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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 20-Oct-06
Australian Govt. warns citizens to avoid Sri Lanka

Web Log - October, 2006

Australian Govt. warns citizens to avoid Sri Lanka

The war between Tamil Tiger rebels and Sri Lanka government continues to escalate, and has spread into formerly "safe" regions containing tourist attractions.


Areas of conflict in Sri Lanka <font size=-2>(Source: The Economist)</font>
Areas of conflict in Sri Lanka (Source: The Economist)

On Wednesday, Tamil Tigers posing as fisherman blew up two boats in a suicide attack on a naval base Wednesday in the historic resort town of Galle, killing at least one sailor.

The most spectacular terrorist attack occurred on Monday. A military convoy of buses carrying sailors on leave had stopped briefly by the side of the road in a supposed safe town of Habarana. A suicide bomber rammed an explosives-packed truck into the buses, with at least 150 casualties.

In retaliation, government jets bombed a rebel camp on Monday, evidently killing two young girls.

Australia's Dept. of Foreign Affairs and Trade has issued a travel advisory, saying, "We strongly advise you not to travel to Sri Lanka at this time because of the deteriorating security situation and the high risk of further terrorist attacks."

The U.S. State Department says, "there should be an immediate cessation of violence. It is more important to talk now than ever as Sri Lanka is in danger of going to all-out war."


Indian subcontinent, with the island of Sri Lanka off the southern tip of India.
Indian subcontinent, with the island of Sri Lanka off the southern tip of India.

As I keep struggling to figure out exactly what's going on in the Iraq situation, the Sri Lanka situation provides a contemporary example to use as a contrast (in addition to the Darfur war and the recent war in Lebanon).

Related Articles

Sri Lanka
14-Mar-10 News - Sri Lanka Tamils reject homeland: A German college student validates Generational Dynamics... (14-Mar-2010)
27-Jan-10 News - Sri Lanka elections, and Turkey returns to its roots: Higher tensions between North and South Korea.... (27-Jan-2010)
Tamil Tigers renounce violence, to join Sri Lanka political process: New photos show "genocidal fury" at climax of civil war.... (25-May-2009)
Jubilant Sri Lanka celebrates, as President reaches out to the Tamils: But President Rajapaksa will need to follow words with actions.... (20-May-2009)
Tamil Tigers surrender, ending the Sri Lanka crisis civil war: "We have decided to silence our guns. Our only regrets are... (17-May-2009)
Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Gaza are all following the same path.: But the end is in sight for Sri Lanka.... (11-May-2009)
Tens of thousands of Tamil civilians flee fighting, in last days of Sri Lanka war: A "human avalanche" of refugees threatens to overwhelm internment camps.... (22-Apr-2009)
Sri Lanka army ready for final assault on Tamil Tiger rebels: 1000 Tigers are trapped in a "safe zone" with 100,000 Tamil civilians.... (16-Apr-2009)
Cricketing world in shock after attack on Sri Lanka team in Pakistan: Lashkar-e-Taiba is suspected in the brutal attack in Lahore,... (4-Mar-2009)
International community asks Tamil Tigers to surrender in Sri Lanka civil war: In "nightmarish situation," hundreds of thousands of civilians are trapped in battle.... (3-Feb-2009)
Sri Lanka crisis civil war nears climax, as army captures Mullaittivu: An explosive battle among 300,000 civilians is feared.... (28-Jan-2009)
Gaza war heads toward cease-fire, while violence surges in Sri Lanka: Thousands of civilians' lives are at risk by army attacking terrorists responsible for suicide bombings.... (19-Jan-2009)
In Gaza and Sri Lanka, war slides into genocide.: Both wars are getting increasingly meaner and nastier.... (6-Jan-2009)
Sri Lanka crisis war appears close to a genocidal climax.: There are two crisis wars in the world today: Darfur and Sri Lanka.... (27-Dec-2008)
Sri Lanka government declares all out war against Tamil Tiger rebels: Sri Lanka has said it is formally withdrawing from a 2002 ceasefire agreement... (4-Jan-08)
Tamil Tiger rebel aircraft bomb government airfields, escalating Sri Lanka civil war: Sri Lanka may soon join Darfur as another generational crisis war.... (26-Mar-07)
Bird flu spreading rapidly in Asia during New Year's celebrations: This is the most dangerous time of the year for possible pandemic mutation.... (17-Feb-07)
Australian Govt. warns citizens to avoid Sri Lanka: The war between Tamil Tiger rebels and Sri Lanka government continues to escalate,... (20-Oct-06)
While world watches Lebanon, Sri Lanka goes to war: Tamil Tiger rebels have engaged Sri Lanka government forces in heavy fighting... (3-Aug-06)
Massacre of civilians in Sri Lanka leading the way to a crisis war: From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, the gratuitous murder of civilians in a war... (18-Jun-06)
Violence leading to Sri Lanka war is increasing: Tamil Tiger rebels are being blamed for a mine attack on a bus, killing 60 people including children.... (16-Jun-06)
Sri Lanka appears close to war: A naval attack by Tamil Tiger rebels and government retaliation by air may spiral into full-scale war.... (12-May-06)

There are many differences. Sri Lanka is in a generational crisis era, and so is quite susceptible to a crisis civil war, and that appears to be happening.

As I described a couple of months ago, Sri Lanka has had intermittent violence, including a brief non-crisis civil war in the 1980s, between two ethnic groups: The Sinhalese, who run the government, and Tamils (Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam or LTTE), who are demanding a separate state of their own in the north. A peace agreement was signed in 2002, but that's completely fallen apart now.

The level of violence, including the massacring of civilians, has been increasing steadily this year. There's no ambiguity in Sri Lanka, as there is in Iraq, about whether the massacring is being done by outsiders. Both the Sinhalese government forces and the Tamil rebels are clearly Sri Lankans, and the increasing massacring of civilians points to a building crisis civil war.

Of course, there's a "peace process" going on. Norwegian mediators are 'confident' that peace can be restored, but this I have to see. And U.S. State Dept. envoy Richard Boucher is also visiting Sri Lanka.

As these various conflicts continue -- in Sri Lanka, Iraq and Darfur -- we'll continue to try to compare and contrast them, as we did with the war in Lebanon, to make sense out of what's really going on in each of them. (20-Oct-06) Permanent Link
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