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 Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's


Generational Dynamics Web Log for 23-Dec-2013
23-Dec-13 World View -- China conducts flight test of DF-41 long-range nuclear-capable missile

Web Log - December, 2013

23-Dec-13 World View -- China conducts flight test of DF-41 long-range nuclear-capable missile

Al-Qaeda apologizes for terrorist attack on Yemen hospital

This morning's key headlines from

China conducts flight test of DF-41 long-range nuclear-capable missile

Purported photo of Chinas DF-41 long-range nuclear-capable missile (Free Beacon)
Purported photo of Chinas DF-41 long-range nuclear-capable missile (Free Beacon)

U.S. defense officials are saying that China's military has conducted a second flight test of its Dong Feng-41 (DF-41) long-range missile, capable of hitting targets in the United States with a nuclear warhead. When fully deployed, a single one of these missiles will be capable of carrying up to 10 nuclear warheads, each targeting a different location. According to a report by the Air Force National Air and Space Intelligence Center:

"China has the most active and diverse ballistic missile development program in the world. It is developing and testing offensive missiles, forming additional missile units, qualitatively upgrading missile systems, and developing methods to counter ballistic missile defenses.

The Chinese ballistic missile force is expanding in both size and types of missiles."

China is also rapidly deploying a JL-2 missile that can be launched from a submarine, carrying three warheads. This would allow China to launch simultaneous attacks with long-range land-based missiles in China to target the western United States, and then use submarines to attack cities on the east coast.

In 2011, I reported on China's DF-21D anti-ship ballistic missile. ( "2-Aug-11 World View -- China could defeat U.S. in war over Taiwan") That missile was designed to target U.S. aircraft carriers. The problem with targeting any ship with a missile is that the ship can keep moving as the missile travels. So the DF-21D is designed to travel at high altitudes to the region of the aircraft carrier, and then use heat sensors to detect its new position.

China's rapid development of diverse missiles targeting America will change the entire geopolitical situation. China is currently using its vast military power to annex or threaten to annex regions of India, central Asia, the East China Sea, and the South China Sea that have historically belonged to other nations. These countries have depended on the United States for protection from China's military, but with the U.S. itself under threat, China will be able to act more aggressively towards its neighbors, and confiscate additional regions. The concern among these nations is exacerbated by President Barack Obama's perceived weakness in foreign affairs, and his continuing reductions in deployed warheads that might serve to deter a Chinese attack.

As I've been saying for almost ten years, Generational Dynamics predicts that China is rapidly and aggressively preparing for preemptive war against the United States. When China decides to attack, they'll do so to achieve maximum surprise and with maximum force. So they'll launch hundreds of nuclear missiles at American cities, military installations, and aircraft carriers.

The U.S. will still function after such an attack, even with numerous destroyed cities, and it's doubtful that China will win the war in the long run. China will be facing enemies all around it -- Japan, Vietnam, India, Russia -- and will also be dealing internal rebellions. After five or six years, the survivors will start to rebuild the world, and will vow that no similar war should ever be allowed to happen again. Washington Free Beacon and Air Force National Air and Space Intelligence (PDF)

Al-Qaeda apologizes for terrorist attack on Yemen hospital

In the Muslim world, the biggest complaint about al-Qaeda is that they kill a lot more Muslims than Westerners. Gunfire and bombings that kill Muslims in markets, restaurants and mosques are quite common in Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and other countries. But apparently a car bomb attack on a hospital in military complex in Sanaa, the capital of Yemen, on December 5 has drawn so much criticism to Al-Qaeda on the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) that they've actually been forced to issue an apology.

Of course there was no apology on the day of the attack. On that day, AQAP's media arm tweeted:

"[The compound was] stormed... after the mujahedeen (holy warriors) proved that it accommodates drone control rooms and American experts. As part of a policy to target drone control rooms, the mujahedeen have dealt a heavy blow to one. Such security headquarters in partnership with the Americans in their war on these Muslim people are a justified target wherever they may be."

Unfortunately for AQAP, their 25 terrorist attackers didn't kill any Americans in drone control rooms. Instead, they killed 52 hospital patients.

But now, over two weeks later, AQAP is humming a different tune. According to an AQAP military commander:

"The attack was on the ministry of defense, it was not on the hospital. We told them (jihadists) to be cautious, not to enter the prayer place or the hospital. Eight of our brothers were cautious, and one did not. May Allah forgive him and have mercy on him."

AFP and AFP (12/6/2013)

Egypt's junta targets secularists in addition to Muslim Brothers

Ever since the July 3 army coup that deposed President Mohamed Morsi and his Muslim Brotherhood government, the army has jailed or killed thousands of members of the Muslim Brotherhood. But on Sunday, three secular and liberal activists were sentenced to three years in jail for organizing an unlicensed protest, and fined $7,100 each. They were found guilty of violating a law passed on November 24 that forbids protests without police permission. Recent actions by the ruling junta signal a new direction of returning the government to a full dictatorship, as it had been under Hosni Mubarak. Al-Ahram (Cairo) and AFP

(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the 23-Dec-13 World View -- China conducts flight test of DF-41 long-range nuclear-capable missile thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (23-Dec-2013) Permanent Link
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