	Generational Dynamics
	Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's

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These pages contain the complete rough draft manuscript of the new book Generational Dynamics for Historians, written by John J. Xenakis. This text is fully copyrighted. You may copy or print out this material for your own use, but not for distribution to others.
Comments are invited. Send them to mailto:comments@generationaldynamics.com.

End Notes

Note: In some cases, a page reference actually refers to the bottom of the preceding page or the top of the next page.

Table of Contents
Site Home
Book Home
Table of Figures
Preface
Chapter 1 - Basics of Generational Dynamics
Chapter 2 - Crisis Wars, Awakenings and Generations
Chapter 3 - Visceral Causes of Crisis Wars
Chapter 4 - Chaos Theory and Generational Forecasting
Chapter 5 - World Macroeconomics
Chapter 6 - Kondratiev Cycles and Generational Dynamics
Chapter 7 - The Singularity
Chapter 8 - The Crisis War Evaluation Algorithm
Chapter 9 - List of Crisis Wars
Chapter 10 - Strauss and Howe's Fourth Turning Model
Appendix: Cassandra
Bibliography
End Notes
Concept Index
Colophon
Book Cover

"Today, there are about 250 nations, comprising about 9 major civilizations": Samuel P. Huntington, The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order, Touchstone, 1996, p.26-27 [world#325]

"Population of China in millions of people (graphic)": Peter Turchin, op. cit., p. 169 [causes#452]

"The Green Revolution began in 1944": Wikipedia, Green Revolution, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_revolution [causes#459]

"The following graph shows the patterns of war deaths": Michael A Alexander Ph.D., The Kondratiev Cycle: A Generational Interpretation, Writers Club Press, 2002, p. 144 [causes#503]

"for the last few centuries [test]": Michael A Alexander Ph.D., The Kondratiev Cycle: A Generational Interpretation, Writers Club Press, 2002, p. 144 - test [causes#503]

"The adjoining graph, from a recent United Nations report": Jeffrey D. Sachs, Director, UN Millennium Project. 2005. Investing in Development: A Practical Plan to Achieve the Millennium Development Goals. New York, 2005, p.67 [causes#547]

"This diagram shows how numerous different technologies for artificial light have always been invented at almost exactly the right time (graphic)": Joseph Paul Martino, Technological Forecasting for Decision Making, American Elsevier Pub. Co., 1975 [forecast#636]

"[A] large number of other international relations theories": George Modelski, William R. Thompson, Charles W. Kegley (Editor), Donald J. Puchala (Editor), Leading Sectors and World Powers: The Coevolution of Global Economics and Politics, 1996, pp. 49-50 [cycles#1181]

"The following graph correlating war deaths to K-cycles": Michael A Alexander Ph.D., The Kondratiev Cycle: A Generational Interpretation, Writers Club Press, 2002, p. 144 [cycles#1183]

"Capital investment cycles.": Joshua S. Goldstein, Long Cycles: Prosperity and War in the Modern Age Yale Univ Press, 1988, p. 24 [cycles#1190]

"Find the prime factors of the number 79439": 79439 = 113 * 37 * 19 [next#1332]

"described by author Amir D. Aczel:": Amir D. Aczel, Fermat's Last Theorem: Unlocking the Secret of an Ancient Mathematical Problem, Delta, 1997, pp. 129-133 [next#1361]