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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 23-Jun-04

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Ultimatums make me very nervous

Ultimatums make me very nervous

Saudi Arabia's King Fahd has evidently issued an ultimatum to the terrorists to turn themselves. What happens if they don't do it?

The beheadings have really raised the level of Mideast conflict, especially in Saudi Arabia.

Countries that issue ultimatums always make me nervous, and King Fahd evidently issued an amnesty and ultimatum to the terrorists today to turn themselves in within a month. The problem with such an ultimatum is that if no terrorists turn themselves in, the King Fahd will be humiliated, and will be politically forced to resort to an armed response, and that could spiral out of control into war.

Separately, the violence in southern Russia in the Caucasus region appears to be escalating. Georgia's South Osettia province is becoming increasingly tense, while just north over the mountains the ten-year-old war between Russia and the republic of Chechnya has spread to the neighboring Ingushetia. Soon we may hear some ultimatums issued there as well. (23-Jun-04) Permanent Link
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