History is Speeding Up   Economic indicators down   Greece and Eurozone deteriorating   Mideast - Arab uprisings   War in Libya
	Recent U.S. Economic Indicators   Manufacturing -   Car sales down sharply in May -   Manufacturing index down sharply in April -   Net job creation falls sharply in May   Real estate -   Huge real estate bubble continues to burst -   New home construction bumping along the bottom -   Pending home sales falling -   Home prices still have long way down to go
	Greece presents a major crisis for entire euro zone   Greece's Situation continues to worsen -   2-year bond yields at 26% (compare US at <1%) -   10-year bond yields at 17% (US at around 3%) -   Bond yields continue to worsen, no matter what anyone does -   Credit default swap prices also continue to rise   Bailouts are not working -   Last year's bailout was 110 billion euros total -   EU officials promised that this would solve the problem -   Instead, Greece's situation continued to deteriorate   New tranche due on June 29 -   IMF balking - Greece isn't meeting austerity commitments -   Germany, Finland, Netherlands oppose bailing out lazy Greeks -   Many officials are advocating -   ECB says any default will be a disaster for eurozone -   This is a major crisis -   Likely outcome: New bailout plan for Greece
	Eurozone's crisis extends   PIIGS countries -   Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, Spain -   Greece, Ireland already bailed out -   Bailout planned for Portugal -   Many balking at useless bailouts   Fraud is the norm -   Bank assets not marked to market -   EU officials have been caught in multiple major lies -   Juncker: 'When it becomes serious, you have to lie' Europe's sovereign debt
	Arab (and Persian) uprisings   Awakening era countries -   Compare to 1960s-1970s America -   'Attracted away from' war - civil war impossible -   Iran, Bahrain, Syria, Lebanon, Tunisia (Unraveling)   Crisis era countries -   'Attracted' to confrontation and war -   Israel -   Egypt, Yemen, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Libya
	War in Libya Libya, showing the three historic divisions: Tripolitania, Fezzan and Cyrenaica   Conflict in cultural values -   Anti-war -   Humanitarian -   Mideast fault lines (Arab league)   History of Libya -   Italian invasion, 1911 -   Climax: Destruction of Tripolitanian Republic, 1920 -   ... Agreement with Sunusis, al-Rajma agreement, 1920 -   Italian massacre of Bedouins in Cyrenaica, 1931??? -   Civil war in 1937??? -   Unraveling era coup in 1969 -   Crisis era today
	Libya Tribes Libya tribes (Spiegel)
	Clash of Civilizations   Belligerents -   'Allies': US, Japan, India, Russia, Israel, Britain -   'Axis': China, N. Korea, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia   India vs Pakistan -   Refight Hindus vs Muslims following 1947 Partition -   Hindus allied with Shia vs Sunni   Mideast -   Refight Arabs vs Jews, following 1948 creation of Israel -   Hamas vs Fatah   Europe -   Britain, France, Germany -   Muslims, Roma -   Eastern Europe -   Caucasus - Orthodox Christianity vs Islam - Sochi Conflict Risk Graphic, January 1, 2011
	Generational Dynamics Methodology   Determine history and identity groups -   At least a century preferably more -   Contemporary sources as much as possible -   Ethnic, religious, tribal, physical differences   Identify generational eras -   Crisis eras are usually easiest to identify -   Awakening eras are almost as easy -   See documentation on how to identify eras   Generational Dynamics forecasting -   Identify long-term trends -   Match current events to long-term trends -   Determine short-term trends
	Pólya's Urn Pólya's Urn

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