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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 20-Sep-04
Neo-Nazis and Communists gain in regional German elections

Web Log - September, 2004

Neo-Nazis and Communists gain in regional German elections

German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder and the country's mainstream political parties suffered a major setback Sunday in regional elections that gave the Nazi and Communist parties substantial gains.

"It's a great day for Germans who still want to be German," said Holger Apfel, a spokesman for the neo-Nazi National Democratic Party.

These are regional elections, so the results won't give the fringe parties a significant share of the power in the country, but they send a message of extreme discontent to the two major parties.

The popular anger is greatest in East Germany, where unemployment is near 20% and Schröder's government has been cutting long-term unemployment benefits.

The fringe parties have been blaming Jews and foreigners for these problems, by complaining that they're taking all the good-paying jobs.

For Generational Dynamics, the significance of these election results is that Germany, like America, has been entering a generational crisis period, where the generational of people who lived through the last crisis war all disappear (retire or die) all at about the same time. The most recent crisis war for Germany (and America) was World War II.

Naziism has been a mark of shame for Germany ever since World War II, especially as long as the actual participants (or their immediate families) were still alive. But now, there's almost no one left who remembers Naziism, and the kids who were born after the war think of Naziism as a great way "for Germans who still want to be German."

Major West European "world wars" have been occurring through the centuries like clockwork: the Franco-Prussian war (1869-70), the French Revolution and Napoleonic Wars (1789-1814), the War of the Spanish Succession (1701-14), the Thirty Years War (1618-48).

Generational Dynamics predicts that we're going to see a new West European in the next few years. It's impossible to predict exactly when, but these elections show how the fault lines are forming. (20-Sep-04) Permanent Link
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