Since 2002, we've been using generational analysis to make
specific, hard predictions about worldwide events, politics, culture,
technology, economics and international finance, and with much better
accuracy than private analyst firms. If you're paying big money for
high-priced newsletters from private analyst firms, and all you're
getting is vague "that might be a problem" forecasts, then check this
website regularly to get really useful, accurate forecasts -- FOR
New Pentagon report outlines China's military buildup
China is preparing for war over Taiwan.
Financial Crisis Inquiry hearings provide 'smoking gun' evidence of widespread criminal fraud
What bankers claimed to have done is mathematically impossible.
Report from TARP Inspector: We're driving off a cliff in a faster car
We're headed for an even larger financial crisis.
"Shadow inventory" of unsold homes continues to grow
Housing prices still have very far to fall.
Generational Dynamics forecasting methodology
The methodology and tools used in generational theory to produce
forecasts and predictions
"Maybe we'll get it right this time" by Tom Mazanec
In this science fiction story, a time traveler tries to prevent the
world war predicted by Generational Dynamics.
The economic outlook for 2009
How we got to where we are today, who's to blame, and where we're
going in 2009.
The gathering storm in the Caucasus
The world is looking more and more like the prelude to World War I.
How Boomers and Generation-Xers brought about the dumbing down of
Information Technology (IT)
Software development has adopted a Java cookbook approach that leads
to project failures. Also: How Digimarc Corp. self-destructed with
management's cookbook programming mentality.
Basics of Generational Dynamics
Generational eras, archetypes, and other elements of generational
Chinese embarrassment and anger grows over Tibet and Olympics
Some notes on the growing mutual xenophobia and paranoia between
China and the West.
List of major Generational Dynamics predictions
These are the major predictions posted on this web site since 2003,
using the generational forecasting methodology.
Cities and towns need to start helping themselves.
Wracked by foreclosures and by the collapsing muncipal bond market,
cities and towns should start planning immediately.
A primer on financial engineering and structured finance
How financial engineers made a fortune creating worthless
The Bubble that Broke the World
How a book written in 1931-32 tells us what's going to happen in
How to compute the "real value" of the stock market.
And some additional speculations about stock market crashes.
Iraqi Sunnis are turning against al-Qaeda in Iraq
This is exactly the kind of thing that generational theory predicts.
System Dynamics and the Failure of Macroeconomics Theory
Mainstream macroeconomic theory, invented by Maynard Keynes in the
1930s, has failed to predict or explain anything that's happened
since the bubble started, including the bubble itself. We need a new
"Dynamic Macroeconomics" theory.
President George Bush talks about a "Third Awakening," but
he has his history wrong
It was America's 1960s Awakening that united Protestants, Catholics
and Jews, and cemented our support for Israel.
Washington becomes hysterical again over an Iraqi 'civil war'
A civil war in Iraq is impossible, as I've said many times, because
only one generation has passed since the Iran/Iraq war of the 1980s.
Here's some additional historical information.
Israel's war against Hizbollah and Lebanon forces Muslims to
The war is part of a larger Shi'ite-Sunni struggle, and a stopgap
ceasefire will create a worsening environment leading to a much more
chaotic situation within a few months
A beautiful mind? The world is paralyzed into a "Nash
Today, 61 years after the end of World War II, the countries of the
world are struggling to maintain a status quo that can't last
too much longer.
Why aren't college students protesting against the Iraq war?
Young students are criticized for being indifferent to politics,
while "Grannies Against the War" is truly bizarre.
Speculations about a stock market panic and crash
Will there be a stock market panic next week, next month, or next
year, and will it lead to a crash? We speculate on some possibilities.
Ariel Sharon's political "earthquake"
in Israel signals change in direction for entire Mideast
His aggressive program that began with the barrier and the Gaza
pullout is now likely to founder.
Ben S. Bernanke: The man without agony
Bernanke and Greenspan are as different as night and day, despite
what the pundits say.
Japanese and Chinese relations are deteriorating sharply
Between China's search for oil and Koizumi's shrine visit,
the level of anger and suspicion is rising fast.
Robert Pape's "Dying to Win" sheds light on
Robert Pape's database of every suicide bombing and attack
around the world from 1980-2003 -- 315 attacks in all -- provides
valuable insight into the causes of suicide terrorism, and confirms
the Generational Dynamics' conclusions about crisis wars.
The 11% Solution: An article in Barron's says
the stock market is very overvalued
New research by analyst Adam Barth finds that average earnings over
any 20-year period are surprisingly constant.
The Great Depression and Dow Jones Industrial Average
Scrolling through the DJIA through the Great Depression and later
gives a feeling as to what was happening, and how it compares to
what's happening today.
French rejection of EU Constitution signals decline
of entire European Union project
Exit polls from Sunday's French EU Constitution vote show a clear
generational split that analysts aren't noticing.
Increasing Muslim violence in Uzbekistan raises fears
of destabilizing Asia
After pro-Russian leaders have been replaced by Western-leaning ones
in Georgia, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, the Kremlin is watching the violence
in Uzbekistan nervously, and Washington is watching the Kremlin.
Mathematician solves problem puzzling historians for centuries
Does history repeat itself? Historians have tried and failed to
find provable patterns in history, but a mathematician has now
solved the problem that's stumped the historians for centuries.
Fed and Alan Greenspan signal aggressive plans to
increase interest rates
This means trouble for people in debt and for the stock market, but it
also hints that the Fed plans to keep the dollar strong through
North Korea continues mobilization for nuclear war
Blaming "hostile" U.S. policies, North Korea pulls out of nuclear
non-proliferation talks, claiming that it already has nuclear weapons.
This is a classic sequence of events that precedes a pre-emptive war.
Alan Greenspan warns that global economic dangers
are without historical precedent
In a speech on Friday, Greenspan buried a major change of position in
a speech admitting that his assumptions about the economy for the
last decade were wrong.
China appears to be approaching a major civil war
Unrest is spreading, and economic disparities make China a textbook
case for a massive civil war in the making
A generational interpretation of Charles Dickens' "A Christmas
Written in 1843, this classic novel depicts a clear generational
Ukraine headed for a confrontation with Putin
Ukraine is headed for trouble as it moves to reverse the 20-Nov
The six most dangerous regions in the world today.:
There are six regions that could lead the world into a new world war.
NOTE: This article also contains a lengthy summary of the
Generational Dynamics theory and Forecasting Methodology.
Election results show a major cultural and political restructuring
in the making.:
In the long run, George Bush's victory is less important than the
reasons why people voted for him.
Unrealistic expectations worldwide about the American election are
setting the stage for hostile reactions next year:
Will "something big" happen to America in 2005?
Ten-nation survey says that non-Americans worldwide
overwhelmingly favor Kerry over Bush:
However, Russia and Israel support Bush; so do Iran's mullahs
Can we withdraw from Iraq in 2005?:
Suddenly the Washington buzz is that whoever wins - Bush or Kerry -
will begin to withdraw American troops from Iraq. We look at two
historical examples to predict scenarios.
Yield curves are flattening as Federal Reserve
raises short term interest rates
Long-term interest rates are falling while short-term interest rates
are rising, a sign of possible trouble ahead.
On September 11, terrorism around the world is increasing
Infuriated and anxious people around the world are demanding military
actions to halt or even avenge terrorism
Does history favor George Bush or John Kerry?:
Long-term historical trends favor Bush, but Kerry may win anyway
because Bush is in danger of being 'Hooverized'
Southeast Asian nations are forced to pick sides in the
conflict between China and Taiwan:
Singapore will support China and Australia will support Taiwan in a
conflict between China and Taiwan.
Today's slow-motion genocide in Darfur recalls the lightning quick
genocide in Rwanda in 1994:
Why do these things always seem to happen in Africa? Understanding
Africa's geography explains why.
Oil prices spiking on supply fears:
There is increasing concern that Saudi Arabia's oil production is
peaking, and that prices will rise significantly farther.
Arab views worldwide are becoming increasingly hostile
Arab view of America is down to about 10% favorable, 90% unfavorable.
Kerry establishes an electoral lead going into the
He's tuned his message to what I suggested last year. Do you suppose
he read my web site?
Generational crisis for Arafat as thousands take to
streets in revolt in Gaza:
Arafat's offices burned down, as he seeks a way to prevent civil war
among Palestinian factions
"I, Robot" is science fiction, but intelligent
computers will soon be science fact.:
When will it dawn on the politicians and the general public that
this changes everything?
Alan Greenspan's Mixed Emotions:
More and more top analysts are getting concerned about extremely high
debt levels and stock valuations.
Operation Summer Pulse 04:
Taiwan is moving inexorably towards independence, and America is
supporting it, while China is freaking out over it. Will this lead
to an inevitable war over Taiwan?
Green Revolution vs Malthus Effect:
Despite the "Green Revolution," world population continues to grow
faster than food production. This is one of the fundamental reasons
why wars occur.
Beheadings part of increasing conflict level
The level of conflict is increasing throughout the Mideast, from Gaza
to Pakistan, from Saudi Arabia to Uzbekistan.
Stock market increasingly volatile:
Sharp plunges in international stock markets portend periods of
increasingly high volatility.
Iraq Today vs 1960s America (Revised):
They have much in common: Bombings, assassinations, student
demonstrations, violent riots, calls for insurrection and civil
war and harsh rhetoric. That's much more than a coincidence.
Taiwan's Wild Election Battle:
Taiwan's election battle is even wilder and more raucous than the
Bush-Gore election battle in 2000. Its uncertain outcome is causing
What Iraqi Civil War?:
Early in 2003, I predicted that there would be no popular uprising
against the Americans, and that there would be no civil war. After
the overthrow of Saddam, I said that an Iraqi civil war was
impossible. Despite the
constant near-hysteria of the politicians, journalists and
high-priced analysts, I've been right so far. Here's why.
Palestinian Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, spiritual leader of
the Hamas militia group, killed in Israeli air strike:
Generational Dynamics says that this brings Mideast much closer to
Madrid terrorist bombings are having unexpected
The 3/11 bombings may have the same effect on Europeans that the 9/11
attacks had on Americans.
Haiti: Heading for possible rebellion and anarchy:
A historical analysis of a potential crisis.
Anti-Shi'ite Terror Attacks in Iraq, Pakistan:
So far, Sunni and Shi'ite leaders in Iraq aren't taking the bait.
The New Sexual Revolution:
The pendulum is swinging back.
Alan Greenspan's Mea Culpa:
Alan Greenspan has put his legacy into serious danger
Georgia (Asia) on the brink of civil war:
Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze says that the country is on
the verge of civil war. This could be the next war in the "clash of
civilizations" between Islam and Christianity.
"Ping-Pong Terrorism" in Mideast leading
inevitably to major regional war:
Even non-violent acts are seen as terrorism by the other side, and the
intensity of the mutual attacks is constantly increasing.
Schwarzenegger's victory could spell trouble for
It also signals the end of the societal culture / gender wars.
What if Al Gore were President?:
Both Republicans and Democrats are making important strategic errors
in the battle for the White House in 2004. Here's what they
SHOULD be saying.
Is China unraveling?:
Should you invest in the world's fastest growing economy?
Analysts say yes, but
there are ominous generational signs of financial and social
instability in China.
Hamas Announces End of Cease-Fire:
Can Ariel Sharon and Yasser Arafat once more
fend off a large regional war?
Terrorist suicide bombings in Iraq may backfire
During an awakening period, terrorist acts cause masses of people to
shrink from more violence.
Riots in Iran:
Will there be a violent overthrow of the Iranian Mullahs?
Generational Dynamics says 'No.'
Dow Passes 9000 / Mideast Peace Plan Takes Off:
This is a big test for Generational Dynamics, which predicts that
the good news won't last.
"Mideast Roadmap" - Will it bring peace?:
Generational Dynamics predicts something quite different for the
France and Germany:
Why are they becoming anti-American?
The Anti-War Movement:
Will it gain traction?
North and South Korea:
Will the North Koreans start a nuclear war?
Turkey has been rebuffing America. What are they up to?
Is Japan's economy finally near collapse?
Will stocks rise or fall in 2004?
Latest Dow Jones Industrial Average
Articles from this web site may be copied to other web sites,
provided that authorship is acknowledged and provided that a link is
included back to the article on this web site. - John J.
Informal comments on current news and trends.
|Conflict risk level for next 6-12 months as of: 1-Jan-2013
30-Sep-14 World View -- Kobani crisis causes Turkey to reverse policy on Syria:
Hong Kong police back off as demonstrations continue... (30-Sep-2014)
29-Sep-14 World View -- India's rock star PM Narendra Modi draws mobs at Madison Square Garden:
Pro-democracy protests bring Hong Kong to a standstill... (29-Sep-2014)
28-Sep-14 World View -- Central African Republican government asks UN to lift arms embargo:
Saudis prepare for MERS and Ebola at Hajj... (28-Sep-2014)
27-Sep-14 World View -- WHO must respond to 'unprecedented scale of humanitarian emergencies':
Britain votes joins countries at war against ISIS... (27-Sep-2014)
26-Sep-14 World View -- Russia holds massive Vostok 2014 military exercises amid anti-US hysteria:
Russia's desperate relationship with China... (26-Sep-2014)
25-Sep-14 World View -- Nigeria's army sees a turning point as Boko Haram fighters surrender:
Nato reports a 'significant' Russian troop pullback from Ukraine... (25-Sep-2014)
24-Sep-14 World View -- Iran brags that Sanaa Yemen is the fourth Arab capital they control:
CDC warns of possibly 1.4 million Ebola infections in West Africa... (24-Sep-2014)
23-Sep-14 World View -- Turkey braces for expected flood of hundreds of thousands more refugees:
Yazidis, Mosul Christians hold Obama responsible for ISIS... (23-Sep-2014)
22-Sep-14 World View -- Israeli-Hamas peace talks to resume in Cairo on Tuesday:
New climate change circus in progress... (22-Sep-2014)
21-Sep-14 World View -- Turkey admits 66,000 refugee Kurds from Syria as Mideast realignment continues:
India launches 'Project Mausam' to counter China's 'Maritime Silk Road'... (21-Sep-2014)
20-Sep-14 World View -- Yemen violence may be proxy between Iran and Muslim Brotherhood:
China's Alibaba IPO causes lightheaded investors to pop champagne corks... (20-Sep-2014)
19-Sep-14 World View -- BBC reporters attacked by Russian thugs after finding evidence of new Ukraine invasion:
Thailand's PM suggests that only ugly people are safe in bikinis... (19-Sep-2014)
18-Sep-14 World View -- Will Ebola become a worldwide pandemic?:
John Kerry's testimony before the Senate: 1971 and Today... (18-Sep-2014)
17-Sep-14 World View -- Russia, India to sell supersonic cruise missile to Vietnam:
U.S. to send 3,000 troops to Liberia to fight Ebola... (17-Sep-2014)
16-Sep-14 World View -- Saudis push to avoid MERS outbreak as Hajj approaches:
The center of international piracy moves from Somalia to Singapore... (16-Sep-2014)
15-Sep-14 World View -- US surveillance aircraft may have access to Malaysian air bases:
ISIS recruiting women from America and Britain... (15-Sep-2014)
14-Sep-14 World View -- ISIS execution of Britain's David Haines may change US/UK military dynamics:
Russian Orthodox fanatic considers Vladimir Putin to be united with God... (14-Sep-2014)
13-Sep-14 World View -- Palestinians divided over taking Israel to International Criminal Court:
Little visible support for American coalition to fight ISIS... (13-Sep-2014)
12-Sep-14 World View -- President George W. Obama pledges to 'degrade, destroy' ISIS:
CIA increases estimate: ISIS has 20,000 to 31,500 fighters... (12-Sep-2014)
11-Sep-14 World View -- Scotland's independence referendum is encouraging Catalonia's separatists:
China's Uighur migrants attempt to reach Turkey... (11-Sep-2014)
10-Sep-14 World View -- Yemen faces both Shia Houthi protesters and Sunni AQAP jihadists:
Protests in Sanaa are tied to gasoline subsidies... (10-Sep-2014)
9-Sep-14 World View -- Ukraine conflict and rise of ISIS put Russia's Caucasus at risk:
France's scapegoat 'Rogue trader' Jerome Kerviel is freed from prison... (9-Sep-2014)
8-Sep-14 World View -- Mahmoud Abbas threatens to end the 'Palestinian unity' government:
Russia threatens Nato with a new nuclear military doctrine... (8-Sep-2014)
7-Sep-14 World View -- Israel preparing for 'very violent' war with Hezbollah:
Ebola pandemic may mean the end of the 'Africa Rising' dream... (7-Sep-2014)
6-Sep-14 World View -- Debka: ISIS is targeting the Euphrates and Tigris river basins in Iraq:
India to release 250,000 prisoners awaiting trial... (6-Sep-2014)
5-Sep-14 World View -- ISIS and al-Qaeda in a generational struggle for India:
China to increase harassment of U.S. surveillance planes... (5-Sep-2014)
4-Sep-14 World View -- ISIS and Saudi Arabia in the Mideast realignment:
ISIS and the resurgence of Saudi Wahhabism... (4-Sep-2014)
3-Sep-14 World View -- Mideast realignment continues following the Gaza war:
Doctors Without Borders: We're losing the battle against Ebola... (3-Sep-2014)
2-Sep-14 World View -- India, Japan leaders meet to counter rise of China:
Russian lawyers: 'Stealth invasion' of Ukraine is legal... (2-Sep-2014)
1-Sep-14 World View -- Israel infuriates Palestinians by claiming West Bank land for settlements:
Pakistan's army issues a veiled threat to politicians... (1-Sep-2014)
31-Aug-14 World View -- Coup possible in Pakistan after night of violence:
Russian troops threaten Ukraine's entire coastline... (31-Aug-2014)
30-Aug-14 World View -- Al-Shabaab wants jihadists from UK, Germany and Minnesota:
UK raises terror threat level, citing British citizen terrorists... (30-Aug-2014)
29-Aug-14 World View -- Russia widens its invasion of Ukraine:
Canada's Nato delegation provides geography lesson to Russia... (29-Aug-2014)
28-Aug-14 World View -- Europe tries to deal with increasing flood of migrants from Africa:
United Nations accuses Syria of continuing use of chemical weapons... (28-Aug-2014)
27-Aug-14 World View -- Israel and Hamas agree to 'long-term' truce in Gaza war:
Egypt denies militarily intervening in Libya... (27-Aug-2014)
26-Aug-14 World View -- Egypt and United Arab Emirates (UAE) enter the war in Libya:
Frightened Syrian leadership asks for American help with ISIS... (26-Aug-2014)
25-Aug-14 World View -- AQAP announces support for ISIS:
Violence flares on India/Pakistan border in Kashmir... (25-Aug-2014)
24-Aug-14 World View -- Narendra Modi and rise of Hindutva (Hindu nationalism) in India:
Philippines to defy China by offering South China Sea sightseeing cruise tours... (24-Aug-2014)
23-Aug-14 World View -- Who's to blame for the rise of ISIS?:
In major escalation, Russia moves trucks, troops, artillery into Ukraine... (23-Aug-2014)
22-Aug-14 World View -- Hamas says it didn't intend to start the Gaza War:
Tunisia and Egypt cancel passenger flights to Libya... (22-Aug-2014)
21-Aug-14 World View -- Australian MP Clive Palmer shocks country with anti-China rant:
Invasion of Libya feared following mysterious bombing of Tripoli... (21-Aug-2014)
20-Aug-14 World View -- Pakistan's army called to quell massive anti-government protest:
34 people killed in Central African Republic... (20-Aug-2014)
19-Aug-14 World View -- Israel, Hamas extend Gaza truce another 24 hours to negotiate deal:
Kenya will block West African passengers from entering country... (19-Aug-2014)
18-Aug-14 World View -- Activists call for U.S. and Britain to partner with al-Assad against ISIS:
Attack on Ebola clinic in Liberia raises fears of out of control spread... (18-Aug-2014)
17-Aug-14 World View -- Erdogan turns Turkey even more against Israel and Egypt:
Turkey allies with Hamas, Qatar and ISIS... (17-Aug-2014)
16-Aug-14 World View -- West Africa at significant economic risk as Ebola panic intensifies:
Ukraine says it partially destroyed Russian military convoy crossing border... (16-Aug-2014)
15-Aug-14 World View -- Russia threatens to invade Ukraine from East and West:
China's bank lending falls 64% in July... (15-Aug-2014)
14-Aug-14 World View -- Western countries struggle with whether to send troops to Iraq:
Iraq is repeating the events of the 1930s... (14-Aug-2014)
13-Aug-14 World View -- Mammoth Russian truck convoy heads for confrontation at Ukraine border:
U.S. sends 130 more troops to Iraq as advisors... (13-Aug-2014)
12-Aug-14 World View -- Russia to send 'non-military' aid truck convoy into eastern Ukraine:
U.S. sending weapons directly to Kurds in Iraq... (12-Aug-2014)
11-Aug-14 World View -- Iraq's PM al-Maliki orders troops and tanks into Baghdad:
Belarus to be the big winner in Russia's food import ban... (11-Aug-2014)
10-Aug-14 World View -- New Delhi TV accidentally gets video of Hamas rocket launch in Gaza:
'Salami slicing tactics' by Russia and China risk wider war... (10-Aug-2014)
9-Aug-14 World View -- Hamas is at war with Egypt more than Israel:
Obama is dragged kicking and screaming back towards the Truman Doctrine... (9-Aug-2014)
8-Aug-14 World View -- U.S. military returns to Iraq, almost three years after withdrawing:
Concerns grow over possible Russian invasion of Ukraine... (8-Aug-2014)
7-Aug-14 World View -- Russia appears poised to invade Ukraine, threatening war:
Panic over Ebola grows as Nigeria declares state of emergency... (7-Aug-2014)
6-Aug-14 World View -- Cyclic anti-Semitism surges in Europe:
The Jews and the Spanish Inquisition... (6-Aug-2014)
5-Aug-14 World View -- Syria war spills into Lebanon, as ISIS attacks town of Arsal:
China reasserts its sovereignty over the South China Sea... (5-Aug-2014)
4-Aug-14 World View -- Iran trapped in a quagmire supporting both Syria and Iraq:
Israel faces harsh international criticism over shelling of UN shelter... (4-Aug-2014)
3-Aug-14 World View -- Congress reacts to photos of Assad's torture victims in Syria:
Israel confirms the death of the abducted soldier... (3-Aug-2014)
2-Aug-14 World View -- Gaza ceasefire collapses with 'game changer' abduction:
Tunisia closes border to foreigners fleeing Libya... (2-Aug-2014)
1-Aug-14 World View -- The Gaza ceasefire: Things to watch for:
The Rafah crossing becomes a major issue in the Gaza war... (1-Aug-2014)
31-Jul-14 World View -- The Gaza war becomes existential for both sides:
Russia replaces America's influence in Central Asia... (31-Jul-2014)
30-Jul-14 World View -- Uighurs launch massive knife-wielding terrorist attack in China:
China's secret weapon in the South China Sea: 50,000 fishing boats... (30-Jul-2014)
29-Jul-14 World View -- Huge fuel depot fire threatens Tripoli Libya with explosion:
Kerry shuts Egypt and Palestinian Authority out of Gaza 'peace plan'... (29-Jul-2014)
28-Jul-14 World View -- Embassies in Tripoli evacuated, as Libya sinks into tribal war:
United Arab Emirates to launch a space program to reach Mars... (28-Jul-2014)
27-Jul-14 World View -- Iran's Supreme Leader wants to annihilate Israel, but not Jews:
Israel extends the Gaza ceasefire by 24 hours, but Hamas does not... (27-Jul-2014)
26-Jul-14 World View -- Israel rejects 7-day ceasefire, agrees to 12-hour ceasefire:
Ebola victim escapes from hospital, putting Freetown at risk... (26-Jul-2014)
25-Jul-14 World View -- Can Hamas survive the Gaza war?:
UN official says that Mideast will be 'shocked' into peace... (25-Jul-2014)
24-Jul-14 World View -- Palestinians harden demands for agreement to a Gaza cease-fire:
Gunmen kill 21 Egyptian border guards on border with Libya... (24-Jul-2014)
23-Jul-14 World View -- Al-Jazeera attacked by gunfire in Gaza:
Report: Israeli warplanes strike weapons arsenal in Sudan... (23-Jul-2014)
22-Jul-14 World View -- Gaza war splits Arab states into competing alliances:
Ukraine's pro-Russian separatists grudgingly give up 'black boxes'... (22-Jul-2014)
21-Jul-14 World View -- Israel's war with the Gaza tunnels moves into population centers:
ISIS evicts Christians and Kurds from Mosul Iraq as new bomb blasts hit Baghdad... (21-Jul-2014)
20-Jul-14 World View -- Netherlands leads international outrage against Russia for airliner shootdown:
Why do Arabs have so many children?... (20-Jul-2014)
19-Jul-14 World View -- Russia blows off US accusation of complicity in shooting down airliner:
Israel warns of 'significantly widening' the ground operation in Gaza... (19-Jul-2014)
18-Jul-14 World View -- Will Russia get away with it again?:
Multiple simultaneous crises signal deteriorating geopolitics... (18-Jul-2014)
17-Jul-14 World View -- Sectarian violence continues to grow in Central African Republic:
Gaza conflicts open old wounds in the Arab world... (17-Jul-2014)
16-Jul-14 World View -- Hamas furious at Egypt's cease-fire proposal, as violence escalates:
Turkey's prime minister Erdogan makes vitriolic attack on Israel... (16-Jul-2014)
15-Jul-14 World View -- Ukraine accuses Russia of shooting down military transport plane:
Rise of ISIS spawns new jihadist groups in Indonesia... (15-Jul-2014)
14-Jul-14 World View -- Terrorist attacks in Egypt's Sinai raise fears of ISIS links:
Why the U.S. can't offer effective help to Nigeria... (14-Jul-2014)
13-Jul-14 World View -- Will Israel win the next war between Arabs and Jews?:
Israeli special forces appear to be fighting in Gaza... (13-Jul-2014)
12-Jul-14 World View -- Gaza tunnels make Israeli ground offensive dangerous but necessary:
Health workers flee from West Africa as Ebola epidemic spreads... (12-Jul-2014)
11-Jul-14 World View -- Australia joins Japan, Vietnam, Philippines in opposing China:
A humiliated Russia considers next steps in east Ukraine... (11-Jul-2014)
10-Jul-14 World View -- Israel and Hamas accuse each other of war crimes:
Measles spreading rapidly in China... (10-Jul-2014)
9-Jul-14 World View -- Mideast war or peace? It all depends on what Hamas wants.:
Hamas says that all Israelis are now targets... (9-Jul-2014)
8-Jul-14 World View -- Young Jewish males confess to lynching, as Israel and Gaza prepare for war:
Russia's Vladimir Putin appears to be the loser in Ukraine... (8-Jul-2014)
7-Jul-14 World View -- Israeli police hold six suspects in the murder of Palestinian teen:
Pakistan's military attack on Taliban produces little besides chaos... (7-Jul-2014)
6-Jul-14 World View -- Palestinian violence spreads after new atrocities are revealed:
Ukraine's Poroshenko claims a major victory against pro-Russian separatists... (6-Jul-2014)
5-Jul-14 World View -- Activists demand restoration of the Kingdom of Hawaii:
East Ukraine fighting gets bloodier as new peace talks are scheduled... (5-Jul-2014)
4-Jul-14 World View -- Israel masses troops on Gaza border and violence escalates in Jerusalem:
China reaffirms plans to annex India's Arunachal Pradesh province... (4-Jul-2014)
3-Jul-14 World View -- Airport security to increase as Yemen bomb makers join with Syrian jihadists:
China bans Ramadan fasting for Uighurs in Xinjiang province... (3-Jul-2014)
2-Jul-14 World View -- Ukraine's forces assault pro-Russian separatists as cease-fire ends:
In face of China's increased aggression, Japan reinterprets its constitution... (2-Jul-2014)
1-Jul-14 World View -- ISIS makes laughable 'Caliphate' claim:
Pentagon announces additional 300 troop deployment to Iraq... (1-Jul-2014)
30-Jun-14 World View -- Nigeria's Boko Haram attacks a Church, but flees from bees and snakes:
Bank of International Settlements warns of 'euphoric markets' and high debt... (30-Jun-2014)
29-Jun-14 World View -- Sarajevo Serbs unveil monument to Gavrilo Princip, who triggered World War I:
West African Ebola outbreak is now the worst in history... (29-Jun-2014)
28-Jun-14 World View -- USS Bataan with 1000 marines to join six other warships in the Persian Gulf:
We have Jean-Claude Juncker to kick around again.... (28-Jun-2014)
27-Jun-14 World View -- Saudi Arabia's armed forces on high alert as ISIS approaches:
Thousands of Ukrainians flee east Ukraine for Russia... (27-Jun-2014)
26-Jun-14 World View -- Ukraine to sign trade deal with European Union on Friday:
Stocks rise after disastrous GDP report... (26-Jun-2014)
25-Jun-14 World View -- The Iraqi catastrophe worsens as European youth join ISIS:
Boko Haram in Nigeria abducts 60 more girls and 30 boys... (25-Jun-2014)
24-Jun-14 World View -- Egypt's Kangaroo Court finds Al-Jazeera journalists guilty with no evidence:
Ebola virus is 'out of control' in western Africa... (24-Jun-2014)
23-Jun-14 World View -- Jordan on alert as ISIS captures more Iraq border towns :
Pakistanis fear nationwide blowback from military offensive against Taliban... (23-Jun-2014)
22-Jun-14 World View -- India's PM Narendra Modi government in crisis over Iraq hostages:
In strategic victory, ISIS captures Syria-Iraq border crossing... (22-Jun-2014)
21-Jun-14 World View -- With Syria destabilizing, number of refugees back to WW II levels:
Financial advisors taking kickbacks in addition to commissions... (21-Jun-2014)
20-Jun-14 World View -- President Obama orders more U.S. military involvement in Iraq:
Nato reports new Russian troop build-up on Ukraine's border... (20-Jun-2014)
19-Jun-14 World View -- Chinese and Vietnamese officials meet without smiling and agree on nothing:
U.S. is flying F-18 surveillance missions over Iraq... (19-Jun-2014)
18-Jun-14 World View -- Generational Dynamics historical analysis of the violence in Iraq:
Was the 2003 ground invasion of Iraq a mistake?... (18-Jun-2014)
17-Jun-14 World View -- U.S. sending 275 troops back into Iraq to protect embassy:
Kenya suffers worst terrorist attack since Westgate Mall attack... (17-Jun-2014)
16-Jun-14 World View -- The size of the Iraq catastrophe continues to unfold:
Pakistan launches major military action against Taliban... (16-Jun-2014)
15-Jun-14 World View -- Iran asks U.S. to intervene in Iraq, and offers to help:
Ukraine conflict escalates sharply after plane shot down, killing 49... (15-Jun-2014)
14-Jun-14 World View -- U.S. and Iran move to help Iraq's al-Maliki stop ISIS:
U.S. State Dept. confirms Russian tanks in Ukraine... (14-Jun-2014)
13-Jun-14 World View -- President Obama considers military action in Iraq:
Foreign exchange price fixing will exceed libor scandal in criminality... (13-Jun-2014)
12-Jun-14 World View -- ISIS and Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi sweep across Iraq, capture Tikrit:
The collapse of Iraq's army... (12-Jun-2014)
11-Jun-14 World View -- Iraq in major crisis after catastrophic fall of Mosul to ISIS:
Thailand's military junta uses sexy 'army girls' to change minds... (11-Jun-2014)
10-Jun-14 World View -- Iran closes border with Pakistan after terror attack in Balochistan:
Massive Taliban attack at airport in Karachi, Pakistan... (10-Jun-2014)
9-Jun-14 World View -- Egypt's al-Sisi makes laundry list of promises at inauguration:
Pope Francis plants an olive tree for Mideast Peace... (9-Jun-2014)
8-Jun-14 World View -- Russia forced to change tactics after Ukraine's election:
Jihadist violence across Iraq continues to grow... (8-Jun-2014)
7-Jun-14 World View -- Pentagon issues annual report on China's military:
Former ambassador to Syria harshly criticizes Obama's policies... (7-Jun-2014)
6-Jun-14 World View -- Indonesia increases defense spending to combat China:
Eurozone moves to negative interest rates to fight deflation... (6-Jun-2014)
5-Jun-14 World View -- History is repeating itself in China and Vietnam:
Nigeria helpless as Boko Haram trashes entire villages... (5-Jun-2014)
4-Jun-14 World View -- Vietnam develops increasingly dangerous strategy to counter China:
Saudi Arabia reports significantly more deaths from MERS virus... (4-Jun-2014)
3-Jun-14 World View -- Polio continues to flare in Nigeria and Pakistan:
Hamas leader resigns as Palestine unity government is announced... (3-Jun-2014)
3-Jun-14 World View -- Polio continues to flare in Nigeria and Pakistan:
Hamas leader resigns as Palestine unity government is announced... (3-Jun-2014)
2-Jun-14 World View -- Prisoner swap deal infuriates many Afghans, 'big victory' for Taliban:
Abbas: Palestinian unity government will 'renounce violence' against Israel... (2-Jun-2014)
1-Jun-14 World View -- Hagel sets a 'red line' for China in South China Sea:
Migrants from Syria and Africa flood into Italy... (1-Jun-2014)
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June 4, 2011, presentation:
This Generational Dynamics presentation was given in 2011 at Fort Devens in Massachusetts.
Click here for presentation slides
April 20, 2004, presentation:
This Generational Dynamics presentation was given in 2004 at MIT in Cambridge, Mass.
Click here for presentation slides
Reviews of books on current events and history
About Generational Dynamics, About John J. Xenakis
Discussion and Comments
Crisis wars graphic:
Graphic showing crisis war timelines for Western Europe and for Orthodox Christianity vs Muslim Civilizations
Archived items removed from the site home page.
This is an experiment - Using the Generational Dynamics methodology
to provide up-to-date information on investment opportunities around
International Investment Advisories |
India: Hooray for Bollywood!:
Investment opportunities in India range from high-tech
pharmaceuticals to Spiderman.
India: Socially beneficial profits from "Untouchable" investments:
For those interested in socially beneficial investments in India, the
lot of India's Dalits provides an ideal investment target -- high-risk
but with the possibility of high returns because of the market size.
Trading with Iran: Not exactly a magic carpet ride:
Surprise! It turns out that being a member of the "Axis of Evil"
doesn't help investors.
A special feature of the experimental International Investment Advisories, containing information not available elsewhere, is the Conflict Index, a medium-range (1-2 years) and long-range (2-10 years) forecast of the likely level of local conflict, from riots and demonstrations to all out insurrection and civil war.
Cover design by Libby Chase, http://www.libbysgallery.com.
NY Skyline & Statue of Liberty clip art images
provided by http://budgetstockphoto.com.