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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 1-Jun-2021
1-Jun-21 World View -- Coronavirus coverup unravels in US as China threatens Australia

Web Log - June, 2021

1-Jun-21 World View -- Coronavirus coverup unravels in US as China threatens Australia

Evidence grows that Wuhan coronavirus came from Wuhan Virology Lab

by John J. Xenakis

This morning's key headlines from

China's 'Wolf Warrior' strategy moves towards world war

China views Australia as being a puppet, with America as the puppetmaster (Global Times)
China views Australia as being a puppet, with America as the puppetmaster (Global Times)

This is an article about two subjects -- threats by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to bomb Australia and the unraveling of the CCP's Wuhan coronavirus coverup. As different as these issues are, they have a common core: the intense increase in the last year of China's xenophobia, paranoia, nationalism and belligerence. This has been predicted by Generational Dynamics for years, as the prelude to world war. By now, the level of hostility between China and the West is as bad as the hostility between Japan and the US in 1941, in the months prior to the bombing of Pearl Harbor.

This is being described as a sharp rise in "Wolf Warrior" strategy, named after a 2015 Chinese-produced military action film that demands a belligerent response to anyone disrespecting China.

Here's how left-leaning Foreign Policy magazine puts it:

"Sometime in 2020, China came unmoored from its grand strategy. Until then, Beijing’s diplomatic, military, and economic efforts were all directed toward national security. ... The consistency of purpose underpinning China’s behavior was hard to miss.

Of late, however, China has lost that purposefulness -- one of the hallmarks of grand strategy. The predominant feature of Chinese conduct today is not grand strategy but a belligerent, defensive nationalism that lashes out without heed of consequences. Just why that breakdown has occurred is uncertain, but it is clear that the change has put both China and the world in jeopardy. China risks undoing all it has gained -- at considerable cost -- since the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) came to power. And the rest of the world, particularly the United States, finds itself confronted not with the hard task of managing a rising, reasonably predictable power but the infinitely harder job of managing a flailing one."

Analysts analyzing the situation say that the rise in this kind of xenophobic nationalism actually began in 2008 with the global financial crisis. I would agree with that because 2008 was 59 years after the end of China's civil war in 1949, and so was the time that China entered its generational Crisis era (Fourth Turning), just as 2003 was the time when America entered its generational Crisis era, 58 years after the end of World War II. There's a parallel between Washington and Beijing in that sensible policies in this era have been replaced by total lunacy in both capitals. Unfortunately, that's how world wars start.

Last year I gave as an example of the insanity of CCP policy is that it was threatening war over 21 different border disputes with neighboring countries. This would be like America threatening border disputes with Canada, Russia, Mexico, Haiti, Dominican Republic and Cuba. The CCP no longer has any coherent strategy, and is striking out in all directions. (See "5-Jul-20 World View -- Gleeful China wins big Hong Kong victory at UN Human Rights Council -- India's list of China's border disagreements")

Australia's long hostile relationship with China

Australia has a long history of antipathy towards Chinese in Australia since European settlement, starting with race riots amid the gold rush of the 1850s and '60s. With hundreds of Chinese prospectors injured and evicted from mining sites, the unrest prompted immigration rules that led to the infamous "White Australia" policy, which existed in various forms from 1901 until 1973.

Although these racist policies were repealed decades ago, there has never been a comfortable relationship. In May 2018, an Australian MP accused politicians of Chinese ancestry of being spies for the CCP, and the parliament passed sweeping influence laws targeting secret attempts by foreign spies to influence Australia's politicians, media, ethnic groups and civil society organizations. ( "29-Jun-18 World View -- Australia passes foreign influence laws, targeting China")

In April of last year, Australia's relationship with China deteriorated significantly after prime minister Scott Morrison called for an international inquiry into the origins of the coronavirus pandemic. The Chinese were furious, assuming that it was an attack on the CCP (which, in fact, it was). Morrison further infuriated the Chinese for commenting on human rights abuses in Xinjiang and Hong Kong, and for criticizing China's repeated threats to invade Taiwan.

At this point, China was deep into its "wolf warrior" phase. China blocked or slowed exports from Australia of numerous products, including wine, barley, beef, timber and coal.

CCP tweet with fake picture of Australian soldier holding a knife to the neck of an Afghan baby, saying, 'Don't be afraid, we are coming to bring you peace'.  The baby and the knife are blurred in the above picture.  (SMH)
CCP tweet with fake picture of Australian soldier holding a knife to the neck of an Afghan baby, saying, 'Don't be afraid, we are coming to bring you peace'. The baby and the knife are blurred in the above picture. (SMH)

Australia was infuriated in December when China's foreign ministry tweeted a fake picture of an Australian soldier holding a knife to the neck of an Afghan baby, saying, "Don't be afraid, we are coming to bring you peace." In his strongest criticism of China, Morrison said:

"The Chinese government should be totally ashamed of this post. It diminishes them in the world's eyes. It is an absolutely outrageous and disgusting slur. Australia is seeking an apology from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and we are seeking it be removed from Twitter."

Needless to say, China did not apologize, and Twitter did not remove it. However, Morrison's statement was significant because it was strong comment Morrison had ever made about the CCP since taking office.

Australia retaliates by cancelling BRI projects

Four months later, in April of this year, Australia struck back at China by canceling Belt & Road Initiative (BRI) agreements that China had contracted with Victoria, a province in southeast Australia. The reason given was that the projects were not compatible with Australia's security, and made Victoria too dependent on China. Agreements with Iran and Syria were also scrapped at the same time.

These were small projects, so this should not have been a big deal, and it would not have been in any other era. But China responded with rage and threats, calling the cancellation "unreasonable and provocative," and vowing revenge.

China's state media Global Times accused Australia to be a puppet of the United States, and wrote the following, referring to Australia's capital city Canberra:

"Canberra must have known or even anticipated that its action would draw such a furious response and potentially crippling countermeasures from Beijing. However, it still decided to move ahead with the action. Clearly, Canberra is increasingly unhinged and in way over its head by taking such a suicidal attack on not just China but also its own economic interests.

Since the cancellation of the BRI deals, speculation has been rife that Canberra may soon suffer from the wrath of its largest trading partner. Given the viciousness and seriousness of the move, we won't be surprised if China takes forceful countermeasures to inflict serious pain on Australia. With China's comprehensive strength, there are numerous ways for China to achieve that."

The reason for China's hysterical response is that the cancellation of this small project is a loss of faith for the CCP and Xi Jinping himself.

As I've written in the past, has a totally delusional geopolitical strategy based on BRI. Guided by China's leadership, countries throughout Africa, Asia and the Mideast will put aside their disagreements. Old hatreds will be mended by necessity, to attract capital for investments. These include countries like Iran, Saudi Arabia, India, and Pakistan. China will create a "global colossal," of dozens of countries in a massive multi-country partnership, bound together by China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). China foresees connecting the world through trade and peace, but foresees only one obstacle: that America will try to block it, leading to war.

China has used bribery, corruption, and threats to coerce countries in Asia, Africa and Europe agree to build BRI projects in those countries. However, China is receiving increasing resistance to these projects because of "debt trap diplomacy," which gives China almost effective control over each national government. This is actually what Australia feared, in canceling Victoria's BRI project.

A firm cancellation of Australia's Victoria BRI project would be the first such cancellation and would be a major crack in the entire delusional geopolitical plan, since it would provide cover for other countries to similary cancel or refuse BRI projects.

So China's hysteria over the cancelation, with threats of revenge, is intended to force Australia to reverse its decision, just as the boycotts of barley, coal and other products was intended to force Australia to back down from its demands in the area of human rights and particularly its demand for an international investigation of the source of the Wuhan Coronavirus.

At the beginning of May, the editor in chief of the Global Times posted the following editorial:

"Given that Australian hawks keep hyping or hinting that Australia will assist the US military and participate in war once a military conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Straits, and the Australian media outlets have been actively promoting the sentiment, I suggest China make a plan to impose retaliatory punishment against Australia once it militarily interferes in the cross-Straits situation. The plan should include long-range strikes on the military facilities and relevant key facilities on Australian soil if it really sends its troops to China's offshore areas and combats against the PLA. In addition to making the plan, China should also reveal this plan through non-official channels to deter the extreme forces of Australia and prevent them from taking the risk and committing irresponsible actions.

China loves peace and will not take the initiative to pick a fight with faraway Australia, but Australian hawks must be clear-minded. If they are bold enough to coordinate with the US to militarily interfere in the Taiwan question and send troops to the Taiwan Straits to wage war with the PLA, they must know what disasters they would cause to their country. China has a strong production capability, including producing additional long-range missiles with conventional warheads that target military objectives in Australia when the situation becomes highly tense."

This is a remarkable statement, for several reasons:

This editorial well illustrates the belligerent mood in Beijing, and its "wolf warrior" attitude that China must never be disrespected.

Evidence grows that Wuhan coronavirus came from Wuhan Virology Lab

Now let's turn to the second subject area, the Wuhan coronavirus.

Last week, president Joe Biden ordered intelligence officials to investigate the origins of the Wuhan Coronavirus, including the theory that it came from the Wuhan Virology Lab in China, either accidentally or intentionally, and that the virus was the result of "gain of function" research to create a bioweapon for the military. The investigation will also look at China's actions in covering up the spread of the virus, protecting China by blocking internal travel, and then purposely spreading the virus to 180 other countries by encouraging air travel between Wuhan and those countries.

This order has caused a seismic shock in Beijing, as well as in Washington's mainstream media.

Simply calling for an investigation isn't exactly an act of war, but we've seen how Australia's call for an investigation in March of last year led to hysterical calls for revenge and retribution, including boycotts of Australian goods, escalating up to the present time when Chinese media is talking about bombing Australian soil.

The CCP is far more reluctant to threaten the US militarily than to threaten Australia. Nonetheless, they must be considering possible forms of revenge in the next few weeks.

For now, the CCP response is limited to the usual hysterical lying and deceptions. Here's the statement from China's foreign ministry spokesman:

"However, some in the US, turning a blind eye to facts, science, the questionable study of origins and botched response at home, kept clamoring for additional investigation in China. This shows that they don't care about facts or truth and have zero interest in a serious science-based study of origins. Their one aim is to use the pandemic to pursue stigmatization and political manipulation to shift the blame. They are being disrespectful to science, irresponsible to people's lives, and counter-productive to concerted global efforts to fight the virus. With 33 million confirmed cases and 600,000 deaths from COVID-19, both the highest in the world, the US, instead of examining its own behavior, attempted to scapegoat China. What are they up to? Can they sleep at night with a troubled conscience?

What secrets are hidden in the suspicion-shrouded Fort Detrick and the over 200 US bio-labs all over the world? In July 2019, there were reports on the unexplained outbreaks of respiratory disease in northern Virginia and on the subsequent EVALI outbreaks in Wisconsin. What's hidden there? When will the US release detailed data and information on relevant cases? It owes an explanation to the world."

There are many biolabs in many countries around the world, including one at Fort Detrick biodefense center, where an infectious disease research program was shut down in 2019 over problems with disposal of dangerous materials. However, there was no threat to public health, no injuries to employees, and no attempt to protect the United States while purposely infecting 180 countries around the world, so its in no way comparable to the Wuhan Virology Lab.

The seismic shock to Washington's mainstream media is that this is the biggest story of the century, and yet the mainstream media adamantly refused to investigate and report on it, but has cooperated with the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to label it as "fake news" or a "conspiracy theory" that was dreamed up by president Donald Trump for political reasons.

Left wing media pundits have been falling all over themselves trying to explain why Donald Trump was right and they were all wrong about the biggest story of the century. Joy Behar of the TV show The View, who is a total idiot, said:

"Trump was blaming the Chinese from the beginning. He was using them as scapegoats. If it happens to be true it was from Wuhan, then that was just a lucky break on his part because he took a guess, in my opinion."

This was echoed by other mainstream media pundits, explaining that the reason that they missed the story of the century was that they didn't want to admit that Trump was right.

However, I believe that the real reason is obvious and far more sinister. The mainstream media and many politicians are totally compromised by the Chinese. News organizations that report news that "disrespects" China can be expelled from China, and even have their reporters jailed. Sports figures have been forced to make humiliating public apologies, kowtowing to China, for merely uttering the word "Uighur" or the phrase "the nation of Taiwan." California representative Eric Swalwell was totally compromised by an affair with a hot Chinese spy, and Joe Biden and his son Hunter are totally compromised by their financial deals with China. But that's just the tip of the iceberg. The CCP have given grants, provided money, provided girls, and provided workers to every university, every public, private and governmental organization, to infiltrate them. This has been a nationwide scandal in Australia and New Zealand.

That China operates this way has been well-documented in many countries, with the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) being the primary bribery and extortion vehicle in Asia, Africa and Europe. This is China's playbook, and it gives them the leverage to use extortion against any reporter, sports figure or politician that might otherwise "disrespect" China or disagree with Chinese Communist policies.

So that's the reason why the mainstream media have been refusing to investigate and report the greatest story so far this century. They would rather find a way to blame Trump, even though it makes them look like idiots, rather than admit to being extorted, which they were. It's bad enough that the mainstream media are an arm of the Democrat Party, but it's much worse that the mainstream media are an arm of the Chinese Communist Party. (Paragraph modified, 1-June)

Biden was clearly reluctant to order any investigation for the same reasons, and in fact in January he closed an investigation in the State Dept. that had been opened by Trump and Mike Pompeo. So what changed?

It's just that circumstantial evidence has been growing and growing more powerful over time. This has included whistleblowers and scientists who had worked in the Wuhan Virology Lab.

There were several triggering events during the month of May:

Biden had previously called for the previous WHO investigation to be completed, as had been promised, but after the CCP announcement on Tuesday that they wouldn't cooperate, Biden was compelled politically to agree to an investigation.

Weaponizing biotech and 'gain of function' research

In August 2019, shortly before the spread of the Wuhan Coronavirus, Defense One magazine published a detailed analysis of decades of China's plans for creating biological weapons for use by the military. So it's possible, though unproven, that Covid-19 was developed by the Chinese military as a bioweapon.

If you take a virus and turn it into a bioweapon, the type of research is named "gain-of-function." The enhanced virus may be more lethal, may spread more easily, or may target only certain kinds of entities. For example, in 2000 Dutch researchers genetically engineered the spike protein of a mouse coronavirus so that it would attack only cats, but not rodents.

The nightmare scenario for the world is that Chinese scientists might similarly engineer a virus that attacks all humans, excluding all those with Chinese DNA.

Not surprisingly, gain-of-function research has become highly controversial. As described by the recent article in Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) provides grants funding projects at the Wuhan Virology Lab. When questioned about these grants in congressional committees, Dr. Anthony Fauci denied vehemently that these grants ever funded gain-of-research funding at the Wuhan Lab.

However, publicly available documents show that the grants went to a prime contractor, Peter Daszak, president of the EcoHealth Alliance of New York, and that Daszak subcontracted to Bat Lady, Shi Zheng-li, the gain-of-function researcher at Wuhan Virology Lab that we previously described. Fauci insisted that there was no gain-of-function research because the grant agreement specified that there would be no gain-of-funding research. Under questioning, Fauci admitted that there was no way to tell if the Chinese were lying.

The Chinese Communists are supported by many useful idiots in the United States, but apparently Fauci is the stupidest useful idiot of them all.

China becomes increasingly unstable and desperate

I've described China's Communist government as being desperate and unstable in the past, and that's been true, but it's been getting much worse. It's a worsening trend that the CCP is desperately striking out in all directions, with a delusional geopolitical plan, 21 border disputes, deteriorating BRI strategy, and facing people in hundreds of countries that are pissed off that China protected themselves while purposely inflicting the Wuhan Coronavirus on them, though are afraid to take any action because of China's bribery and extortion playbook.

Americans can't grasp how China's government is becoming increasingly unstable because the US Constitutional government is possibly the most stable in world history, and we can't imagine it any other way. Every serious decision we take is subject to checks and balances by three branches of government, and is usually first debated in various committees, agencies, and the courts.

Contrast that with China, where Xi Jinping has made himself a dictator for life, which means that he could make a serious decision and there would be no one there to stop him. That's what happened with Mao Zedong's disastrous Great Leap Forward in 1958, which resulted in tens of millions of unnecessary deaths, and destroyed China's economy for decades, so much that it still hasn't recovered. Nothing like that could ever happen in America.

Why did the Imperial Japanese choose December 7, 1941, to bomb Pearl Harbor? They chose that date because they thought that they were running out of time and they panicked. The US had placed an embargo on the trade of all militarily useful items with Japan, and faced with serious shortages, they believed that they had to move quickly, or they would lose the opportunity.

We know that the Chinese are going to attack Taiwan. We know that because they've said so repeatedly, and they've been open about making military preparations for an attack. And now we've learned that their preparations are reaching the stage of possibly bombing Australia, because they believe that Australia's military would join with America's military in defending Taiwan.

China's "Wolf Warrior" strategy of xenophobia, nationalism and belligerance has been growing. I've tried to show a trend, how there have been a series of such incidents, and how each incident has been worse than the last one. Over the last 20 years, I've studied thousands of wars, and this is how wars start.

The Chinese military or Xi Jinping may decide, for rational, irrational or delusional reasons, that they've run out of time and that they have to move quickly, or they would lose the opportunity. No one, not even the Chinese themselves, can predict when they will panic and take that step. All we can do is watch as the Chinese Communist government becomes increasingly unstable and desperate.

Sidebar: Attacks on Asian-Pacific people in the United States

This is a separate subject, but this is a good place to include it.

The mainstream media have been pointing to an increase in hate crimes on Asian Americans as proof that Republicans are white supremacists, and that they've been stirred up by president Trump's frequent reference to the "China Virus."

It takes a reporter from the NY Times or CNN to say something as totally idiotic as that. These attacks have been going on since the 1800s, and incidentally they've been even worse in Australia. So they long predate Trump.

However I came across a report, posted in January by the National Institutes of Health, which used data from the Department of Justice to "examine the nature and characteristics of hate crimes against Asian Americans." The report compared hate crimes against Asian Americans, African Americans, and Hispanics.

The most important finding of the report is that perpetrators of hate crimes against Asians are most likely to be blacks, for economic reasons. This is something that's been known anecdotally for a long time, but the NIH report confirms it. It's also clear that the writers of the NIH report don't want you to easily find this result, probably for fear that if they expose the truth, they'll get fired or canceled.

You have to go far into the report to find the results (search for "Table 3" or "Findings of this study, however, also provide support to the minority-specific model"), but the findings are clear:

The article by conservative Michelle Malkin referenced below provides multiple examples of hate crimes against Asians by blacks, probably all Democrats.

Reading through the news stories of the Atlanta shooting in March of Asians, you can almost see the frustration of the writers that they can't find an angle to blame Republicans. By this time it's almost certain that the Atlanta shooter was a Democrat, probably a supporter of Black Lives Matter.

A personal note: All the signs are there that the Atlanta shooter was obsessed with Asian women and went berserk. I find this quite believable, since I've known two guys in the past who were obsessed with Asian women -- to date them not to kill them. There's something about Asian women that causes some men (not me) to obsess about them.

John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan: Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book 2), June 2019, Paperback: 331 pages, with over 200 source references, $13.99


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