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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 29-Sep-04
The debate dialectic

Web Log - September, 2004

The debate dialectic

Both Bush and Kerry will be lying on Thursday evening, but so what? They're politicians.

Iraq will be a big subject on the Thursday evening debates.

We invaded Iraq because we were convinced that there were weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. Most of the rest of the world was convinced of the same thing.

Generational Dynamics is based on the very real observation that nobody knows much of anything that happened before they were born, with the result that societies and nations repeat the same mistakes cyclically.

But if we're to judge from the Iraq situation, people's memories are even worse than that. Because no one remembers that two years ago we were all convinced, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that Saddam had chemical and biological weapons in his possession.

Now that it turns out that there aren't any -- and we still don't know where they all went to -- the politicians have to scramble.

Bush will say that weapons of mass destruction weren't the main reason, which of course is a lie.

Kerry will say that he would have pursued the war on Iraq more cleverly than Bush, which is a lie.

Bush will say that bringing democracy to Iraq will bring democracy to the entire Mideast, which is a lie.

Kerry will say he'll do things differently in Iraq, which is a lie.

Hopefully all the bickering over the Vietnam era is over, but there is one outstanding issue: John Kerry must repudiate his 1971 remarks that American soldiers committed atrocities and war crimes on a day to day basis in Vietnam, with the full awareness of officers at all levels of command. If he's elected President without repudiating those remarks, he's going to have a big problem being President.

As for what's going to happen in Iraq, it makes no difference who's elected in November. The future of Iraq and the entire Mideast has been "baked into the cake" for decades. It only remains for us to play out our moves and see how it turns out. (29-Sep-04) Permanent Link
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