Chad and Sudan may be close to a declaration of war - 18-Jun-2008 - Generational Dynamics

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Anti-government rebel forces in Chad an army post and several towns in eastern Chad, near the border with Darfur. According to a Chad government statement,

"After despatching columns of mercenaries to Chad and failing to secure strategic areas, the Sudanese army took matters in its own hands today and attacked Ade, backed up by helicopters.

By openly engaging their troops and air force, Khartoum has finally thrown off its mask, [and Chad's] response will be sterner than Sudan is expecting."

Sudan and neighboring countries. Sudan has three major regions: Northern Sudan, Southern Sudan, and Darfur (Western Sudan)

Sudan and neighboring countries. Sudan has three major regions: Northern Sudan, Southern Sudan, and Darfur (Western Sudan)

I've described the history of the Darfur war several times, and why the United Nations will be unable to stop it until it's run its course.

It became the focus of international attention in 2004, when millions of Darfur refugees poured across the border into camps in Chad. As the Darfur war spread into Chad, it began to include anti-Chad rebel groups.

Chad and Sudan signed a peace agreement in March, much to the relief of international officials.

The peace agreement lasted until a month ago, when some Darfur rebels staged a dramatic attack on Khartoum, as I described last month. The Sudan government blamed Chad for instigating that attack, and ended diplomatic relations with Chad. In response, Chad closed the border with Sudan. (I'm not sure what "closing the border" means here, since it's a very long unpatrolled border that anyone can cross at any time.)

Now the heat is rising one step farther, as Chad accuses Sudan of instigating and supporting the rebel attacks in Chad and threatens a counterattack.

Up until now, the Darfur war has been isolated within black Africa (also called sub-Saharan Africa), with no danger of spreading into the wider Western world. A war between Chad and Sudan might spread into Libya and/or Egypt, and from there into the Mideast. There's no way of predicting what event will trigger the Clash of Civilizations world war, but a war between Chad and Sudan could possibly become such a trigger.

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 18-Jun-2008
Chad and Sudan may be close to a declaration of war

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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 18-Jun-2008 Chad and Sudan may be close to a declaration of war

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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 18-Jun-2008
Chad and Sudan may be close to a declaration of war