(Previous slide) The History of Western Civilization
(Previous page) A brief trip around the world
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(Next slide) America Today
The History of Western Civilization


  American Crisis Wars

  Identity groups, fault lines, crisis wars

  Generation gaps versus fault lines

  Judaism, lives of Jesus and Mohammed
 
(Previous slide) The History of Western Civilization
(Previous page) Introduction to Generational Dynamics: The Market for Forecasting
(Next page) The History of Western Civilization
(Next slide) American History
America Today


  Changes since 9/11
-   Visceral fear and anxiety - way of life in danger
-   Fury at Islamic terrorists - revenge vs revanche
-   Willingness to lock up Muslims with little or no probable cause (like Japanese during WW II)
-   CIA and FBI - merging databases
-   Increase patriotism
-   Pre-emptive foreign policy

  Europe after Madrid 3/11

  Generational change around year 2000

  Political shifts
-   Gender gap and gender wars nearly extinguished
-   Christian right / Jewish left: common goal of defending Israel
-   Democrats need to focus on economy, not bash Bush on war
 
(Previous slide) America Today
(Previous page) A brief trip around the world
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(Next slide) American History (Cont.)
American History


  Crisis Wars in American History
-   1670-90 King Philip's War Crisis
-   1772-90 Revolutionary War Crisis
-   1857-1870 Civil War Crisis
-   1929-1945 World War II Crisis

  Mid-Cycle (Interim) Wars
-   1846-48 Mexican War
-   1898 Spanish-American War
-   1917-18 World War I
-   1950-53 Korean War
-   1964-73 Vietnam War
-   1991 Persian Gulf War
 
(Previous slide) American History
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(Next slide) Civilizations, Identity Groups, Fault Lines
American History (Cont.)


  World War II was a crisis war
-   No hesitation after Pearl Harbor
-   Antiwar (pacifist) movement fizzled
-   Loss of individual rights - confinement
-   No protection for civilians
-   Visceral fear and fury
-   Desire for revenge (vs. revanche)

  World War I was a mid-cycle war
-   Christmas Truce (England/Germany, 1914)
-   American neutrality till 1917 - despite terrorism
-   Strong anti-war (pacifist) movement in America
-   Unnecessary German capitulation
-   Crisis war for Russia and Ottoman Empire

  Vietnam War was a mid-cycle war
-   Generation gap - G.I. generation v Baby Boomers
-   Strong anti-war (pacifist) movement in America
-   Protection of civilians
-   Crisis war for Vietnamese
 
(Previous slide) American History (Cont.)
(Previous page) A brief trip around the world
(Next page) Islam versus Orthodox Christianity
(Next slide) Generation Gaps vs Fault Lines
Civilizations, Identity Groups, Fault Lines


  Major Civilizations of the World

Nine major civilizations today
Nine major civilizations today

-   Western, Latin American, African, Islamic, Sinic (Chinese), Hindu, Orthodox, Buddhist, and Japanese

  Identity groups
-   Bosnian war: Serbs vs Bosnians vs Croats
-   Orthodox Christians vs Muslims vs Western Christians

  Fault lines
-   France vs Germany
-   Western vs Orthodox Christianity
-   Islam vs Orthodox Christianity
 
(Previous slide) Civilizations, Identity Groups, Fault Lines
(Previous page) A brief trip around the world
(Next page) Islam versus Orthodox Christianity
(Next slide) From Revolutionary War to Civil War
Generation Gaps vs Fault Lines


Fault lines and generation gaps
Fault lines and generation gaps

 
(Previous slide) Generation Gaps vs Fault Lines
(Previous page) A brief trip around the world
(Next page) Islam versus Orthodox Christianity
(Next slide) Western and Eastern European Timelines
From Revolutionary War to Civil War


  Cause of war vs Timing of war



America c 1810
America c 1810

    

America c 1830
America c 1830





America c 1850
America c 1850

    

America c 1861
America c 1861

 
(Previous slide) From Revolutionary War to Civil War
(Previous page) A brief trip around the world
(Next page) Islam versus Orthodox Christianity
(Next slide) History of Judaism
Western and Eastern European Timelines


Crisis war timelines for Western 	Europe and for Orthodox Christianity vs Muslim Civilizations
Crisis war timelines for Western Europe and for Orthodox Christianity vs Muslim Civilizations

 
(Previous slide) Western and Eastern European Timelines
(Previous page) A brief trip around the world
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(Next slide) Lives of Jesus and Mohammed
History of Judaism


  A Diaspora religion
-   1200BC Exodus: Hebrews under Moses cross Red Sea out of Egyptian slavery and survive in the desert
-   500BC Jews exiled into Babylon, return to Jerusalem
-   Jews could live anywhere, without a homeland, and maintain a Jewish identity
-   ..................... To be completed .......
 
(Previous slide) History of Judaism
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(Next slide) Lives of Jesus and Mohammed
Lives of Jesus and Mohammed


  Life of Jesus
-   4 BC - Born at end of crisis period
-   Became popular during awakening period
-   Did not flee when threatened with death because of Isaiah
-   66AD - Destruction of Jerusalem - spread of Christianity

  Life of Mohammed
-   570 AD - Born at beginning of crisis war - orphaned
-   Became popular during awakening period
-   Fled from Mecca to Medina when threatened with death
-   630 Conquered Mecca ten years later, died several years later
-   665 - Crisis civil war among followers - spread of Islam

  Awakening periods
-   The time when great ideas are born
-   Great ideas extinguish or spread during next crisis war
-   Name comes from "The Great Awakening" - period of 1730-40s - when multiple religions spread on American east coast

Copyright © 2002-2016 by John J. Xenakis.