Generational Dynamics: Forecasting America's Destiny Generational
Dynamics
 Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's

 |  HOME  |  WEB LOG  |  COUNTRY STUDIES  |  COMMENT  |  FORUM  |  ABOUT  | 

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 23-May-2013
23-May-13 World View -- Iran's Supreme Leader tries to defeat the younger generation

Web Log - May, 2013

23-May-13 World View -- Iran's Supreme Leader tries to defeat the younger generation

Khamenei's Guardians Council disqualifies reformist candidates

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com

Iran's Supreme Leader tries to defeat the younger generation


Iran's eight approved candidates (BBC)
Iran's eight approved candidates (BBC)

In a stunning generational assault, Iran's Guardians Council has followed the wishes of the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and has disqualified all presidential candidates who do not follow Khamenei's hardline ideology. With a new presidential election coming next month, the council disqualified two major candidates who are considered "centrist" or "reformist."

The most colorful rejection was of Esfandiar Rahim-Mashaei, the top aide and close friend of current president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Ahmadinejad and Khamenei have had bitter power struggles for the last four years, related to a widening theological dispute. (See "7-May-11 News -- Resignation of Iran's president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad may be imminent".)

Charges of sorcery

In 2009 Khamenei accused Mashaei and other Ahmadinejad aides of being sorcerers, of using "supernatural powers," and of being "magicians" and invoking djinns (spirits).

The charges of sorcery are related to the devout belief, held by Ahmadinejad and Mashaei, in the Mahdaviat -- the Shia Muslim belief that the Mahdi (or "the 12'th Imam" or "the Hidden Imam") is coming to save mankind. This belief is roughly equivalent to the Christian belief in the second coming of Christ, or the Buddhist belief in the Maitreya -- that a new Buddha is to appear on earth, and will achieve complete enlightenment. Ahmadinejad disobeyed Supreme Leader Khamenei in several matters, which is considered to be equivalent to disobeying God. But Ahmadinejad was just paving the way for the return of the Hidden Imam, and was using his claim that the Hidden Imam's return is imminent as a justification for disobeying Khamenei. Thus, the charges of sorcery.

But the disqualification of Mashaei as a presidential candidate may have occurred for far more prosaic reasons. Mashaei is very outspoken on issues of individual rights and personal freedoms, particularly for women. These are all views that are firmly rejected by the hardline Khamenei.

Similarly disqualified was former president Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, who intensely dislikes Ahmadinejad and Mashaei, but who has also criticized the Khamenei supporter for suppressing free speech, and crushing the protests in 2009, and has advocated better relations with the West.

Iran is in a generational Awakening era, like America in the 1960s. America in the 1960s was a political battle between the older generation, the hardline survivors of World War II, versus the younger "free thinking" generation that grew up after WW II. Iran today is in a political battle between the older generation, the hardline survivors of the Great Islamic Revolution of 1979 and the following Iran/Iraq war, versus the younger free thinking generation that grew up since the 1980s.

An ideological and generational assault

So Khamenei's move to disqualify the centrist and reformist candidates is both an ideological assault and a generational assault. It's a desperate move, as Khamenei sees his hardline ideology being eaten away by younger generations who think it's perfectly OK for a woman to walk down the street without a head scarf. Sooner or later there'll be an "Awakening era crisis" which, like President Richard Nixon's resignation in 1974, will settle the generational battle one way or another. In the meantime, disqualifying all the reforming and centrist candidates is pretty certain to infuriate the younger generations. BBC and AFP

(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the 23-May-13 World View -- Iran's Supreme Leader tries to defeat the younger generation thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (23-May-2013) Permanent Link
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail

Web Log Pages

Current Web Log

Web Log Summary - 2013
Web Log Summary - 2012
Web Log Summary - 2011
Web Log Summary - 2010
Web Log Summary - 2009
Web Log Summary - 2008
Web Log Summary - 2007
Web Log Summary - 2006
Web Log Summary - 2005
Web Log Summary - 2004

Web Log - December, 2013
Web Log - November, 2013
Web Log - October, 2013
Web Log - September, 2013
Web Log - August, 2013
Web Log - July, 2013
Web Log - June, 2013
Web Log - May, 2013
Web Log - April, 2013
Web Log - March, 2013
Web Log - February, 2013
Web Log - January, 2013
Web Log - December, 2012
Web Log - November, 2012
Web Log - October, 2012
Web Log - September, 2012
Web Log - August, 2012
Web Log - July, 2012
Web Log - June, 2012
Web Log - May, 2012
Web Log - April, 2012
Web Log - March, 2012
Web Log - February, 2012
Web Log - January, 2012
Web Log - December, 2011
Web Log - November, 2011
Web Log - October, 2011
Web Log - September, 2011
Web Log - August, 2011
Web Log - July, 2011
Web Log - June, 2011
Web Log - May, 2011
Web Log - April, 2011
Web Log - March, 2011
Web Log - February, 2011
Web Log - January, 2011
Web Log - December, 2010
Web Log - November, 2010
Web Log - October, 2010
Web Log - September, 2010
Web Log - August, 2010
Web Log - July, 2010
Web Log - June, 2010
Web Log - May, 2010
Web Log - April, 2010
Web Log - March, 2010
Web Log - February, 2010
Web Log - January, 2010
Web Log - December, 2009
Web Log - November, 2009
Web Log - October, 2009
Web Log - September, 2009
Web Log - August, 2009
Web Log - July, 2009
Web Log - June, 2009
Web Log - May, 2009
Web Log - April, 2009
Web Log - March, 2009
Web Log - February, 2009
Web Log - January, 2009
Web Log - December, 2008
Web Log - November, 2008
Web Log - October, 2008
Web Log - September, 2008
Web Log - August, 2008
Web Log - July, 2008
Web Log - June, 2008
Web Log - May, 2008
Web Log - April, 2008
Web Log - March, 2008
Web Log - February, 2008
Web Log - January, 2008
Web Log - December, 2007
Web Log - November, 2007
Web Log - October, 2007
Web Log - September, 2007
Web Log - August, 2007
Web Log - July, 2007
Web Log - June, 2007
Web Log - May, 2007
Web Log - April, 2007
Web Log - March, 2007
Web Log - February, 2007
Web Log - January, 2007
Web Log - December, 2006
Web Log - November, 2006
Web Log - October, 2006
Web Log - September, 2006
Web Log - August, 2006
Web Log - July, 2006
Web Log - June, 2006
Web Log - May, 2006
Web Log - April, 2006
Web Log - March, 2006
Web Log - February, 2006
Web Log - January, 2006
Web Log - December, 2005
Web Log - November, 2005
Web Log - October, 2005
Web Log - September, 2005
Web Log - August, 2005
Web Log - July, 2005
Web Log - June, 2005
Web Log - May, 2005
Web Log - April, 2005
Web Log - March, 2005
Web Log - February, 2005
Web Log - January, 2005
Web Log - December, 2004
Web Log - November, 2004
Web Log - October, 2004
Web Log - September, 2004
Web Log - August, 2004
Web Log - July, 2004
Web Log - June, 2004


Copyright © 2002-2013 by John J. Xenakis.