Since 2002, we've been using generational analysis to make
specific, hard predictions about worldwide events, politics, culture,
technology, economics and international finance, and with much better
accuracy than private analyst firms. If you're paying big money for
high-priced newsletters from private analyst firms, and all you're
getting is vague "that might be a problem" forecasts, then check this
website regularly to get really useful, accurate forecasts -- FOR
FREE.
Financial Crisis Inquiry hearings provide 'smoking gun' evidence of widespread criminal fraud
:
What bankers claimed to have done is mathematically impossible.
(
14-Apr-2010
)
Report from TARP Inspector: We're driving off a cliff in a faster car
:
We're headed for an even larger financial crisis.
(
1-Feb-2010
)
"Shadow inventory" of unsold homes continues to grow
:
Housing prices still have very far to fall.
(21-Dec-2009)
Generational Dynamics forecasting methodology
:
The methodology and tools used in generational theory to produce
forecasts and predictions
(3-May-2009)
"Maybe we'll get it right this time" by Tom Mazanec
:
In this science fiction story, a time traveler tries to prevent the
world war predicted by Generational Dynamics.
(9-Mar-2009)
The economic outlook for 2009
:
How we got to where we are today, who's to blame, and where we're
going in 2009.
(5-Jan-2009)
The gathering storm in the Caucasus
:
The world is looking more and more like the prelude to World War I.
(17-Aug-2008)
How Boomers and Generation-Xers brought about the dumbing down of
Information Technology (IT)
:
Software development has adopted a Java cookbook approach that leads
to project failures. Also: How Digimarc Corp. self-destructed with
management's cookbook programming mentality.
(1-Jul-2008)
Basics of Generational Dynamics
:
Generational eras, archetypes, and other elements of generational
theory
(22-Jun-2008)
Chinese embarrassment and anger grows over Tibet and Olympics
:
Some notes on the growing mutual xenophobia and paranoia between
China and the West.
(12-Apr-2008)
List of major Generational Dynamics predictions
:
These are the major predictions posted on this web site since 2003,
using the generational forecasting methodology.
(27-Mar-2008)
Cities and towns need to start helping themselves.
:
Wracked by foreclosures and by the collapsing muncipal bond market,
cities and towns should start planning immediately.
(2-Mar-2008)
A primer on financial engineering and structured finance
:
How financial engineers made a fortune creating worthless
mortgage-based securities.
(23-Jan-2008)
The Bubble that Broke the World
:
How a book written in 1931-32 tells us what's going to happen in
2008-2009.
(9-Oct-2007)
How to compute the "real value" of the stock market.
:
And some additional speculations about stock market crashes.
(20-Aug-2007)
Iraqi Sunnis are turning against al-Qaeda in Iraq
:
This is exactly the kind of thing that generational theory predicts.
(1-Apr-2007)
System Dynamics and the Failure of Macroeconomics Theory
:
Mainstream macroeconomic theory, invented by Maynard Keynes in the
1930s, has failed to predict or explain anything that's happened
since the bubble started, including the bubble itself. We need a new
"Dynamic Macroeconomics" theory.
(25-Oct-2006)
President George Bush talks about a "Third Awakening," but
he has his history wrong
:
It was America's 1960s Awakening that united Protestants, Catholics
and Jews, and cemented our support for Israel.
(19-Sep-2006)
Washington becomes hysterical again over an Iraqi 'civil war'
:
A civil war in Iraq is impossible, as I've said many times, because
only one generation has passed since the Iran/Iraq war of the 1980s.
Here's some additional historical information.
(7-Aug-2006)
Israel's war against Hizbollah and Lebanon forces Muslims to
choose sides
:
The war is part of a larger Shi'ite-Sunni struggle, and a stopgap
ceasefire will create a worsening environment leading to a much more
chaotic situation within a few months
(25-Jul-2006)
A beautiful mind? The world is paralyzed into a "Nash
equilibrium"
:
Today, 61 years after the end of World War II, the countries of the
world are struggling to maintain a status quo that can't last
too much longer.
(17-Jul-2006)
Why aren't college students protesting against the Iraq war?
:
Young students are criticized for being indifferent to politics,
while "Grannies Against the War" is truly bizarre.
(1-Jun-2006)
Speculations about a stock market panic and crash
:
Will there be a stock market panic next week, next month, or next
year, and will it lead to a crash? We speculate on some possibilities.
(31-May-2006)
Ariel Sharon's political "earthquake"
in Israel signal change in direction for entire Mideast
:
His aggressive program that began with the barrier and the Gaza
pullout is now likely to founder.
(29-Nov-2005)
Ben S. Bernanke: The man without agony
:
Bernanke and Greenspan are as different as night and day, despite
what the pundits say.
(29-Oct-2005)
Japanese and Chinese relations are deteriorating sharply
:
Between China's search for oil and Koizumi's shrine visit,
the level of anger and suspicion is rising fast.
(23-Oct-2005)
Robert Pape's "Dying to Win" sheds light on
suicide bombers.
:
Robert Pape's database of every suicide bombing and attack
around the world from 1980-2003 -- 315 attacks in all -- provides
valuable insight into the causes of suicide terrorism, and confirms
the Generational Dynamics' conclusions about crisis wars.
(18-Jul-2005)
The 11% Solution: An article in Barron's says
the stock market is very overvalued
:
New research by analyst Adam Barth finds that average earnings over
any 20-year period are surprisingly constant.
(11-Jul-2005)
The Great Depression and Dow Jones Industrial Average
:
Scrolling through the DJIA through the Great Depression and later
gives a feeling as to what was happening, and how it compares to
what's happening today.
Updated 2-Sep-2010
(2-Sep-2010)
French rejection of EU Constitution signals decline
of entire European Union project
:
Exit polls from Sunday's French EU Constitution vote show a clear
generational split that analysts aren't noticing.
(1-Jun-2005)
Increasing Muslim violence in Uzbekistan raises fears
of destabilizing Asia
:
After pro-Russian leaders have been replaced by Western-leaning ones
in Georgia, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, the Kremlin is watching the violence
in Uzbekistan nervously, and Washington is watching the Kremlin.
(14-May-2005)
Press Release:
Mathematician solves problem puzzling historians for centuries
:
Does history repeat itself? Historians have tried and failed to
find provable patterns in history, but a mathematician has now
solved the problem that's stumped the historians for centuries.
(22-Apr-2005)
Fed and Alan Greenspan signal aggressive plans to
increase interest rates
:
This means trouble for people in debt and for the stock market, but it
also hints that the Fed plans to keep the dollar strong through
crisis periods
(24-Mar-2005)
North Korea continues mobilization for nuclear war
:
Blaming "hostile" U.S. policies, North Korea pulls out of nuclear
non-proliferation talks, claiming that it already has nuclear weapons.
This is a classic sequence of events that precedes a pre-emptive war.
(10-Feb-2005)
Alan Greenspan warns that global economic dangers
are without historical precedent
:
In a speech on Friday, Greenspan buried a major change of position in
a speech admitting that his assumptions about the economy for the
last decade were wrong.
(6-Feb-2005)
China appears to be approaching a major civil war
:
Unrest is spreading, and economic disparities make China a textbook
case for a massive civil war in the making
(16-Jan-2005)
A generational interpretation of Charles Dickens' "A Christmas
Carol"
:
Written in 1843, this classic novel depicts a clear generational
struggle
(5-Dec-2004)
Ukraine headed for a confrontation with Putin
:
Ukraine is headed for trouble as it moves to reverse the 20-Nov
Presidential election.
(28-Nov-2004)
The six most dangerous regions in the world today.:
There are six regions that could lead the world into a new world war.
NOTE: This article also contains a lengthy summary of the
Generational Dynamics theory and Forecasting Methodology.
(20-Nov-2004)
Election results show a major cultural and political restructuring
in the making.:
In the long run, George Bush's victory is less important than the
reasons why people voted for him.
(3-Nov-2004)
Unrealistic expectations worldwide about the American election are
setting the stage for hostile reactions next year:
Will "something big" happen to America in 2005?
(24-Oct-2004)
Ten-nation survey says that non-Americans worldwide
overwhelmingly favor Kerry over Bush:
However, Russia and Israel support Bush; so do Iran's mullahs
(23-Oct-2004)
Can we withdraw from Iraq in 2005?:
Suddenly the Washington buzz is that whoever wins - Bush or Kerry -
will begin to withdraw American troops from Iraq. We look at two
historical examples to predict scenarios.
(16-Oct-2004)
Yield curves are flattening as Federal Reserve
raises short term interest rates
significantly:
Long-term interest rates are falling while short-term interest rates
are rising, a sign of possible trouble ahead.
(21-Sep-2004)
On September 11, terrorism around the world is increasing
significantly:
Infuriated and anxious people around the world are demanding military
actions to halt or even avenge terrorism
(11-Sep-2004)
Does history favor George Bush or John Kerry?:
Long-term historical trends favor Bush, but Kerry may win anyway
because Bush is in danger of being 'Hooverized'
(24-Aug-2004)
Southeast Asian nations are forced to pick sides in the
conflict between China and Taiwan:
Singapore will support China and Australia will support Taiwan in a
conflict between China and Taiwan.
(23-Aug-2004)
Today's slow-motion genocide in Darfur recalls the lightning quick
genocide in Rwanda in 1994:
Why do these things always seem to happen in Africa? Understanding
Africa's geography explains why.
(22-Aug-2004)
Oil prices spiking on supply fears:
There is increasing concern that Saudi Arabia's oil production is
peaking, and that prices will rise significantly farther.
(3-Aug-2004)
Arab views worldwide are becoming increasingly hostile
to America:
Arab view of America is down to about 10% favorable, 90% unfavorable.
(26-Jul-2004)
Kerry establishes an electoral lead going into the
Democratic convention.:
He's tuned his message to what I suggested last year. Do you suppose
he read my web site?
(25-Jul-2004)
Generational crisis for Arafat as thousands take to
streets in revolt in Gaza:
Arafat's offices burned down, as he seeks a way to prevent civil war
among Palestinian factions
(19-Jul-2004)
"I, Robot" is science fiction, but intelligent
computers will soon be science fact.:
When will it dawn on the politicians and the general public that
this changes everything?
(9-Jul-2004)
Alan Greenspan's Mixed Emotions:
More and more top analysts are getting concerned about extremely high
debt levels and stock valuations.
(6-Jul-2004)
Operation Summer Pulse 04:
Taiwan is moving inexorably towards independence, and America is
supporting it, while China is freaking out over it. Will this lead
to an inevitable war over Taiwan?
(6-Jul-2004)
Green Revolution vs Malthus Effect:
Despite the "Green Revolution," world population continues to grow
faster than food production. This is one of the fundamental reasons
why wars occur.
(28-Jun-2004)
Beheadings part of increasing conflict level
throughout Mideast:
The level of conflict is increasing throughout the Mideast, from Gaza
to Pakistan, from Saudi Arabia to Uzbekistan.
(23-Jun-2004)
Stock market increasingly volatile:
Sharp plunges in international stock markets portend periods of
increasingly high volatility.
(17-May-04)
Iraq Today vs 1960s America (Revised):
They have much in common: Bombings, assassinations, student
demonstrations, violent riots, calls for insurrection and civil
war and harsh rhetoric. That's much more than a coincidence.
(8-May-2004)
Taiwan's Wild Election Battle:
Taiwan's election battle is even wilder and more raucous than the
Bush-Gore election battle in 2000. Its uncertain outcome is causing
massive protests.
(11-Apr-04)
What Iraqi Civil War?:
Early in 2003, I predicted that there would be no popular uprising
against the Americans, and that there would be no civil war. After
the overthrow of Saddam, I said that an Iraqi civil war was
impossible. Despite the
constant near-hysteria of the politicians, journalists and
high-priced analysts, I've been right so far. Here's why.
(09-Apr-04)
Palestinian Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, spiritual leader of
the Hamas militia group, killed in Israeli air strike:
Generational Dynamics says that this brings Mideast much closer to
all-out war
(21-Mar-04)
Madrid terrorist bombings are having unexpected
significance:
The 3/11 bombings may have the same effect on Europeans that the 9/11
attacks had on Americans.
(15-Mar-04)
Haiti: Heading for possible rebellion and anarchy:
A historical analysis of a potential crisis.
(4-Mar-04)
Anti-Shi'ite Terror Attacks in Iraq, Pakistan:
So far, Sunni and Shi'ite leaders in Iraq aren't taking the bait.
(2-Mar-04)
The New Sexual Revolution:
The pendulum is swinging back.
(27-Feb-04)
Alan Greenspan's Mea Culpa:
Alan Greenspan has put his legacy into serious danger
(08-Jan-04)
Georgia (Asia) on the brink of civil war:
Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze says that the country is on
the verge of civil war. This could be the next war in the "clash of
civilizations" between Islam and Christianity.
(15-Nov-03)
"Ping-Pong Terrorism" in Mideast leading
inevitably to major regional war:
Even non-violent acts are seen as terrorism by the other side, and the
intensity of the mutual attacks is constantly increasing.
(10-Oct-03)
Schwarzenegger's victory could spell trouble for
Bush:
It also signals the end of the societal culture / gender wars.
(8-Oct-03)
What if Al Gore were President?:
Both Republicans and Democrats are making important strategic errors
in the battle for the White House in 2004. Here's what they
SHOULD be saying.
(26-Sep-03)
Is China unraveling?:
Should you invest in the world's fastest growing economy?
Analysts say yes, but
there are ominous generational signs of financial and social
instability in China.
(10-Sep-03)
Hamas Announces End of Cease-Fire:
Can Ariel Sharon and Yasser Arafat once more
fend off a large regional war?
(21-Aug-03)
Terrorist suicide bombings in Iraq may backfire
against terrorists:
During an awakening period, terrorist acts cause masses of people to
shrink from more violence.
(19-Aug-03)
Riots in Iran:
Will there be a violent overthrow of the Iranian Mullahs?
Generational Dynamics says 'No.'
(25-Jun-03)
Dow Passes 9000 / Mideast Peace Plan Takes Off:
This is a big test for Generational Dynamics, which predicts that
the good news won't last.
(04-Jun-03)
"Mideast Roadmap" - Will it bring peace?:
Generational Dynamics predicts something quite different for the
Mideast.
(01-May-03)
France and Germany:
Why are they becoming anti-American?
(15-Feb-03)
The Anti-War Movement:
Will it gain traction?
(15-Feb-03)
North and South Korea:
Will the North Koreans start a nuclear war?
(22-Jan-03)
Turkey:
Turkey has been rebuffing America. What are they up to?
(24-Mar-03)
Japan:
Is Japan's economy finally near collapse?
(26-Mar-03)
Stock Market:
|
 |
Latest Dow Jones Industrial Average
|
Will stocks rise or fall in 2004?
(1-Jan-04)
|
Articles from this web site may be copied to other web sites,
provided that authorship is acknowledged and provided that a link is
included back to the article on this web site. - John J.
Xenakis
|
| Conflict risk level for next six months
|
|---|
|
W. Europe |
1 |
Arab Israeli |
3 |
|
Russia Caucasus |
3 |
Kashmir |
3 |
|
China |
2 |
North Korea |
2 |
|
Financial |
3 |
Swine/Bird flu |
3 |
Key:
1=Low risk
2=Med
3=High
| |
|---|
Web Log:
Informal comments on current news and trends.
3-Sep-10 News -- Financial expert Jeremy Siegel makes no sense at all:
PIIGS countries are facing worse debt crisis, while Germany thrives... (3-Sep-2010)
2-Sep-10 News -- Mideast peace talks begin in Washington amid deep skepticism:
Suicide bombers attacked Shia worshippers in Lahore, Pakistan... (2-Sep-2010)
1-Sep-10 News -- Amsterdam arrests highlight Yemen confusion:
Palestinian gunmen try to sabotage upcoming Mideast peace talks... (1-Sep-2010)
30-Aug-10 News -- Generation gap splits Iran's government:
Iran labels Carla Bruni as a 'prostitute'... (30-Aug-2010)
29-Aug-10 News -- Hamas issues warning about Mideast peace talks:
Home prices expected to fall after disastrous GDP report... (29-Aug-2010)
28-Aug-10 News -- France is rebuked for deporting Roma Gypsies:
Turkey says it's committed to good relations with Israel... (28-Aug-2010)
27-Aug-10 News -- U.S. considering escalating military role in Yemen:
Japan announces 17th consecutive month of deflation... (27-Aug-2010)
26-Aug-10 News -- Suicide bombers blanket Iraq as Americans leave:
World grain prices rise by up to 20% last week... (26-Aug-2010)
25-Aug-10 News -- Existing home sales plunge 27%:
Suicide bomber kills 30 in Somalia, including 7 members of Parliament... (25-Aug-2010)
24-Aug-10 News -- Ariel's Bobrinskoy gives price/earnings fantasy:
Italy wants to follow France in expelling Gypsies... (24-Aug-2010)
23-Aug-10 News -- China is ready for war:
A new Pentagon report describes China's military capabilities and strategy... (23-Aug-2010)
22-Aug-10 News -- The global rise of xenophobia:
Islamophobia in America and Europe is only a small part of the issue.... (22-Aug-2010)
21-Aug-10 News -- Mideast peace talks to begin on Sept 2:
Is President Barack Obama a Muslim?... (21-Aug-2010)
20-Aug-10 News -- Bad economic news stuns investors:
Arab states cut financial aid to Palestinians... (20-Aug-2010)
19-Aug-10 News -- France orders expulsion of Gypsies:
The Mosque at Ground Zero... (19-Aug-2010)
18-Aug-10 News -- The collapse of the Gaza tunnel economy:
Pakistan's government is snubbing flood aid from India... (18-Aug-2010)
17-Aug-10 News -- Iran announces new uranium enrichment centers:
'Hindenburg Omen' predicts stock market crash... (17-Aug-2010)
16-Aug-10 News -- U.S. and S. Korea begin massive military exercises:
Boomers threaten the U.S. economy... (16-Aug-2010)
15-Aug-10 News -- Talk of a coup in Pakistan:
Bond yields for Greece, Spain and Ireland once again at crisis levels... (15-Aug-2010)
14-Aug-10 News -- Germans selling submarines to Greece and Portugal:
German prosecutors are investigating corruption... (14-Aug-2010)
13-Aug-10 News -- Greece's economy goes deeper into recession:
Worldwide heat prices surge after USDA lowers forecast... (13-Aug-2010)
12-Aug-10 News -- Wall Street turns pessimistic:
World Health Organization says that swine flu pandemic is over... (12-Aug-2010)
11-Aug-10 News -- US and Vietnam conduct naval exercises in\ South China Sea:
Nobody wants to use the U.S. one dollar coin... (11-Aug-2010)
10-Aug-10 News -- North Korea fires artillery shells into Yellow Sea:
A generational analysis of Kashmir... (10-Aug-2010)
9-Aug-10 News -- N. Korea seizes S. Korean fishing boat:
Wildfires in Russia are infuriating the public... (9-Aug-2010)
8-Aug-10 News -- Pakistan appeals for international help with floods:
Pakistan's president faces scandal over his absence during floods... (8-Aug-2010)
7-Aug-10 News -- Financial experts freaked on jobs report:
Devastating Pakistan floods worsen with new rains... (7-Aug-2010)
6-Aug-10 News -- Wheat prices climb after Russia announces export ban:
Many Americans in the UK are renouncing US citizenship... (6-Aug-2010)
5-Aug-10 News -- Multiple crises overwhelm Pakistan:
In Turkey, a confrontation between the government and the army is building... (5-Aug-2010)
4-Aug-10 News -- Kashmir violence spirals upward:
China's real estate bubble appears to be bursting... (4-Aug-2010)
Updating the 'real value' of the stock market:
Why we're headed for a financial crash.... (3-Aug-2010)
2-Aug-10 News -- The rise of political and journalistic acrimony:
US military has a plan to attack Iran, if necessary... (2-Aug-2010)
1-Aug-10 News -- Pakistan cancels intelligence sharing mission with UK:
Violence in Kashmir is escalating... (1-Aug-2010)
31-Jul-10 News -- GDP figures show economy is slowing:
Israel bombs Hamas sites in Gaza... (31-Jul-2010)
30-Jul-10 News -- Cameron's accusations roil Pakistan:
Wikileaks editor Julian Assange loves 'crushing bastards'... (30-Jul-2010)
29-Jul-10 News -- British PM sides with India against Pakistan:
Mideast Peace talks face Sept. 26 deadline when settlement freeze ends... (29-Jul-2010)
28-Jul-10 News -- Britain's PM sides with Turkey against Israel:
Turkey abandons Armenia for Azerbaijan... (28-Jul-2010)
27-Jul-10 News -- Kashmir protests erupt again:
EU will provide 10 million euros to Yemen... (27-Jul-2010)
26-Jul-10 News -- Markets shrug off flawed European stress tests:
The 'rule of 20' - another away to cheat on stock valuations... (26-Jul-2010)
25-Jul-10 News -- Fighting continues in Darfur:
Sudan's president Bashir thumbs his node at Darfur genocide charges... (25-Jul-2010)
24-Jul-10 News -- US confronts China on South China Sea claims:
North Korea promises a 'sacred war'... (24-Jul-2010)
23-Jul-10 News -- Fighting in Yemen flares again:
Venezuela's Hugo Chavez severs diplomatic ties with Colombia... (23-Jul-2010)
22-Jul-10 News -- US/S.Korean naval exercises begin Sunday:
Korean Air Lines terrorist bomber visits Tokyo... (22-Jul-2010)
21-Jul-10 News -- Liberal journalists conspired on racism charges:
PIIGS to the slaughter... (21-Jul-2010)
20-Jul-10 News -- Hungary and Ireland face new financial problems:
Stress tests for Europe's banks to be released on Friday... (20-Jul-2010)
19-Jul-10 News -- The NAACP versus the Tea Party movement:
Egypt pressures Abbas to agree to direct talks with Israel... (19-Jul-2010)
18-Jul-10 News -- Turkey and Syria team up against the Kurds:
Scandal in Turkey as pilots may be siding with PKK terrorists... (18-Jul-2010)
17-Jul-10 News -- India-Pakistan peace talks collapse in acrimony:
Iran blames U.S. for Jundullah's terrorist attack, says Hillary sheds 'crocodile tears'... (17-Jul-2010)
16-Jul-10 News -- Health care plan damages the economy:
Congress passes sweeping financial restructuring... (16-Jul-2010)
15-Jul-10 News -- British shocked at Afghan war killings:
Mexico's Ciudad Juarez becomes the murder capital of the world... (15-Jul-2010)
14-Jul-10 News -- Somalia's Al-Shabab blamed for Uganda bombings:
Iran cracks down on un-Islamic haircuts... (14-Jul-2010)
13-Jul-10 News -- Iran's government weakens under international pressure:
China's financial ratings agency downgrades Western debt... (13-Jul-2010)
12-Jul-10 News -- Israel's navy on high alert over Libyan ship:
Pakistan will continue to serve as China's 'force-multipler'... (12-Jul-2010)
11-Jul-10 News -- Sri Lanka's bitter disagreement with the United Nations:
Europe commemorates the 15'th anniversary of the massacre at Srebrenica... (11-Jul-2010)
10-Jul-10 News -- Pakistan shocked again by terrorist attack:
The 'Ghazi Force' is thought responsible for earlier Lahore bombing.... (10-Jul-2010)
9-Jul-10 News -- Banks use 'Extend and Pretend' with commercial property:
US Navy deploys submarine super-weapon near Chinese waters... (9-Jul-2010)
8-Jul-10 News -- Thailand chooses the path to civil war:
United Arab Emirates ambassador advocates military strike on Iran... (8-Jul-2010)
7-Jul-10 News -- Rogoff: China's property market near 'collapse':
Why is the Gulf cleanup taking so long?... (7-Jul-2010)
6-Jul-10 News -- Turkey-Israeli relations continue to deteriorate:
Iran complains that some airports are refusing to refuel Iran's planes... (6-Jul-2010)
5-Jul-10 News -- Kyrgyzstan is supposedly 'back to normal':
Michael Steele versus the Democratic National Committee... (5-Jul-2010)
4-Jul-10 News -- From which country did the U.S. win independence?:
United Nations warns of increased tension between Hizbollah and Israel... (4-Jul-2010)
3-Jul-10 News -- Lahore bombing leaves Pakistanis confused:
Orders to US factories declined in May more than forecast... (3-Jul-2010)
2-Jul-10 News -- New terrorist attack in Lahore, Pakistan:
Deflationary spiral spreads across Asia... (2-Jul-2010)
1-Jul-10 News -- World economy increasingly in deflationary spiral:
European banks and bond markets are back in crisis mode... (1-Jul-2010)
30-Jun-10 News -- Riots spread across India's Kashmir region:
Protestors march through Athens, Greece, during 24 hour strike... (30-Jun-2010)
29-Jun-10 News -- Speech recognition brings Singularity closer:
Paul Krugman predicts 'The Third Depression'... (29-Jun-2010)
28-Jun-10 News -- Military tensions increase in South China Sea:
After McChrystal firing, gloomy assessments pile up in Afghanistan war... (28-Jun-2010)
Generational Dynamics podcasts by Pete Ferron of 'Shrugging Out':
The three podcasts are based on two hours of interviews with me.... (27-Jun-2010)
27-Jun-10 News -- G-8 meeting ends with empty promises:
Fears that Sunday referendum in Kyrgyzstan may lead to new violence... (27-Jun-2010)
26-Jun-10 News -- Speculation about an Israeli strike on Iran:
A financial executive posts a kind of confessional in the NakedCapitalism blog... (26-Jun-2010)
25-Jun-10 News -- Greece's debt again reaches crisis levels:
A naval arms race is growing on the Caspian Sea... (25-Jun-2010)
24-Jun-10 News -- May new home sales plunge to lowest level on record:
PKK terrorists in Turkey may have taken advantage of Gaza flotilla incident... (24-Jun-2010)
23-Jun-10 News -- Kurdish terrorists bomb bus in Istanbul, Turkey:
US budget deficit continues its climb to infinity... (23-Jun-2010)
22-Jun-10 News -- Turkey masses troops on Iraq border:
Violence flares again in Kyrgyzstan... (22-Jun-2010)
21-Jun-10 News -- Israel eases the Gaza naval blockade:
The strange case of Helen Thomas... (21-Jun-2010)
20-Jun-10 News -- UN reports 'alarming' rise in Afghan violence:
Turkey's PM Erdogan vows to 'annihilate' the PKK terrorists after attack... (20-Jun-2010)
19-Jun-10 News -- Omigod! NakedCapitalism and ZeroHedge discover mean regression!:
As Kyrgyzstan violence slows, officials worry about humanitarian 'catastrophe'... (19-Jun-2010)
18-Jun-10 News -- IBM's Watson computer will be a Jeopardy contestant:
EU officials are worried that European countries could become military dictatorships... (18-Jun-2010)
17-Jun-10 News -- Fannie / Freddie delisted by NY Stock Exchange:
Some 'good news': More workers are quitting their jobs... (17-Jun-2010)
16-Jun-10 News -- Obama gives Oval Office speech on oil spill:
Europe's financial crisis deepens... (16-Jun-2010)
15-Jun-10 News -- Uzbekistan closes border to refugees from Kyrgyzstan:
The NY Times writes about the Singularity... (15-Jun-2010)
14-Jun-10 News -- Kyrgyzstan civil war expands into genocide:
Flemish separatists score big gains in Belgium election... (14-Jun-2010)
13-Jun-10 News -- Kyrgyzstan gives 'shoot to kill' order to army:
U.S. and U.K. tie in soccer at World Cup... (13-Jun-2010)
12-Jun-10 News -- Ethnic civil war spreads in Kyrgyzstan:
Heavy security in Tehran, Iran, stifles anniversary demonstrations... (12-Jun-2010)
Week of June 7 - Hiatus:
Until then, a special thread for comments and postings... (8-Jun-2010)
7-Jun-10 News -- Globally, May was a month of ominous events:
More on Generational Dynamics predictions... (7-Jun-2010)
6-Jun-10 News -- Anger at Israel grows over Gaza blockade:
Egypt to strip citizenship from men married to Israeli women... (6-Jun-2010)
5-Jun-10 News -- Markets fall on jobs and Hungary news:
A new humanitarian aid ship is approaching Gaza... (5-Jun-2010)
4-Jun-10 News -- North Korea: 'War may break out at any moment':
Europe's sovereign debt crisis is as bad as ever... (4-Jun-2010)
3-Jun-10 News -- S. Korea's ruling party suffers big losses:
Record numbers of candidates are running in midterm elections this year... (3-Jun-2010)
2-Jun-10 News -- Turkey: Gaza incident is 'turning point in history':
Japan's Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama resigns... (2-Jun-2010)
1-Jun-10 News -- Wide condemnation of Israel over Gaza flotilla:
Thailand red shirt protestors' 'Men in Black' are revealed... (1-Jun-2010)
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April 20, 2004, presentation:
This Generational Dynamics presentation was given last year at MIT in Cambridge, Mass.
Click here for presentation slides
Book Reviews:
Reviews of books on current events and history
About:
About Generational Dynamics, About John J. Xenakis
Comment:
Discussion and Comments
Crisis wars graphic:
Graphic showing crisis war timelines for Western Europe and for Orthodox Christianity vs Muslim Civilizations
Archive:
Archived items removed from the site home page.
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International Investment Advisories |
This is an experiment - Using the Generational Dynamics methodology
to provide up-to-date information on investment opportunities around
the world.
India
India: Hooray for Bollywood!:
Investment opportunities in India range from high-tech
pharmaceuticals to Spiderman.
(5-Jul-03)
India
India: Socially beneficial profits from "Untouchable" investments:
For those interested in socially beneficial investments in India, the
lot of India's Dalits provides an ideal investment target -- high-risk
but with the possibility of high returns because of the market size.
(7-Jul-03)
Iran
Trading with Iran: Not exactly a magic carpet ride:
Surprise! It turns out that being a member of the "Axis of Evil"
doesn't help investors.
(8-Jul-03)
Conflict Index:
A special feature of the experimental International Investment Advisories, containing information not available elsewhere, is the Conflict Index, a medium-range (1-2 years) and long-range (2-10 years) forecast of the likely level of local conflict, from riots and demonstrations to all out insurrection and civil war.
Cover design by Libby Chase, http://www.libbysgallery.com.
NY Skyline & Statue of Liberty clip art images
provided by http://budgetstockphoto.com.
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