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 Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's


Generational Dynamics Web Log for 14-Sep-2014
14-Sep-14 World View -- ISIS execution of Britain's David Haines may change US/UK military dynamics

Web Log - September, 2014

14-Sep-14 World View -- ISIS execution of Britain's David Haines may change US/UK military dynamics

Russian Orthodox fanatic considers Vladimir Putin to be united with God

This morning's key headlines from

Russia sends massive new 'humanitarian convoy' into Ukraine

Massive Russian truck convoy with unknown contents arrives in Russian-held territory in east Ukraine, with no permission and no inspections (Ria Novosti)
Massive Russian truck convoy with unknown contents arrives in Russian-held territory in east Ukraine, with no permission and no inspections (Ria Novosti)

Without asking for permission or permitting inspections, Russia on Saturday sent a huge convoy of 220 trucks across the border of Ukraine, into the region of east Ukraine controlled by Russian army and pro-Russian anti-government forces. Ukraine officials are calling it "a direct invasion." Russia is calling it "humanitarian aid," but it could just as well be heavy weapons or even hundreds of Russian soldiers, reminiscent of the story of the Trojan Horse. Ria Novosti and Deutsche Welle

Russian Orthodox fanatic considers Vladimir Putin to be united with God

Every religion has its religious fanatics, and one of the leading fanatics in the Russian Orthodox religion is Dmitry Tsorionov, who uses "Enteo" as a pseudonym. According to Tsorionov in a recent lecture in Moscow:

"A divine light at the moment when [Putin] left his baptism transfixed his essence, restoring the destroyed depths of his being, and giving him an anthological ability to acquire celestial energy. ...

Without a doubt he does good deeds, and for this God gives him grace. He strengthens his presence in Vladimir Putin, and Vladimir Putin becomes a living temple. God has been placed inside this little Vladimir Putin. This is a fact."

Supposedly, Tsorionov statements are drawn from the theology of the Byzantine Empire and the "godliness" of the emperor. But his bizarre statements may be more political than religious. He's anti-abortion, anti-homosexuality, and opposes teaching evolution in schools, saying that the universe was created 7,521 years ago, on the first of March, a Sunday. He's part of a growing group of ultra-conservatives who oppose any Western influence, even Apple Corp.'s logo, complaining that the half-bitten apple promotes original sin. These groups are occasionally violent against homosexuals and other politically incorrect groups.

Alina Kabaeva, Putin's alleged long-time mistress (
Alina Kabaeva, Putin's alleged long-time mistress (

According to Tsorionov:

"We kill tens of millions of our children. We betray our wives. We donít go to Church. We smoke hashish. Meanwhile, Vladimir Vladimirovich, the boss, is praying seriously for us all. Of course we are not worthy."

Perhaps Tsorionov is ignoring the years of reports about his mistress, 2004 Olympics award-winning rhythmical gymnast Alina Kabaeva. RFERL and Ria Novosti (8/2013)

ISIS execution of Britain's David Haines may change US/UK military dynamics

A new internet video from the Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria (IS or ISIS) begins with a clip from Britain's prime minister David Cameron saying:

"We have to stick to the very clear foreign policy and the very clear strategy we have, which is to work with the new Iraqi government to help make sure the Kurds get the arms they need to fight off these brutal, extremist militants, to work with our allies, and as I've said to use everything we have ó our aid, our diplomacy, and our military prowess ó to make sure that with our allies we do everything we can to put pressure on Islamic State, the supporting organization..."

Next, the video shows the ISIS executioner, saying the following:

"This British man has to pay the price for your promise, Cameron, to arm the Peshmerga against the Islamic State. Ironically, he has spent a decade of his life serving under the brutal air force that is responsible for delivering those arms.

Your evil alliance with America, which continues to strike the Muslims of Iraq and most recently bombed the Haditha Dam, will only accelerate your destruction, and playing the role of the obedient lapdog, Cameron, will only drag you and your people into another bloody and unwinnable war."

Cameron called an emergency meeting of his government early Sunday morning to discuss how to deal with the crisis.

Britain recently raised its national terror threat level to "severe," meaning that a terrorist attack is "highly likely," though not necessarily imminent. The announcement of this change referred to the approximately 500 British citizens that have traveled to fight in Syria, with 200 already having returned home.

From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, most of the world is deep into a generational Crisis era, with 69 years having passed since the end of World War II. During this era, the population reacts in a somewhat panicky manner to what are called "regeneracy events." These events appear to pose an existential threat to a country or its way of life, and they regenerate civic unity behind the leader and his call for military action.

We've seen this fairly dramatically in the last few weeks, when polls have shown a big swing among Americans from not favoring military action against ISIS to almost 2/3rds of Americans saying that military action against ISIS is in the nation's interest. This is an example of how quickly a regeneracy event can change public opinion during a generational Crisis era.

In the last few days, since President Obama's televised speech on Wednesday, Britain has been among those countries showing reluctance to join America's "coalition of the willing" to fight ISIS. So it will be interesting to watch closely in the next few days to see if public opinion in Britain shifts the way it did in America, and whether Cameron will announce that Britain will join America's conflict with Syria.

On Saturday evening, Cameron said the murder was "despicable and appalling," and added:

"It is an act of pure evil. My heart goes out to the family of David Haines who have shown extraordinary courage and fortitude throughout this ordeal. We will do everything in our power to hunt down these murderers and ensure they face justice, however long it takes."

That's already a pretty strong threat, and suggests that some kind of military response from Britain is coming.

A related question is this: Why did ISIS do this? What do they have to gain? It almost looks like they WANT Britain to join the U.S. in fighting ISIS.

I certainly am no mind reader, particularly of ISIS leader Abu Omar al-Baghdadi, but this action is quite consistent with two decades of jihadist terrorist attacks. As I've written many times, al-Qaeda has been using Iran's 1979 Great Islamic Revolution as a model. The goal of al-Qaeda has been to trigger an uprising that would repeat that revolution in another country, putting al-Qaeda in control. In my view, ISIS is following the same strategy: by bringing airstrikes from America and Britain into Syria and Iraq, al-Baghdadi hopes to trigger an anti-Western uprising that will defeat Syria's president Bashar al-Assad and put al-Baghdadi and his "Islamic State" in power. NY News and BBC

(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the 14-Sep-14 World View -- ISIS execution of Britain's David Haines may change US/UK military dynamics thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (14-Sep-2014) Permanent Link
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