Since 2002, we've been using generational analysis to make
specific, hard predictions about worldwide events, politics, culture,
technology, economics and international finance, and with much better
accuracy than private analyst firms. If you're paying big money for
high-priced newsletters from private analyst firms, and all you're
getting is vague "that might be a problem" forecasts, then check this
website regularly to get really useful, accurate forecasts -- FOR
FREE.
The gathering storm in the Caucasus
:
The world is looking more and more like the prelude to World War I.
(17-Aug-2008)
How Boomers and Generation-Xers brought about the dumbing down of
Information Technology (IT)
:
Software development has adopted a Java cookbook approach that leads
to project failures. Also: How Digimarc Corp. self-destructed with
management's cookbook programming mentality.
(1-Jul-2008)
Basics of Generational Dynamics
:
Generational eras, archetypes, and other elements of generational
theory
(22-Jun-2008)
Chinese embarrassment and anger grows over Tibet and Olympics
:
Some notes on the growing mutual xenophobia and paranoia between
China and the West.
(12-Apr-2008)
List of major Generational Dynamics predictions
:
These are the major predictions posted on this web site since 2003,
using the generational forecasting methodology.
(27-Mar-2008)
Cities and towns need to start helping themselves.
:
Wracked by foreclosures and by the collapsing muncipal bond market,
cities and towns should start planning immediately.
(2-Mar-2008)
A primer on financial engineering and structured finance
:
How financial engineers made a fortune creating worthless
mortgage-based securities.
(23-Jan-2008)
The Bubble that Broke the World
:
How a book written in 1931-32 tells us what's going to happen in
2008-2009.
(9-Oct-2007)
How to compute the "real value" of the stock market.
:
And some additional speculations about stock market crashes.
(20-Aug-2007)
Iraqi Sunnis are turning against al-Qaeda in Iraq
:
This is exactly the kind of thing that generational theory predicts.
(1-Apr-2007)
System Dynamics and the Failure of Macroeconomics Theory
:
Mainstream macroeconomic theory, invented by Maynard Keynes in the
1930s, has failed to predict or explain anything that's happened
since the bubble started, including the bubble itself. We need a new
"Dynamic Macroeconomics" theory.
(25-Oct-2006)
President George Bush talks about a "Third Awakening," but
he has his history wrong
:
It was America's 1960s Awakening that united Protestants, Catholics
and Jews, and cemented our support for Israel.
(19-Sep-2006)
Washington becomes hysterical again over an Iraqi 'civil war'
:
A civil war in Iraq is impossible, as I've said many times, because
only one generation has passed since the Iran/Iraq war of the 1980s.
Here's some additional historical information.
(7-Aug-2006)
Israel's war against Hizbollah and Lebanon forces Muslims to
choose sides
:
The war is part of a larger Shi'ite-Sunni struggle, and a stopgap
ceasefire will create a worsening environment leading to a much more
chaotic situation within a few months
(25-Jul-2006)
A beautiful mind? The world is paralyzed into a "Nash
equlibrium"
:
Today, 61 years after the end of World War II, the countries of the
world are struggling to maintain a status quo that can't last
too much longer.
(17-Jul-2006)
Why aren't college students protesting against the Iraq war?
:
Young students are criticized for being indifferent to politics,
while "Grannies Against the War" is truly bizarre.
(1-Jun-2006)
Speculations about a stock market panic and crash
:
Will there be a stock market panic next week, next month, or next
year, and will it lead to a crash? We speculate on some possibilities.
(31-May-2006)
Ariel Sharon's political "earthquake"
in Israel signal change in direction for entire Mideast
:
His aggressive program that began with the barrier and the Gaza
pullout is now likely to founder.
(29-Nov-2005)
Ben S. Bernanke: The man without agony
:
Bernanke and Greenspan are as different as night and day, despite
what the pundits say.
(29-Oct-2005)
Japanese and Chinese relations are deteriorating sharply
:
Between China's search for oil and Koizumi's shrine visit,
the level of anger and suspicion is rising fast.
(23-Oct-2005)
Robert Pape's "Dying to Win" sheds light on
suicide bombers.
:
Robert Pape's database of every suicide bombing and attack
around the world from 1980-2003 -- 315 attacks in all -- provides
valuable insight into the causes of suicide terrorism, and confirms
the Generational Dynamics' conclusions about crisis wars.
(18-Jul-2005)
The 11% Solution: An article in Barron's says
the stock market is very overvalued
:
New research by analyst Adam Barth finds that average earnings over
any 20-year period are surprisingly constant.
(11-Jul-2005)
The Great Depression and Dow Jones Industrial Average
:
Scrolling through the DJIA through the Great Depression and later
gives a feeling as to what was happening, and how it compares to
what's happening today.
Updated 18-Aug-2008
(18-Aug-2008)
French rejection of EU Constitution signals decline
of entire European Union project
:
Exit polls from Sunday's French EU Constitution vote show a clear
generational split that analysts aren't noticing.
(1-Jun-2005)
Increasing Muslim violence in Uzbekistan raises fears
of destabilizing Asia
:
After pro-Russian leaders have been replaced by Western-leaning ones
in Georgia, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, the Kremlin is watching the violence
in Uzbekistan nervously, and Washington is watching the Kremlin.
(14-May-2005)
Press Release:
Mathematician solves problem puzzling historians for centuries
:
Does history repeat itself? Historians have tried and failed to
find provable patterns in history, but a mathematician has now
solved the problem that's stumped the historians for centuries.
(22-Apr-2005)
Fed and Alan Greenspan signal aggressive plans to
increase interest rates
:
This means trouble for people in debt and for the stock market, but it
also hints that the Fed plans to keep the dollar strong through
crisis periods
(24-Mar-2005)
North Korea continues mobilization for nuclear war
:
Blaming "hostile" U.S. policies, North Korea pulls out of nuclear
non-proliferation talks, claiming that it already has nuclear weapons.
This is a classic sequence of events that precedes a pre-emptive war.
(10-Feb-2005)
Alan Greenspan warns that global economic dangers
are without historical precedent
:
In a speech on Friday, Greenspan buried a major change of position in
a speech admitting that his assumptions about the economy for the
last decade were wrong.
(6-Feb-2005)
China appears to be approaching a major civil war
:
Unrest is spreading, and economic disparities make China a textbook
case for a massive civil war in the making
(16-Jan-2005)
A generational interpretation of Charles Dickens' "A Christmas
Carol"
:
Written in 1843, this classic novel depicts a clear generational
struggle
(5-Dec-2004)
Ukraine headed for a confrontation with Putin
:
Ukraine is headed for trouble as it moves to reverse the 20-Nov
Presidential election.
(28-Nov-2004)
The six most dangerous regions in the world today.:
There are six regions that could lead the world into a new world war.
NOTE: This article also contains a lengthy summary of the
Generational Dynamics theory and Forecasting Methodology.
(20-Nov-2004)
Election results show a major cultural and political restructuring
in the making.:
In the long run, George Bush's victory is less important than the
reasons why people voted for him.
(3-Nov-2004)
Unrealistic expectations worldwide about the American election are
setting the stage for hostile reactions next year:
Will "something big" happen to America in 2005?
(24-Oct-2004)
Ten-nation survey says that non-Americans worldwide
overwhelmingly favor Kerry over Bush:
However, Russia and Israel support Bush; so do Iran's mullahs
(23-Oct-2004)
Can we withdraw from Iraq in 2005?:
Suddenly the Washington buzz is that whoever wins - Bush or Kerry -
will begin to withdraw American troops from Iraq. We look at two
historical examples to predict scenarios.
(16-Oct-2004)
Yield curves are flattening as Federal Reserve
raises short term interest rates
significantly:
Long-term interest rates are falling while short-term interest rates
are rising, a sign of possible trouble ahead.
(21-Sep-2004)
On September 11, terrorism around the world is increasing
significantly:
Infuriated and anxious people around the world are demanding military
actions to halt or even avenge terrorism
(11-Sep-2004)
Does history favor George Bush or John Kerry?:
Long-term historical trends favor Bush, but Kerry may win anyway
because Bush is in danger of being 'Hooverized'
(24-Aug-2004)
Southeast Asian nations are forced to pick sides in the
conflict between China and Taiwan:
Singapore will support China and Australia will support Taiwan in a
conflict between China and Taiwan.
(23-Aug-2004)
Today's slow-motion genocide in Darfur recalls the lightning quick
genocide in Rwanda in 1994:
Why do these things always seem to happen in Africa? Understanding
Africa's geography explains why.
(22-Aug-2004)
Oil prices spiking on supply fears:
There is increasing concern that Saudi Arabia's oil production is
peaking, and that prices will rise significantly farther.
(3-Aug-2004)
Arab views worldwide are becoming increasingly hostile
to America:
Arab view of America is down to about 10% favorable, 90% unfavorable.
(26-Jul-2004)
Kerry establishes an electoral lead going into the
Democratic convention.:
He's tuned his message to what I suggested last year. Do you suppose
he read my web site?
(25-Jul-2004)
Generational crisis for Arafat as thousands take to
streets in revolt in Gaza:
Arafat's offices burned down, as he seeks a way to prevent civil war
among Palestinian factions
(19-Jul-2004)
"I, Robot" is science fiction, but intelligent
computers will soon be science fact.:
When will it dawn on the politicians and the general public that
this changes everything?
(9-Jul-2004)
Alan Greenspan's Mixed Emotions:
More and more top analysts are getting concerned about extremely high
debt levels and stock valuations.
(6-Jul-2004)
Operation Summer Pulse 04:
Taiwan is moving inexorably towards independence, and America is
supporting it, while China is freaking out over it. Will this lead
to an inevitable war over Taiwan?
(6-Jul-2004)
Green Revolution vs Malthus Effect:
Despite the "Green Revolution," world population continues to grow
faster than food production. This is one of the fundamental reasons
why wars occur.
(28-Jun-2004)
Beheadings part of increasing conflict level
throughout Mideast:
The level of conflict is increasing throughout the Mideast, from Gaza
to Pakistan, from Saudi Arabia to Uzbekistan.
(23-Jun-2004)
Stock market increasingly volatile:
Sharp plunges in international stock markets portend periods of
increasingly high volatility.
(17-May-04)
Iraq Today vs 1960s America (Revised):
They have much in common: Bombings, assassinations, student
demonstrations, violent riots, calls for insurrection and civil
war and harsh rhetoric. That's much more than a coincidence.
(8-May-2004)
Taiwan's Wild Election Battle:
Taiwan's election battle is even wilder and more raucous than the
Bush-Gore election battle in 2000. Its uncertain outcome is causing
massive protests.
(11-Apr-04)
What Iraqi Civil War?:
Early in 2003, I predicted that there would be no popular uprising
against the Americans, and that there would be no civil war. After
the overthrow of Saddam, I said that an Iraqi civil war was
impossible. Despite the
constant near-hysteria of the politicians, journalists and
high-priced analysts, I've been right so far. Here's why.
(09-Apr-04)
Palestinian Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, spiritual leader of
the Hamas militia group, killed in Israeli air strike:
Generational Dynamics says that this brings Mideast much closer to
all-out war
(21-Mar-04)
Madrid terrorist bombings are having unexpected
significance:
The 3/11 bombings may have the same effect on Europeans that the 9/11
attacks had on Americans.
(15-Mar-04)
Haiti: Heading for possible rebellion and anarchy:
A historical analysis of a potential crisis.
(4-Mar-04)
Anti-Shi'ite Terror Attacks in Iraq, Pakistan:
So far, Sunni and Shi'ite leaders in Iraq aren't taking the bait.
(2-Mar-04)
The New Sexual Revolution:
The pendulum is swinging back.
(27-Feb-04)
Alan Greenspan's Mea Culpa:
Alan Greenspan has put his legacy into serious danger
(08-Jan-04)
Georgia (Asia) on the brink of civil war:
Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze says that the country is on
the verge of civil war. This could be the next war in the "clash of
civilizations" between Islam and Christianity.
(15-Nov-03)
"Ping-Pong Terrorism" in Mideast leading
inevitably to major regional war:
Even non-violent acts are seen as terrorism by the other side, and the
intensity of the mutual attacks is constantly increasing.
(10-Oct-03)
Schwarzenegger's victory could spell trouble for
Bush:
It also signals the end of the societal culture / gender wars.
(8-Oct-03)
What if Al Gore were President?:
Both Republicans and Democrats are making important strategic errors
in the battle for the White House in 2004. Here's what they
SHOULD be saying.
(26-Sep-03)
Is China unraveling?:
Should you invest in the world's fastest growing economy?
Analysts say yes, but
there are ominous generational signs of financial and social
instability in China.
(10-Sep-03)
Hamas Announces End of Cease-Fire:
Can Ariel Sharon and Yasser Arafat once more
fend off a large regional war?
(21-Aug-03)
Terrorist suicide bombings in Iraq may backfire
against terrorists:
During an awakening period, terrorist acts cause masses of people to
shrink from more violence.
(19-Aug-03)
Riots in Iran:
Will there be a violent overthrow of the Iranian Mullahs?
Generational Dynamics says 'No.'
(25-Jun-03)
Dow Passes 9000 / Mideast Peace Plan Takes Off:
This is a big test for Generational Dynamics, which predicts that
the good news won't last.
(04-Jun-03)
"Mideast Roadmap" - Will it bring peace?:
Generational Dynamics predicts something quite different for the
Mideast.
(01-May-03)
France and Germany:
Why are they becoming anti-American?
(15-Feb-03)
The Anti-War Movement:
Will it gain traction?
(15-Feb-03)
North and South Korea:
Will the North Koreans start a nuclear war?
(22-Jan-03)
Turkey:
Turkey has been rebuffing America. What are they up to?
(24-Mar-03)
Japan:
Is Japan's economy finally near collapse?
(26-Mar-03)
Stock Market:
|
 |
Latest Dow Jones Industrial Average
|
Will stocks rise or fall in 2004?
(1-Jan-04)
|
Articles from this web site may be copied to other web sites,
provided that authorship is acknowledged and provided that a link is
included back to the article on this web site. - John J.
Xenakis
|
| Conflict risk level for next six months
|
|---|
|
W. Europe |
1 |
Arab Israeli |
3 |
|
Russia Caucasus |
3 |
Kashmir |
3 |
|
China |
2 |
North Korea |
2 |
|
Financial |
3 |
Bird flu |
3 |
Key:
1=Low risk
2=Med
3=High
| |
|---|
Web Log:
Informal comments on current news and trends.
Price/earnings ratios continue to surge as corporate earnings plummet:
Second quarter earnings were disastrous.... (19-Aug-2008)
A possible new alignment in Europe and Central Asia:
Russian language blogs provide a complex and threatening picture.... (18-Aug-2008)
"The deal is done" for Pakistan's President Musharraf to resign:
Pakistan looks into the abyss.... (15-Aug-2008)
Questions from readers on the conflict in Georgia:
Some technical issues about generational theory and the Caucasus.... (15-Aug-2008)
Russia continues to tighten its grip on a humiliated Georgia:
It's still not known what Russia's final objectives are, though there's no doubt in my mind.... (14-Aug-2008)
Russian invasion of Georgia continues, objective is not known:
I'm raising the "Conflict Risk Index" for the Caucasus from 2 (medium risk) to 3 (high risk).... (12-Aug-2008)
Georgia capitulates in South Ossetia as Russia expands war:
Russia's overreaction may lead to wider war.... (11-Aug-2008)
As commodities plummet worldwide, the meaning is unclear.:
We speculate on some possibilities.... (11-Aug-2008)
Iraq's Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr turns from arms to "culture":
This follows several Sunni "Tribal Awakenings" to expel al-Qaeda.... (10-Aug-2008)
Russia and Georgia are in a "state of war":
Russia pours tanks and soldiers into South Ossetia, as planes bomb Georgia military targets.... (9-Aug-2008)
Pakistan government combines chaos with paralysis as Musharraf is threatened with impeachment.:
The army may have to step in.... (8-Aug-2008)
Wall Street stock prices soar amid terrible earnings news:
A year after the global credit crisis began, investors are convinced that it has to be over.... (6-Aug-2008)
Hindu vs Sunni Muslim violence increases sharply in Kashmir and Jammu:
The army in Indian Kashmir opened fire at hundreds of stone-throwing Hindu protestors... (6-Aug-2008)
CIA accuses Pakistan's ISI of aiding in Indian embassy bombing in Kabul:
The level of Afghanistan - Pakistan - India tension has substantially increased... (3-Aug-2008)
Alan Greenspan calls this a "once in a century" liquidity crisis.:
Says that the "big surprise" is the "impressive" American economy... (3-Aug-2008)
CNBC's Jim Cramer announces that the market has hit bottom.:
Pushing toy stuffed bears through a meat slicer,... (1-Aug-2008)
Depression-era chic: in fashions, what's old is new again.:
Even in a depression, women still want interesting clothing.... (1-Aug-2008)
Oppenheimer's Meredith Whitney predicts imminent meltdown of over 25 financial institutions:
The new Merrill Lynch asset writedowns are triggering a race to the bottom.... (31-Jul-2008)
India is on high alert as synchronized bombs strike two cities:
Relations between India and Pakistan are coming under increased strain... (30-Jul-2008)
National Australia Bank marks its CDOs down 90%:
Saying that soaring US mortgage defaults require preparing for a "worst case scenario,"... (28-Jul-2008)
Obama continues to damage his candidacy with his Iraq policy.:
Obama is hurting himself by bobbing and weaving on the success of the "surge."... (27-Jul-2008)
Barack Obama in Berlin calls for greater European militarism:
Obama enthralls huge German audience with a history-making speech.... (25-Jul-2008)
Accused Bosnian war criminal Radovan Karadzic captured:
Hiding in plain sight, he grew a beard and posed as a new age guru with a mistress.... (24-Jul-2008)
Bad news: Continually falling earnings keep price/earnings ratios stratospheric:
Good news: Disastrously low financial services earnings are still "better than we feared"... (23-Jul-2008)
Bad news: America is failing. Good news: America is too big to fail.:
Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. is arduously pushing his bailout plan... (23-Jul-2008)
Barack Obama endorses growing American troop force in Afghanistan:
The loony left ironically forces Obama to change from "anti-war" to "pro-war."... (21-Jul-2008)
More questions from readers on finance and investing:
Anxious readers wonder what's going on, what to do next.... (18-Jul-2008)
SEC blames stock market problems on "false rumors" and "naked short selling":
Meanwhile, disappointed pundits bemoan Wednesday's market rally.... (16-Jul-2008)
The Top Ten signs that you have a bad bank.:
Some advice from late night talk show host David Letterman.... (15-Jul-2008)
South Korea recalls its Ambassador to Japan over island dispute:
The Korean government warned it would "sternly deal" with any Japanese claim... (15-Jul-2008)
Investor and public anxiety levels are sky-high following weekend twin bailouts:
300 more banks are thought likely to be facing failure,... (14-Jul-2008)
Economic turmoil increases as California's IndyMac Bank collapses:
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are "insolvent"... (12-Jul-2008)
CNNMoney.com's 'Depression Comparisons Misguided' shows that a depression is imminent:
Guest article by Paul Lamont, President of Lamont Trading Advisors, Inc.... (10-Jul-2008)
Pundits and analysts are baffled by the market's performance:
They have some interesting fantasies, as well.... (10-Jul-2008)
Obama "refines" his Iraq position, reflecting major change:
Expect a lot more "refinements" to come... (8-Jul-2008)
France/EU President Sarkozy is turning the screws on Ireland:
It's beginning to look like a bad situation comedy.... (6-Jul-2008)
The Dow Industrials in euros:
If Americans have it bad, pity the Europeans.... (5-Jul-2008)
Nicolas Sarkozy becomes EU president as Lisbon Treaty appears near collapse:
A new French/British acrimonious shouting match begins over the same old issues.... (4-Jul-2008)
Stock markets continue downward trend as earnings fall further:
Price/earnings ratios have only begun to fall from stratosphere.... (3-Jul-2008)
Wall Street Journal describes Iran's generational Awakening era:
Young Iranians turn away from the Quran and go for self-help and New Age.... (1-Jul-2008)
Blogger Watch: Michael "Mish" Shedlock comes over to the dark side:
Referring to 1929, Shedlock now says, "History is about to repeat."... (1-Jul-2008)
Pakistan is paralyzed as Tehrik-e-Taliban advances in NorthWest:
Pakistan army abandons negotiations for war to prevent imminent takeover of Peshawar... (29-Jun-2008)
Wall Street markets plunge 3% on Thursday as corporate earnings show continued weakness:
Traders are hoping for a "mini-panic." Be careful what you wish for.... (27-Jun-2008)
Boston area, Thur, June 26: "Generational Issues in Managing IT Projects":
***** CORRECTION: JUNE 26 (THURSDAY THIS WEEK). Invitation to attend a talk on GenX and Boomers in software development projects... (24-Jun-2008)
Questions from readers on finance and investing:
On fraud, the FDIC, China, and other subjects.... (23-Jun-2008)
Israel conducts mock attack on Iran:
The rumor mill is predicting a real attack.... (21-Jun-2008)
'Operation Malicious Mortgage' indicts 406 people including Bear Stearns execs:
All kinds of fraud by all kinds of people.... (20-Jun-2008)
Royal Bank of Scotland issues global stock crash alert:
"A very nasty period is soon to be upon us - be prepared,"... (18-Jun-2008)
Chad and Sudan may be close to a declaration of war:
The peace agreement signed in March seems to be falling apart.... (18-Jun-2008)
Europe in 'chaos' as Ireland rejects Lisbon Treaty:
The Europeans don't seem to have a clue about what's going on.... (16-Jun-2008)
Shanghai China stock market and Baltic Dry Index are crashing sharply:
Developing country economies all appear to be collapsing.... (13-Jun-2008)
Retail sales surge in May:
Americans are still spending every penny they can get hold of.... (13-Jun-2008)
South Korea's government in crisis over beef imports from U.S.:
Hundreds of thousands of Koreans held candlelight demonstrations in Seoul... (12-Jun-2008)
Ben Bernanke is still the "Man without Agony":
What was he thinking?... (11-Jun-2008)
Lehman Brothers shocks Wall Street with more unexpected asset writedowns:
And there may be a smoking gun showing that UBS AG committed fraud.... (10-Jun-2008)
Stock markets plunge on unemployment and historic oil price spike:
Are we near some kind of tipping point?... (8-Jun-2008)
American aid ships are ordered to leave Burma's (Myanmar's) waters:
Military junta is using cyclone devastation as cover for violent campaign against Karen minority.... (5-Jun-2008)
Questions for readers: Managing Boomers vs Generation-X in the workplace.:
Also an ethics question: When do you tell the boss that the project is crashing and burning?... (5-Jun-2008)
A clearer explanation of credit default swaps.:
How credit default swaps (CDSs) present a systemic risk to the global financial system... (4-Jun-2008)
Ireland may block Lisbon treaty for new European Union in June 12 vote:
Those opposed to ratification appear to be gaining ground,... (2-Jun-2008)
"Lost tribe" found in Amazon forest on border of Peru and Brazil:
Aerial photos show them aiming bows and arrows at small plane taking the photos.... (1-Jun-2008)
South Africa will create "temporary shelters" for migrants, not "refugee camps":
Tribal differences are reasserting themselves and destabilizing the country.... (31-May-2008)
Taiwan / China relations thaw in wake of election and earthquake:
Taiwan's new President reiterated the "three noes" in his inauguration speech... (28-May-2008)
Decoration Day:
Go forth ye brave and gallant men ...... (26-May-2008)
Teen "emo subculture" creating violent fault line in Mexico City:
The depressive 'emotive' music style is also being blamed for suicides in Europe.... (25-May-2008)
Software development projects for Moody's, Digimarc, Y2K, DEC further illuminate Gen-X nihilism:
As Boomers and Gen-Xers have taken charge, software development standards have suffered.... (23-May-2008)
Moody's blames "the computer" for possible ratings fraud:
A formerly undisclosed software bug is responsible for awarding AAA ratings to worthless securities,... (23-May-2008)
Loan delinquency rates rose sharply in the first quarter:
This applies to residential mortgages, commercial mortgages, and credit cards... (22-May-2008)
Oil prices are increasing by the minute:
On Thursday, oil went from $129 per barrel to $135 per barrel.... (22-May-2008)
Now it's South Africa's turn: ethnic violence spreads through Johannesburg:
Mobs of mostly Zulu South Africans have attacked, raped and slaughtered mostly Zimbabweans... (21-May-2008)
Price/earnings stock index continues to surge higher and higher:
I can hardly believe my eyes:... (19-May-2008)
WSJ's page one story on Bernanke's Princeton "Bubble Laboratory" is almost incoherent:
So is Thursday's speech on bubbles by Fed Governor Frederic S. Mishkin.... (18-May-2008)
How inflammatory was President Bush's speech to Israel's Knesset?:
The speech may have touched some nerves among the Palestinians, and changed American policy.... (16-May-2008)
Sichuan earthquake devastation opens a period of good will with China, in contrast to Burma:
China's sudden openness draws friendship and sympathy from Taiwan, Japan and elsewhere.... (16-May-2008)
Sudan's Darfur war expands as Khartoum comes under attack by rebels:
What were they thinking? everyone's asking. But it DOES make sense.... (14-May-2008)
China requests foreign assistance for earthquake relief - cash only:
It's likely that tens of thousands of people were killed on Monday... (12-May-2008)
Burma (Myanmar) junta is turning a natural disaster into a criminal catastrophe:
Could it affect the Beijing summer Olympics?... (11-May-2008)
Hizbollah appears to be staging a coup in Lebanon:
As street gunfights spread, observers fear total civil war - which is impossible.... (9-May-2008)
Georgia: "Very close" to war with Russia:
EU and American officials are expressing alarm at the escalating tensions in the Caucasus region.... (8-May-2008)
Cyclone Nargis could trigger violence in Burma (Myanmar):
Burmese generals are placing obstacles in the way of international aid.... (8-May-2008)
Price/earnings ratios continue to surge on lower corporate earnings:
The dramatic trend that began last month gathers strength.... (6-May-2008)
Annual progress report on the Generational Dynamics web site.:
Generational Dynamics web site traffic is growing.... (6-May-2008)
Bird flu spreading rapidly through birds in South Korea:
Despite the culling (killing) of over 5 million birds last month,... (5-May-08)
Zimbabwe's "Liberation Hero" president Robert Mugabe continues to destroy his country:
With a 150000% inflation rate, torture, and destruction of property,... (4-May-08)
Bank of England says that the financial crisis is over:
According to the Bank's new "Financial Stability Report,"... (1-May-08)
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Current Web Log
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Web Log - April, 2005
Web Log - March, 2005
Web Log - February, 2005
Web Log - January, 2005
Web Log - December, 2004
Web Log - November, 2004
Web Log - October, 2004
Web Log - September, 2004
Web Log - August, 2004
Web Log - July, 2004
Web Log - June, 2004
April 20, 2004, presentation:
This Generational Dynamics presentation was given last year at MIT in Cambridge, Mass.
Click here for presentation slides
Book Reviews:
Reviews of books on current events and history
About:
About Generational Dynamics, About John J. Xenakis
Comment:
Discussion and Comments
Crisis wars graphic:
Graphic showing crisis war timelines for Western Europe and for Orthodox Christianity vs Muslim Civilizations
Archive:
Archived items removed from the site home page.
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International Investment Advisories |
This is an experiment - Using the Generational Dynamics methodology
to provide up-to-date information on investment opportunities around
the world.
India
India: Hooray for Bollywood!:
Investment opportunities in India range from high-tech
pharmaceuticals to Spiderman.
(5-Jul-03)
India
India: Socially beneficial profits from "Untouchable" investments:
For those interested in socially beneficial investments in India, the
lot of India's Dalits provides an ideal investment target -- high-risk
but with the possibility of high returns because of the market size.
(7-Jul-03)
Iran
Trading with Iran: Not exactly a magic carpet ride:
Surprise! It turns out that being a member of the "Axis of Evil"
doesn't help investors.
(8-Jul-03)
Conflict Index:
A special feature of the experimental International Investment Advisories, containing information not available elsewhere, is the Conflict Index, a medium-range (1-2 years) and long-range (2-10 years) forecast of the likely level of local conflict, from riots and demonstrations to all out insurrection and civil war.
Cover design by Libby Chase, http://www.libbysgallery.com.
NY Skyline & Statue of Liberty clip art images
provided by http://budgetstockphoto.com.
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