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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 16-Jul-07
North Korea shuts down nuclear reactor.

Web Log - July, 2007

North Korea shuts down nuclear reactor.

North Korea's Yongbyon nuclear facility was closed on Saturday, and international inspectors returned to the site for the first time since being asked to leave in 2002.

North Korea did this according a February agreement with America, South Korea, China, Russia and Japan.

In return for the closure, North Korea got $25 million and the first tanker of a promised million tons of fuel oil.

As I wrote at the time, count me among those who are extremely skeptical of North Korea's intentions. Yeah, they shut the nuclear facility down, but they can turn it right back on if they want to. And anyway, they're thought to have enough nuclear fuel stashed away for 5-10 more nuclear weapons.

The next step that the North Koreans promised is to dismantle the facility. Let's see if that happens.

From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, North Korea is in a generational Crisis era and has become increasingly xenophobic, as do all countries in generational Crisis periods. The distrust of America, South Korea and Japan in particular almost guarantees that they'll take no steps at denuclearization that aren't forced on them. (16-Jul-07) Permanent Link
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