germany:
Why are they becoming anti-American?
(15-Feb-03)
The Anti-War Movement:
Will it gain traction?
(15-Feb-03)
North and South Korea:
Will the North Koreans start a nuclear war?
(22-Jan-03)
Turkey:
Turkey has been rebuffing America. What are they up to?
(24-Mar-03)
Japan:
Is Japan's economy finally near collapse?
(26-Mar-03)
Stock Market:
|
 |
Latest Dow Jones Industrial Average
|
Will stocks rise or fall in 2004?
(1-Jan-04)
|
Articles from this web site may be copied to other web sites,
provided that authorship is acknowledged and provided that a link is
included back to the article on this web site. - John J.
Xenakis
|
| Conflict risk level for next six months
|
|---|
|
W. Europe |
1 |
Arab Israeli |
3 |
|
Russia Caucasus |
3 |
Kashmir |
3 |
|
China |
2 |
North Korea |
2 |
|
Financial |
3 |
Swine/Bird flu |
3 |
Key:
1=Low risk
2=Med
3=High
| |
|---|
Web Log:
Informal comments on current news and trends.
Feminist alert: Millionaires' mistresses and wives are biggest victims of financial crisis:
Abusive, controlling husbands are forcing wives to do their own cooking and cleaning.... (5-Jul-2009)
The influence of computerized trading programs:
It may be that computer software is already in charge of our futures.... (2-Jul-2009)
Brookings Institution does a full reversal on Iraq war:
As Americans withdraw from cities, Brookings admits there's no civil war.... (1-Jul-2009)
Ayatollah Ali Khamanei relives his childhood, as Iran arrests UK Embassy employees:
Following a week of massacres, protestors have taken to the rooftops,... (28-Jun-2009)
Iran's Khamenei appears desperate, as reports of Tehran massacres grow:
An amazing generational battle is proceeding in Iran.... (26-Jun-2009)
A generational explanation of Iran's political crisis:
What happens when an irresistible force meets an immovable object?... (23-Jun-2009)
Iran's government panics, as Supreme Leader hints at violence against protesters:
Friday's speech by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was a significant escalation... (20-Jun-2009)
Wall Street Journal sharply revises its fantasy price/earnings computations:
Do you suppose they read this web site?... (15-Jun-2009)
Iran: Violent street demonstrations follow Ahmadinejad's landslide election victory:
Opposition supporters are claiming massive election fraud,... (14-Jun-2009)
WHO declares a worldwide H1N1 "mild" swine flu pandemic:
The big question is: What's going to happen in the fall?... (13-Jun-2009)
World Bank forecast for global economy turns sharply worse:
The world economy will contract by 3% this year, far more... (12-Jun-2009)
Angry Ahmadinejad accuses opponents of "Hitler's methods" in raucus presidential election:
Under-30 voters may propel Mir-Hossein Mousavi to victory.... (11-Jun-2009)
BlogWatch: Yves Smith at "Naked Capitalism" adopts generational model of financial crisis:
She says that middle-level (Gen-X) managers extorted executive (Boomer) management.... (7-Jun-2009)
SEC charges former Countrywide CEO Angelo Mozilo with fraud.:
It's a perfect example of how Generation-Xers worked with Boomers to destroy the global financial system.... (7-Jun-2009)
Some reader questions on the bear market rally.:
People want to know whether the market has finally bottomed.... (5-Jun-2009)
China's people commemorate the Tiananmen Square massacre, June 4, 1989:
The paranoid Beijing government has been panicking as June 4 approaches.... (4-Jun-2009)
Massive refugee population swells as Pakistan claims Taliban near defeat:
Doubts are being raised over Pakistan government claims that... (31-May-2009)
Tamil Tigers renounce violence, to join Sri Lanka political process:
New photos show "genocidal fury" at climax of civil war.... (25-May-2009)
The inane style over substance debate over closing Guantanamo prison:
We're seeing a new tv drama, "The education of Barack Obama."... (25-May-2009)
Laszlo Birinyi provides insight on his fantasy price/earnings computations:
These are the figures published by the Wall Street Journal.... (22-May-2009)
Jubilant Sri Lanka celebrates, as President reaches out to the Tamils:
But President Rajapaksa will need to follow words with actions.... (20-May-2009)
Tamil Tigers surrender, ending the Sri Lanka crisis civil war:
"We have decided to silence our guns. Our only regrets are... (17-May-2009)
With over a million refugees, Pakistan is close to full-scale civil war.:
A BBC study has found extensive Taliban control of Northwest Frontier Province.... (16-May-2009)
Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Gaza are all following the same path.:
But the end is in sight for Sri Lanka.... (11-May-2009)
Stock market rally raises cautious, anxious hope among investors.:
The question is: Why is it happening, and how long will it last?... (9-May-2009)
Hundreds of thousands of refugees flee as Pakistan's civil war expands:
The army is massing for a bloody battle in Swat Valley.... (6-May-2009)
Summary of articles on generational theory:
Including a new article on Generational Dynamics forecasting methodology.... (5-May-2009)
Rapid worldwide H1N1 swine flu spread is raising big concerns for the Fall.:
People need to focus on they should do individually to prepare.... (2-May-2009)
Peace deal with Taliban collapses as Pakistan comes a step closer to civil war.:
The Taliban promise revenge, as army helicopter gunships and artillery target militant hideout.... (30-Apr-2009)
In a fragile world, a swine flu pandemic would have geopolitical consequences:
Also: The big economic impact may trigger new financial crises.... (27-Apr-2009)
New 'swine flu' virus is mild for most, but raises pandemic concerns:
Precautions are being taken around the world.... (26-Apr-2009)
Wall Street Journal and Birinyi Associates are lying about P/E ratios:
Their figures don't make sense, and they differ from everyone else's.... (26-Apr-2009)
Tens of thousands of Tamil civilians flee fighting, in last days of Sri Lanka war:
A "human avalanche" of refugees threatens to overwhelm internment camps.... (22-Apr-2009)
Is Pakistan's government close to total collapse?:
More analysts are saying so, and predicting dire consequences.... (20-Apr-2009)
Does Susan Boyle's sudden popularity signal new direction for popular music?:
The sweet, melodious music of the 1930s and 1940s may finally be returning.... (18-Apr-2009)
Vile "teabagging" jokes signal the deterioration of CNN and NBC news:
"Tea party" protests are anti-Washington, anti-tax and anti-spending.... (18-Apr-2009)
Sri Lanka army ready for final assault on Tamil Tiger rebels:
1000 Tigers are trapped in a "safe zone" with 100,000 Tamil civilians.... (16-Apr-2009)
Stories of massive generational fraud and corruption continue to pour out:
Long-time readers of this web site know how much my life... (14-Apr-2009)
New book, "Unhappy China," stokes Chinese nationalism and anti-Americanism.:
Runaway bestseller in China worries Beijing and the west.... (12-Apr-2009)
Unrest in Moldova may have international repercussions:
A new confrontation between Russia and the West may be coming.... (9-Apr-2009)
President Obama scores big diplomatic victory in a world waiting for ... what?:
We might call this "The Age of Great Compromises."... (5-Apr-2009)
Fiscal stimulus programs in 1930s and today:
Did Hitler really do everything right?... (1-Apr-2009)
New terrorist attack in Lahore leads Pakistanis to despair:
An 8-hour attack on a residential barracks for police trainees... (31-Mar-2009)
New Pentagon report shows China continues to prepare for war with US:
Rapid military buildup focuses on Taiwan, submarines, and anti-satellite weaponry.... (29-Mar-2009)
The "culture of complicity" continues with Tim Geithner's new toxic asset plan:
You may recall back to last fall,... (26-Mar-2009)
President Obama casts a vote against Iran's President Ahmadinejad:
Can reformist Mir-Hossein Musavi beat Ahmadinejad in the June 12 elections?... (22-Mar-2009)
Enquiring minds want to know: How long will the rally last?:
Here are some "dead cat bounce" factoids... (20-Mar-2009)
The mob turns ugly as AIG bonuses come under fire:
The President goes from outrage to outrage.... (19-Mar-2009)
Analysts and journalists freak out as Q4 2008 earnings turn negative.:
Wrong so many times, what do they make of last week's stock market rally?... (15-Mar-2009)
Darfur war takes a major turn, as Sudan expels aid groups.:
Oxfam, CARE, Save the Children, and numerous other aid groups... (11-Mar-2009)
British Foreign Minister says Pakistan is facing a "mortal threat":
Still in shock after cricket team ambush, Pakistan suffers another bloody weekend.... (8-Mar-2009)
FBI will aid Bangladesh investigation of border guard officer massacre (Revised):
76 Bangladesh army officers were mutilated and killed last week... (4-Mar-2009)
Cricketing world in shock after attack on Sri Lanka team in Pakistan:
Lashkar-e-Taiba is suspected in the brutal attack in Lahore,... (4-Mar-2009)
The economy, the stimulus plan and the budget plan all continue to unravel:
Markets keep falling as world economic trends continue to plunge.... (2-Mar-2009)
Reported corporate earnings crash 44% since January:
Most likely result: A further substantial stock market plunge.... (26-Feb-2009)
Desperate Pakistan government capitulates to Taliban in Swat Valley:
The government agrees to impose Sharia law in exchange for "peace"... (23-Feb-2009)
Market reaches a 'crisis low' as east European banks raise widespread concern:
The Dow Industrials are 47% below their peak, in a new six-year low.... (20-Feb-2009)
Germans commemorate the Allied firebombing of Dresden in 1945:
Thousands of left- and right-wing protestors clash in Dresden... (17-Feb-2009)
President Obama's smashing fiscal stimulus victory contrasts with Geithner's TARP disaster:
Building a sand castle while the tide is coming in.... (16-Feb-2009)
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner bombs with analysts and investors:
It's obvious that Geithner has no idea what he's doing.... (11-Feb-2009)
President Obama gives a press conference to sell the $800 stimulus package.:
To me, he seemed anxious and desperate. We'll see what the polls say.... (10-Feb-2009)
Israel poised to elect Benjamin Netanyahu as Prime Minister in move to the right:
Israel's historic connection to Russia plays an increasing role in Tuesday's election.... (9-Feb-2009)
Eat drink and be merry, for tomorrow we die.:
Investors were cheering the state of confusion and panic in Washington,... (7-Feb-2009)
China fears major crisis, as economy continues to crash:
A new study shows 8% unemployment, with 20 million migrants unemployed.... (4-Feb-2009)
International community asks Tamil Tigers to surrender in Sri Lanka civil war:
In "nightmarish situation," hundreds of thousands of civilians are trapped in battle.... (3-Feb-2009)
Can a country go into default on its debt? Can the US?:
Investors are increasingly betting that the answer is 'yes'.... (1-Feb-2009)
An angry President Obama strongly condemns Wall Street bonuses:
One of the most interesting aspects of this growing crisis... (30-Jan-2009)
Japan's Prime Minister Taro Aso imitates Barack Obama, as Obama imitates Japan:
Aso promised "bold measures" for Japan's economic crisis,... (29-Jan-2009)
Sri Lanka crisis civil war nears climax, as army captures Mullaittivu:
An explosive battle among 300,000 civilians is feared.... (28-Jan-2009)
Bloody Monday: Over 71,400 jobs lost in massive layoffs by seven companies:
Economic trends continue to accelerate downward.... (27-Jan-2009)
Parlez-vous Globish?:
Speak with people around the world in a 1500-word version of English.... (26-Jan-2009)
Speculators around the world are storing oil in supertankers:
This refutes the nonsense about oil speculators last summer.... (23-Jan-2009)
Gaza war heads toward cease-fire, while violence surges in Sri Lanka:
Thousands of civilians' lives are at risk by army attacking terrorists responsible for suicide bombings.... (19-Jan-2009)
The US Trade deficit finally begins a declining trend:
The deficit was "only" $40.4 billion in November, and falling.... (18-Jan-2009)
Collapse of corporate earnings portends imminent stock market plunge:
Other trends indicate that the world is grinding to a halt.... (18-Jan-2009)
Blog Watch: Naked Capitalism's Yves Smith blames economists for being wrong.:
Why doesn't she also criticize bloggers like herself?... (17-Jan-2009)
As his Great Historic Experiment collapses, Ben Bernanke scrambles to save his reputation:
Who "lost" the economy? The finger-pointing is getting intense.... (15-Jan-2009)
The effects of massive fiscal stimulus - Part II:
President-elect Barack Obama is turning apocalyptic in his speeches.... (12-Jan-2009)
India's Prime Minister Singh formally accuses Pakistan re Mumbai terrorist attacks:
It's one thing when a low-level official makes an accusation,... (7-Jan-2009)
In Gaza and Sri Lanka, war slides into genocide.:
Both wars are getting increasingly meaner and nastier.... (6-Jan-2009)
Israel begins ground invasion into Gaza:
The region appears to be teetering on the edge of wider war... (3-Jan-2009)
Web Log Pages
Current Web Log
Web Log Summary - 2009
Web Log Summary - 2008
Web Log Summary - 2007
Web Log Summary - 2006
Web Log Summary - 2005
Web Log Summary - 2004
Web Log - December, 2009
Web Log - November, 2009
Web Log - October, 2009
Web Log - September, 2009
Web Log - August, 2009
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Web Log - November, 2004
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Web Log - September, 2004
Web Log - August, 2004
Web Log - July, 2004
Web Log - June, 2004
April 20, 2004, presentation:
This Generational Dynamics presentation was given last year at MIT in Cambridge, Mass.
Click here for presentation slides
Book Reviews:
Reviews of books on current events and history
About:
About Generational Dynamics, About John J. Xenakis
Comment:
Discussion and Comments
Crisis wars graphic:
Graphic showing crisis war timelines for Western Europe and for Orthodox Christianity vs Muslim Civilizations
Archive:
Archived items removed from the site home page.
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International Investment Advisories |
This is an experiment - Using the Generational Dynamics methodology
to provide up-to-date information on investment opportunities around
the world.
India
India: Hooray for Bollywood!:
Investment opportunities in India range from high-tech
pharmaceuticals to Spiderman.
(5-Jul-03)
India
India: Socially beneficial profits from "Untouchable" investments:
For those interested in socially beneficial investments in India, the
lot of India's Dalits provides an ideal investment target -- high-risk
but with the possibility of high returns because of the market size.
(7-Jul-03)
Iran
Trading with Iran: Not exactly a magic carpet ride:
Surprise! It turns out that being a member of the "Axis of Evil"
doesn't help investors.
(8-Jul-03)
Conflict Index:
A special feature of the experimental International Investment Advisories, containing information not available elsewhere, is the Conflict Index, a medium-range (1-2 years) and long-range (2-10 years) forecast of the likely level of local conflict, from riots and demonstrations to all out insurrection and civil war.
Cover design by Libby Chase, http://www.libbysgallery.com.
NY Skyline & Statue of Liberty clip art images
provided by http://budgetstockphoto.com.
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