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In a huge victory for opposition leader Yushchenko, and a defeat for Putin and the Ukraine government, the Ukraine Supreme Court has found that the last election was so flawed through rigging, vote abuse, government interference, government-run media bias, that the election has to be rerun.
The ruling was greeted by massive shouts and cheers by the thousands of Viktor Yushchenko supporters who had been camping out around the Supreme Court and other government buildings in Kiev.
The court ruling was a crushing defeat for the government and for the Russian-supported candidate, Victor Yanukovych. They had hoped for a more moderated decision, but in fact the decision indicated a huge litany of election abuses.
The Supreme Court rejected a government-supported proposal for an entirely new election. This would have resulted in a new vote, but under legal terms that would prevent either Yanukovych or Yushchenko from running. If two entirely new candidates were to run in a new election, then the possibility of Russian influence might turn things back in their direction.
As things stand, the opposition candidate Viktor Yushchenko is heavily favored to win the re-run election.
This hardly settles the matter, however. As we've previously written, Russian President Vladimir Putin will not tolerate an entirely independent Ukraine, something that Yushchenko would certainly seek. Indeed, Yushchenko would pursue policies to link the country closer to Europe than to Russia, and would be expected to consider adopting policies that might bring Ukraine to join the European Union. This is not something that Putin is going to tolerate.
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This Supreme Court decision will cause a great deal of discord within
Ukraine itself. East Ukraine, which voted for Yanukovych and still
supports him, is threatening to secede from Ukraine, splitting the country in two. We can expect
this threat to gain further momentum.
(3-Dec-04)
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