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The Post WW II world - 1945 to 2011
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America's Recovery Era - 1950s |
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America's Awakening Era - 1960s-1970s |
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America's Unraveling Era - 1980s-1990s |
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Recovery Era America - 1950s
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Celebrating victory |
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America defeated the Depression and the Nazis |
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'Ozzie and Harriet' / 'Leave it to Beaver' world |
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Mothers in the 1950s |
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'Kept barefoot and pregnant in the kitchen by their sexist husbands' - NOT |
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Grew up amidst homeless, poverty, starvation in 1930s |
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Saw their brothers and fathers tortured in Bataan Death March |
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... and killed like fish in a barrel at Normandy |
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Forced to take 'Rosie the Riveter' jobs they hated |
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White picket fence / Home with the kids was heaven on earth |
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A gift that they could give to their daughters |
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Obsession: Never let it happen again |
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Claim: 'Should have killed Hitler in 1935' |
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Countries in Recovery Era today
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Rwanda (Genocide - 1994) |
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Sri Lanka (Civil war - 2009) |
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Bosnia (Bosnian war - 1995) |
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Afghanistan (Civil war - 1996) |
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Sri Lanka
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Good opportunity for Generational Dynamics |
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Follow war from pre-regeneracy to climax and beyond |
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Timeline to civil war |
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Separatist movement in 1976 |
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Low-level violence began in 1983 |
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Alternating periods of peace and violence |
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Each period of violence worse than previous one |
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Sri Lanka regeneracy in 2006 |
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Sri Lanka after the war |
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Analysts worldwide were wrong about future |
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Climax comparable to surrender of Nazis/Japanese |
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America's Awakening Era - 60s and 70s
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Rise of Boomer post-war generation (born 1942+) |
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Rejecting the war-based values of their parents |
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Woman's lib (burning bras), anti-war (burning draft cards) |
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Anti-racism, environmentalism |
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[Contrast: War of 1812] |
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Generation gap - protesting parents' austere rules and institutions |
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Democratic convention 1968, long hot summers, student riots |
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Awakening era climax |
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Establishes generational victor |
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Resignation of Richard Nixon |
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Countries in Awakening Era today
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Iran (Great Islamic Revolution, Iran/Iraq war - 1988) |
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Iraq (Iran/Iraq war - 1988) |
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Syria (Lebanese civil war, Hama - 1982) |
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Lebanon (Lebanese civil war, Sabra and Shatila - 1982) |
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Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand (Killing fields - 1979) |
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Iran
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Crisis War: Constitutional Revolution |
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Crisis civil war 1905-1909 |
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Crisis war |
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Great Islamic Revolution (1979) |
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Iran/Iraq war, climaxed in 1988 |
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Recovery Era |
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Highly repressive Islamic government |
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Awakening era - 2003-present |
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Pro-American riots began in early 2000s decade |
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Adoption of Western clothing and styles |
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Mahmoud Ahmadinejad 2005 - Morality police |
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Massive riots began June 2009 election (like America 1967) |
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Waiting for Awakening era climax |
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Bitter division between Ahmadinejad and Supreme Leader |
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When forced to choose: ? |
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Iraq
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Crisis War: Great Iraq Revolution of 1920 |
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Crisis War: Iran/Iraq war |
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Political chaos in Awakening era |
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A crisis civil war is impossible |
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2006-7 'civil war' fizzled quickly |
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Analysts, journalists, politicians - incredible ignorance |
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Syria and Lebanon
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Crisis war: WW I / Collapse of Ottoman Empire |
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Crisis war: 1970s-80s war/civil war both countries |
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Lebanon climax: 1982 Sabra and Shatila massacre |
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Syria climax: 1982 Hama massacre |
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Awakening era 'Arab Uprising' |
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Lebanese President Émile Geamil Lahoud during 2006 war: |
"Believe me, what we get from [Israeli bombers] is
nothing compared to [what would happen] if there is an internal
conflict [a new civil war] in Lebanon. So our thanks comes when we
are united, and we are really united, and the national army is
doing its work according to the government, and the resistance
[Hizbollah] is respected in the whole Arab world from the
population point of view. And very highly respected in Lebanon as
well."
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Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand
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French conquest of Indochina, 1865-1885 |
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North and South have different ethnic origins |
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South: Polynesian settlers from Indonesia and Malaysia |
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French converted many South Vietnamese to Catholicism |
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Thailand - Political chaos in Awakening era
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Ethnic differences |
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Yellow Shirts: Fair-skinned Thai-Chinese minority |
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Red Shirts: Dark-skinned Thai-Thai indigenous majority |
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Thaksin Shinawatra |
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Alternating periods of peace and violence |
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America's Unraveling era - 80s and 90s
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Unraveling of austere post-war rules and institutions |
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Emphasis on the individual |
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If it feels good, do it |
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Wars are brief, mass protests are brief (Million man march) |
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Other countries: Burma, Algeria, Tunisia, Venezuela |
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