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With a huge surplus of boys, ultrasound exams are illegal in China, so that parents can't find out whether their unborn children are boys or girls. Parents are likely to abort unborn girls or to kill baby girls after they're born.
Here's proof that a government program can produce unexpected result. China's gender balance used to be normal. Then, in 1980, in order to control population, China introduced a "one-child" policy that forbade any couple from having more than one child. The Chinese claim that the policy has prevented some 380 million births since it was introduced.
Trouble is, parents want to be taken care of when they're old, and they need boys for that, since girls go off and take care of their husbands' families. So many parents decided that if they were going to have only one child, it had better be a boy, and that's why they started killing girl fetuses and babies.
That's why there are 117 boys born for every 100 girls, and why demographers predict a surplus of 40 million bachelors by 2020.
That's the bad news. The very bad news is that this causes further instablity in the Chinese culture. There are very many young men who are unable to find wives, and young girls are being driven into prostitution, in order for a small number of women to provide for a large number of men.
That why the Chinese are cracking down on using ultrasounds and aborting girls.
As we've written previously, China is
going through a generational unraveling period, with an overheated
economy and a stock bubble that's going to burst one day soon. China
is expected to experience a new secular civil war within the next ten
years, following on the White Lotus Rebellion (1795-1805), the
Taiping Rebellion (1852-62), and Mao's Long March and Civil War
(1934-49). The last two secular civil wars killed tens of millions of
people, and the next one is expected to continue the pattern.
(15-Jul-04)
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