|Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's|
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FRAMINGHAM, Mass., April 22 /PRNewswire/ -- Does history repeat itself? Historians have tried and failed to find provable patterns in history, but a mathematician has now solved the problem that's stumped the historians for centuries.
The trick, according to John J. Xenakis, the author of the forthcoming book, "Generational Dynamics for Historians," is to distinguish between two kinds of wars, crisis wars and non-crisis wars. This distinction, which has eluded historians, is given at length with mathematical precision in his book.
Briefly, crisis wars are the most genocidal kinds of wars, the wars where huge masses of people are killed, raped, starved or relocated. America has had only two such wars since its founding. One was World War II, in which America firebombed and destroyed entire cities like Dresden and Tokyo, and even dropped two nuclear weapons on Japanese cities. The other was the Civil War, in which northern General Sherman marched through Georgia not only killing everyone in sight, but also destroying all homes and crops so that any survivors starved to death. None of America's other wars -- World War I, Vietnam, the Spanish-American war, etc. -- had this kind of genocidal explosion, and that's why the distinction is important. Xenakis doesn't blame America for these actions, but points out that every society and nation has these kinds of wars.
There are no patterns to wars in general, but if you look at just the crisis wars, then Xenakis uses mathematical techniques to identify complex but distinct patterns. He shows how the flow of generational changes throughout any society, tribe, region or nation produces powerful historical forces that repeat these patterns throughout centuries of history.
He then applies a relatively new branch of mathematics called Chaos Theory to show how random political events organize themselves into generational cycles.
Unfortunately, there's some bad news. These generational forces are propelling us and the world into a new financial crisis and "clash of civilizations" world war that will be worse than World War II.
The good news is that the world's democracies can overcome petty political differences and unite for freedom and democracy around the world.
Media Contact: Lia Machel, Machel Designs PR, +1-512-392-0858, mailto:Macheldesigns@aol.com
Author: John J. Xenakis, 44 Dinsmore Ave #304, Framingham, MA 01702, +1-508-875-4266, mailto:john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
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