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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 6-Sep-2014
6-Sep-14 World View -- Debka: ISIS is targeting the Euphrates and Tigris river basins in Iraq

Web Log - September, 2014

6-Sep-14 World View -- Debka: ISIS is targeting the Euphrates and Tigris river basins in Iraq

India to release 250,000 prisoners awaiting trial

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com

BBC's great event 'problems of the world' ignores China


A man with a sign saying THE END IS AT HAND talks to the crowd at Speakers' Corner, Hyde Park, London on 11 June 1972 (BBC)
A man with a sign saying THE END IS AT HAND talks to the crowd at Speakers' Corner, Hyde Park, London on 11 June 1972 (BBC)

With the world as fragile as it is, some people are suggesting that 2014 could be a pivotal year when some "great event" might occur that would determine whether the 21st century would bring peace and prosperity or war and poverty.

The BBC has posted a summary of the major crises of the world. In brief, here's their list:

No mention of China, its continuing annexation of territories belonging to other countries, and its massive preparation of missiles systems with no other purpose than a pre-emptive attack on the United States. BBC

India to release 250,000 prisoners awaiting trial

India's Supreme Court on Friday ordered the release of about 250,000 prisoners who have been in jail sometimes for years, but who haven't had trials because the courts are overcrowded. These "undertrial" prisoners make up some two-thirds of the country's four million prisoners. The court order will apply to prisoners who have been awaiting trials, and who have already served at least half of the maximum sentence that they would receive if they ever reached trial. Calcutta Telegraph and AFP

Debka: ISIS is targeting the Euphrates and Tigris river basins in Iraq


Map of ISIS advances in Iraq (Debka)
Map of ISIS advances in Iraq (Debka)

According to a detailed analysis in Debka's subscriber-only newsletter (sent to me by a subscriber), the Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria (IS or ISIS) is highly contemptuous of the U.S. bombing raids on ISIS, because they pose no real military threat. Instead of targeting main ISIS centers and bases, they target scattered armored vehicles and isolated positions. In fact, U.S. air activity in Iraq is diminishing by stages, while ISIS strengthens its grip on captured locations in Iraq.

According to this analysis, while the U.S. is bombing unimportant targets, the ISIS advance will travel along two paths simultaneously, along the Euphrates and Tigris river basins respectively, and link up in Mahmudiya, where the two rivers run in closest proximity. Ths would give ISIS a dominant military position over the Shiite provinces south of Baghdad and in relation to Saudi Arabia to the south and Jordan and Israel to the west. If successful, this would connect ISIS's northern Syria and western Iraqi strongholds -- the cradle of civilization -- without having run into a single Iraqi or Kurdish soldier to impede their progress or being bombed by U.S. warplanes. Debka

Full text of Ayman al-Zawahiri message

In yesterday's World View column, ISIS and al-Qaeda in a generational struggle for India, I posted a couple of paragraphs from the statement by al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri. The full statement can be found here (PDF)

(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the 6-Sep-14 World View -- Debka: ISIS is targeting the Euphrates and Tigris river basins in Iraq thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (6-Sep-2014) Permanent Link
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